Time after Time NCAA Saturday

[Scoop Mackenzie]

I am going to cover all of my plays for a busy college football in this thread and do it in order of time. I will try to cover as many games as possible and will make a point of trying to hit all the TV games. I play a lot of games so if you think that is not good that is fine, but I play differently then most folks and have just come to grips with it so it works for me. I copy and paste a lot of information from the net so all the information is not original but it?s about sharing information right? The plays are mine and original and let?s get started.

12:00

West Virginia @ Syracuse
I am not going to play this game, mainly because Syracuse has cost me enough this year and if I was going to play a side it would be the Orange. They are playing with a different outlook after beating Louisville and West Virginia is 5-14 ATS off a loss as a favorite.

NO PLAY

Wisconsin @ Illinois

Don?t sleep on the Illini as Ron Zook has this program going in the direction he wants it to and it showed with the win over the Lions. Wisconsin has had trouble covering all year and the Illini are causing turnovers. The old unranked favorite over a ranked team comes into play here.

Illinois -2.5

Minnesota @ Indiana

Another big ten match up getting the early kickoff. Indiana would be the only way to play this one for me. They are off a big outright win as a dog and get to come home to take on the gophers and they have not been impressive this year. Minnesota is 5-15 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points and Indiana is 7-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games. The chalk is a bit high here but if I was going to play a team it would be the Hoosiers and the over.

NO PLAY

Miami @ North Carolina
In this game I take a look at my first total of the day. Miami?s ?D? leads the ACC, allowing just 290 yards per game. In four home games this season it has yet to give up a first-half point. I know this game is on the road but it is an impressive statistic. When Miami team played as Road team as a Favorite - Playing on Saturday - Coming off a Home win the under is 13-3. When North Carolina team played as a Home team - After a division game - Allowed 17 points or more AGAINST in their last game - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games the under is 6-12. North Carolina?s offense will go nowhere but look for the defense to keep them in this game.
Under 21 -105 f/h
Under 42

More 12:00 games to cover and I will be adding some first half plays based on line movement just before kickoff.

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[Scoop Mackenzie]

12:00
Bowling Green @ Boston College

The Eagles may be on look ahead alert when they play the Irish next week if this was a month ago but since then the Irish have tanked and the Eagles have sprinted to the top ten in the rankings. This line is deep and that is not good for Eagle backers this could turn into a shootout. Bowling Green is 9-3 ATS when they are a dog from 10.5 -21 and 18-7 ATS off a home win by 17+ points. The Eagles get complacent in past years when they put some wins together which is proven by the 1-6 ATS record when they win 3 games in a row or more. The Eagles will have to rally to get this win at home.

Bowling Green +20
Bowling Green +11.5

Northwestern @ Michigan St.

Northwestern made a run at Michigan but collapsed in the fourth and could not bring it out. They took that lost as a positive when they could have taken it the other way and they will not be intimidated to play the Spartans today. Northwestern is 13-4 ATS away after committing 4+ turnovers and Michigan State is 2-10 ATS off a conference loss. When Michigan State team played as a Home team - During Week 4 to 8 - Coming off a lost on artificial they are 3-8 ATS and they will get put to the test today. Just taking them in the game for now but if they are leading at halftime I will take them in the second half.

Northwestern +17

BIG GAME ALERT

Kansas @ Kansas St.
Open up the doors for a letdown here as the Cats are off a huge upset against Texas and they will be hard pressed to have the same intensity against Kansas. Kansas can flat out run the ball with an average over 5 yards per carry and 200+ per game which will keep K St. off the field. It doesn?t help that K. St lost a line backer to injury and they get Kansas well rested. Kansas is 14-5 ATS after a bye week and they know how to prepare well. I like to fade teams that jump into the rankings for the first time. They lost in this same spot last year.

Kansas +1.5 -105 f/h
Kansas +3


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[Scoop Mackenzie]

No other games appeal to me in the early slate so I move on.

01:00
I was going to play against Auburn after the big upset at 12:30 but just not sure which team will come to play and Vanderbilt has been a train wreck.

Wake forest @ Duke

Not really a marquee match up your going to set your Tivo for but money is money and I think this wins money. Play AGAINST any conference home underdog of +3.5 or more provided they return home off three (or more) road games and they're matched up against an opponent that does NOT enter off a blowout win of 10 points or more.

27 Year Record = 36-13 ATS for 73.4 percent.


Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in October and Duke is 2-10 ATS in home games.

Wake Forest -7.5
Wake Forest -4.5 f/h


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[Scoop Mackenzie]

3:30

Georgia @ Tennessee

Here we go again with a home team favored that is unranked over a ranked road team so the first instinct is to take the Vols. That instinct is correct its hard to play in the SEC on the road and it will be for the bulldogs. The Vols find themselves in must win mode already and this win will light up the resume.

When Georgia team played as a Road team - Opponent coming off a bye - Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent - Coming off back to back SU wins they are 3-7 ATS

Vols +1.5 -105


Oklahoma @ Texas
Both of these top squads are coming off upsets last week both falling flat when they should have won perhaps they were both looking forward tot his one. These games are always heated and I m on the dog because both teams will claw to the end! Texas is 12-3 ATS off 3+ Overs and a great underdog at 25-13 ATS.

Texas +6.5 f/h
Texas +11

Iowa @ Penn St

Iowa is coming off a bad loss at home as favorites and now have to go to happy Valley to face the Lions who were upset as well. The Lions miss a key RB for this game which is not good since the offense is bad enough anyway. Passing on this one, but like the Hawkeyes.

NO PLAY

NC St @ Florida St.

NC St is having a horrible year and Florida St has been back and forth with big losses and tough wins, but how do you motivate them for NC St? You don?t put I just can?t trust the Wolfpack with my money.

NO PLAY

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