michalek vs. armas
while their era's are fairly close, 3.49 vs. 2.96, their latest performances suggest quite a discrepancy in favor of armas.
michalak has been struggling to get past the 5th inning in his 3 games, although he did pitch a gem 4 games ago against boston, going a full 8 innings with no runs allowed.
armas on the other hand, has been getting stronger, now up to 7 innings per game, which include the last 2 games, allowing only 1 earned run in 14 innings. ironically, his last 2 were no-decisions, while one of his worst games was a win.
using the last 4 games as a guide, we see michalak with a close to 6 era, while armas has a less than 3.
in the never ending quest for value, laying -125 on armas seems like a bargain, as fair value to me would be in the -150 range, with the game in the toss-up category around -170.
montreal -125
pep
while their era's are fairly close, 3.49 vs. 2.96, their latest performances suggest quite a discrepancy in favor of armas.
michalak has been struggling to get past the 5th inning in his 3 games, although he did pitch a gem 4 games ago against boston, going a full 8 innings with no runs allowed.
armas on the other hand, has been getting stronger, now up to 7 innings per game, which include the last 2 games, allowing only 1 earned run in 14 innings. ironically, his last 2 were no-decisions, while one of his worst games was a win.
using the last 4 games as a guide, we see michalak with a close to 6 era, while armas has a less than 3.
in the never ending quest for value, laying -125 on armas seems like a bargain, as fair value to me would be in the -150 range, with the game in the toss-up category around -170.
montreal -125
pep
