They sem to be a little high, IMO, on several games.
I don't see that Packer/Saints game getting 45' points!
I don't see that Packer/Saints game getting 45' points!
Totals high this week?
- Thread starter yyz
- Start date
Totally agree. There are lots of inflated totals this week IMO.
Such as
MIA/IND 46'
DET/CAR 37
AZ/SEA 40
BUF/MIN 47'
DEN/SF 44'
OAK/PIT 40
These are just early leans, but still feel the numbers are a tad high.
The OAK/PIT game sticks out bigtime to me...40 seems ridiculously high.
BTW yyz, By-Tor rocked the house the other night!
:clap:
Such as
MIA/IND 46'
DET/CAR 37
AZ/SEA 40
BUF/MIN 47'
DEN/SF 44'
OAK/PIT 40
These are just early leans, but still feel the numbers are a tad high.
The OAK/PIT game sticks out bigtime to me...40 seems ridiculously high.
BTW yyz, By-Tor rocked the house the other night!
:clap:
How about the Snow Dog?
I hope to catch them in Chicago when they come back later in the year. I couldn't get to the Amphitheatre in Milwaukee this summer.
I hope to catch them in Chicago when they come back later in the year. I couldn't get to the Amphitheatre in Milwaukee this summer.
do you guys think it would be smart to put a .5 unit on all the unders this sun. Hoping to make a profit of 1-2 units
yyz said:How about the Snow Dog?
I hope to catch them in Chicago when they come back later in the year. I couldn't get to the Amphitheatre in Milwaukee this summer.
Snow Dog was there too, and barking LOUD!! It was an awesome show, you should really try to make it to Chicago. Could be the last time...although that's what I thought in 97!
Ndfan: it could quite possibly work out in your favour if you play all the dogs across the board, but I wouldn't recommend it unless you have a solid system or reasoning backing you up. Just playing all the unders without capping the games a bit will land you in trouble. The totals might be higher for a good reason, ie. that most of the games will in fact be high scoring games, just like last week's happened to be. I personally doubt this will occur, but regardless of the outcome the point is to be sure about your reasons and confirm that you are getting value in your play.
GL
I did some calculations tonight based on the numbers at the Mirage, and the AVERAGE NFL total for Week #2 is 42.
This does seem a bit high and is about three points over the norm. Three points sounds huge.
However, keep in mind a couple of points:
1. All of the high powered offensive dome teams played outdoors last week (indoor games are usually higher scoring). Most of these teams have decent offenses, and bad defenses. However, this week, all of the solid dome teams are now indoors, which should shoot the numbers through the roof....
St. Louis at home
Indianapolis at home
Minnesota at home
Atlanta at home
New Orleans at home
Last week, there were no games played indoors except Houston -- which doesn't count because of grass field/warm tempertures.
2. The pass interfereance rule is DETROYING the integrity of these games. I will say it again that the yellow flags on pass defense are going to totally constipate the UNDERS. We're going to be shaking our nuts off betting UNDERS worrying on every pass play if these imbeciles are going to reach for a flag. I would say the PI rule in the NFL over the past couple of seasons (number of calls per games has skyrocketed) has driven up scoring by 2-3 points per game on average. I'll look for data to corroborate this theory, but I know I'm right.
3. In part because of the lax PI rule, more conservative offenses are now throwing more than running. It used to be the average team threw about 25-30 passes per games. Now, it's not unusual to see 45-50 passes per game. This kills UNDERS. Teams like the Patriots and Dolphins are throwing every down and running up points. Even the Browns and San Diego (teams with little or no big play offense) ran up the score last week. This is a totally new pehnomenon.
These are a few of the reasons why the totals are inching upwards.
Nolan Dalla
This does seem a bit high and is about three points over the norm. Three points sounds huge.
However, keep in mind a couple of points:
1. All of the high powered offensive dome teams played outdoors last week (indoor games are usually higher scoring). Most of these teams have decent offenses, and bad defenses. However, this week, all of the solid dome teams are now indoors, which should shoot the numbers through the roof....
St. Louis at home
Indianapolis at home
Minnesota at home
Atlanta at home
New Orleans at home
Last week, there were no games played indoors except Houston -- which doesn't count because of grass field/warm tempertures.
2. The pass interfereance rule is DETROYING the integrity of these games. I will say it again that the yellow flags on pass defense are going to totally constipate the UNDERS. We're going to be shaking our nuts off betting UNDERS worrying on every pass play if these imbeciles are going to reach for a flag. I would say the PI rule in the NFL over the past couple of seasons (number of calls per games has skyrocketed) has driven up scoring by 2-3 points per game on average. I'll look for data to corroborate this theory, but I know I'm right.
3. In part because of the lax PI rule, more conservative offenses are now throwing more than running. It used to be the average team threw about 25-30 passes per games. Now, it's not unusual to see 45-50 passes per game. This kills UNDERS. Teams like the Patriots and Dolphins are throwing every down and running up points. Even the Browns and San Diego (teams with little or no big play offense) ran up the score last week. This is a totally new pehnomenon.
These are a few of the reasons why the totals are inching upwards.
Nolan Dalla
Last edited:
I've said it before, but I'll say it again....
You seem to think NO can play defense?
Now with both starting corners out the only excuse Favre will have of not hitting open receivers is because he is in fits of giggles!!
NO 'speed' driven offense will be looking for points.
The 45 immediately struck me as being 'low'.
EDIT: Agree completely on Nolan's PI 'theory'....WAY too many flags thrown :nono:
You seem to think NO can play defense?
Now with both starting corners out the only excuse Favre will have of not hitting open receivers is because he is in fits of giggles!!
NO 'speed' driven offense will be looking for points.
The 45 immediately struck me as being 'low'.
EDIT: Agree completely on Nolan's PI 'theory'....WAY too many flags thrown :nono:
I sem to think that Brett Favre can't play on turf/in domes!!!!!!!
This is a fact, not a whim. I don't want to hear how he won a SB there, either.
My gut feeling says that this will be a very slow start for Green Bay, and NO is not that good. All I need, is one quarter of 0 or 3 points, and I think it's a done deal.
This is a fact, not a whim. I don't want to hear how he won a SB there, either.
My gut feeling says that this will be a very slow start for Green Bay, and NO is not that good. All I need, is one quarter of 0 or 3 points, and I think it's a done deal.
Another fact is that Green Bay is 4-0-1 over on turf in the last 4 years.
Maybe it's their defense that can't play in domes :shrug:
Maybe it's their defense that can't play in domes :shrug:
