Tony, I'm sorry I didn't get to answer your question last night but I was out from the time I posted until late.
Here's my thinking on LA last night. The last nine LA games have ave over 200 points. Mia's last 10 had gone over 176 seven out of ten times and those seven had ave 178'. This means that at 181 it was twenty under LA's ave and only 3 over what I could expect out of Mia. For the last few weeks Mia is becoming a better offensive team. I don't credit their low scores in the past to great d but to terrible o. I said the other day that if they could put two halves together, they would be dangerous. That's what happened last night. I also expected LA to play around and not cover. You know how I feel about LA. Well they played around and got beat straight up. I also had two of my treands that called for the over in that game last night.
Roger, you mentioned GS. Here was my thinking on the over in that game. When the line is 194 or more, in their last 20 games, GS was 5-2 over, 3-0 at home. Clev was 2-1 over last 20. In Clev's last 30 games, every back to back has gone over. In 3 of their last 4 head to head, they had ave over 210 pg. I also had a very strong trend that called for the over. But, this was the main reason for my call last night. This was their 5th road game in 7 nights and back to back and they have been playing their asses off on this trip even tho they have been getting beat. I figured it was about time for their legs to give out and their d to go down the tubes. That's my reason for playing GS and calling for the over.
Here's my thinking on LA last night. The last nine LA games have ave over 200 points. Mia's last 10 had gone over 176 seven out of ten times and those seven had ave 178'. This means that at 181 it was twenty under LA's ave and only 3 over what I could expect out of Mia. For the last few weeks Mia is becoming a better offensive team. I don't credit their low scores in the past to great d but to terrible o. I said the other day that if they could put two halves together, they would be dangerous. That's what happened last night. I also expected LA to play around and not cover. You know how I feel about LA. Well they played around and got beat straight up. I also had two of my treands that called for the over in that game last night.
Roger, you mentioned GS. Here was my thinking on the over in that game. When the line is 194 or more, in their last 20 games, GS was 5-2 over, 3-0 at home. Clev was 2-1 over last 20. In Clev's last 30 games, every back to back has gone over. In 3 of their last 4 head to head, they had ave over 210 pg. I also had a very strong trend that called for the over. But, this was the main reason for my call last night. This was their 5th road game in 7 nights and back to back and they have been playing their asses off on this trip even tho they have been getting beat. I figured it was about time for their legs to give out and their d to go down the tubes. That's my reason for playing GS and calling for the over.
