- Dec 28, 2009
- 58
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Indiana @ Miami
The Heat have only covered 4 of their last 11 spots and they?ve not been a very good home team this year. They?re just 11-10 SU/9-12 ATS at home this year and they?re 7-11 as a favorite.
Indiana struggled in Danny Granger?s absence but have played reasonably well since his return. Indiana has covered 6 of their last 9 games and will enter this contest well rested having last played three days ago.
In the first game back from a tiring road trip and with Wade at less than 100% its hard to see a first rate effort from the Heat in this spot.Based on their YTD record, Indiana is a team they might overlook but I think they?ll be competitive throughout and could pull off the outright upset.
Indiana+6.5
Northwestern @ Ohio St
This underdog not only can cover spreads (9-4 ATS Record) but they can pull huge upsets. NW is coming off a home upset of highly ranked Purdue and a very close loss to Wisconsin the game before that.
OSU are not great at covering ATS going only 9-9 this year. A bigger problem for OSU is they still rely a ton on three point shots to pull away from teams. Not good news as NW is holding teams to only 28% from the 3 this year.
I expect a low scoring affair as NW tries to cover against OSU again (6-2 ATS last 8 games these two played).NW has a legitimate shot to pull off a big upset again.
NW+12
added: George Mason+4 @ Hofstra
The Heat have only covered 4 of their last 11 spots and they?ve not been a very good home team this year. They?re just 11-10 SU/9-12 ATS at home this year and they?re 7-11 as a favorite.
Indiana struggled in Danny Granger?s absence but have played reasonably well since his return. Indiana has covered 6 of their last 9 games and will enter this contest well rested having last played three days ago.
In the first game back from a tiring road trip and with Wade at less than 100% its hard to see a first rate effort from the Heat in this spot.Based on their YTD record, Indiana is a team they might overlook but I think they?ll be competitive throughout and could pull off the outright upset.
Indiana+6.5
Northwestern @ Ohio St
This underdog not only can cover spreads (9-4 ATS Record) but they can pull huge upsets. NW is coming off a home upset of highly ranked Purdue and a very close loss to Wisconsin the game before that.
OSU are not great at covering ATS going only 9-9 this year. A bigger problem for OSU is they still rely a ton on three point shots to pull away from teams. Not good news as NW is holding teams to only 28% from the 3 this year.
I expect a low scoring affair as NW tries to cover against OSU again (6-2 ATS last 8 games these two played).NW has a legitimate shot to pull off a big upset again.
NW+12
added: George Mason+4 @ Hofstra
