Trend Plays

Deuces Wild

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Apr 30, 2005
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..Not sure if anyone reads XXXXX : please do not post other forum sites on this board: admin

but this is from a member their superman this is all of his info not mine all the credit to him


Last 3 Days...

TOTALS (2-1)
5/07 - 1-0
5/10 - 1-0
5/11 - 0-1

SIDES (ML plays only) (favs 2-3, dogs 5-6) --Cooling off recently
5/09 - favs 0-1, dogs 0-2
5/10 - favs 1-2, dogs 2-2
5/11 - favs 1-0, dogs 3-2


Plays for 5/12...

#7 7-up Theory

YTD as of 5/09/2005: 8-2 fading the 7up team at home in the following game
YTD as of 5/09/2005: 4-7 fading the 7up team on the road in the following game
YTD as of 5/09/2005: 12-8-3 to the Under

5/11/2005: BAL won 7-4 over MIN
next day...BAL was at CWSox (O/U 8.5)
***Play is BAL (+106) over CWSox
***Play is BAL & CWSox Under 8.5










#9 Teams vs. LH Starters (Trend added 4/15). How many runs does a team score vs. LH starters? We should be able to take advantage of teams that trend over or under.

Plays are posted in the daily thread, here's the YTD on plays posted....

(as of 5/11)

+1.5: 61-21
ML: favs 39-20, dogs 14-9
-1.5: favs 27-32, dogs 13-10



(YTD as of 5/11)
3 straight ML == favs 16-10, dogs 5-5
3 straight -1.5 = favs 8-18, dogs 5-5

75% or better ML == favs 26-12, dogs 11-6
75% or better -1.5 = favs 20-18, dogs 10-7



(H2H & BOTH are already in the above records)
BOTH ML == favs 2-0, dogs 0-1
BOTH -1.5 = favs 1-1, dogs 0-1

H2H ML == 2-1 dogs (3 straight: favs 1-1, dogs 1-0)
H2H -1.5 = 2-1 dogs (3 straight: favs 1-1, dogs 1-0)








***5/10 NOTE: The "3-0" plays have gone (favs 5-2, dogs 1-1) since 5/5, so I feel they have reached a profitable level. Both trends will be considered plays again.



This is total runs for the game for APRIL 2005 and also for MAY 2005 (as of 5/11).

SF - 4-10-11-1-4-6-3-7
SF (MAY) -8-2-2-1-2
--today vs. HOU (Pettite)


CWSox - 5-2-5-9-6-2
CWSox (MAY) -8-5-10-5-6
--today vs. BAL (Chen)


KC - 7-2-6-1-1-4-9-1-0-8
KC (MAY) -4-3
--today vs. TB (Kazmir)


BEST Trends today are (must be 3 or more and be 75% or better, and 4's don't count) :


3 Straight
SF - 4-10-11-1-4-6-3-7 & SF (MAY) -8-2-2-1-2 (2 or less in 4/4)
***Play is HOU (-138) over SF

CWSox - 5-2-5-9-6-2 & CWSox (MAY) -8-5-10-5-6 (5 or more in 5/5)
***Play is CWSox (-116) over BAL



75% or better
KC - 7-2-6-1-1-4-9-1-0-8 & KC (MAY) -4-3 (3 or less in 3/4)
***Play is TB (-115) over KC







#10 - Record vs. LHP/RHP for the Underdog
--If the dog has a better record, then play them. See tracking thread for more details.

Plays are posted in the daily thread, here's the YTD on plays posted (these are all dog plays)....

(as of 5/11)

+1.5: 16-9
ML: 12-13 (+192)
-1.5: 5-12 (-187)


BAL (6-1 vs. RHP on the road) at CWSox (2-2 vs. LHP at home)
***Play is BAL (+106) and BAL -1.5 (+170) over CWSox






#11 LTO (Last Time Out)

(YTD as of 5/11)
Pitchers expected to do poorly today - we play on the opposing Team (FADES) -
ML..........: favs 6-0, dogs 1-1
RL (-1.5) : favs 5-1, dogs 1-1

Pitchers expected to do well today - We play on the pitcher today (PLAY ON's)
ML..........: favs 4-3, dogs 3-2
RL (-1.5) : favs 3-4, dogs 3-2

OVERALL:
ML..........: favs 10-3, dogs 4-3
RL (-1.5) : favs 8-5, dogs 4-3


PLAY ON
Dodgers (Lowe) - gave up 6 runs last time, 1-4-0-0 in previous 3
STL (Carpenter) - gave up 5 runs last time, 2-3-0 in previous 3
**Same game - NO PLAY

CWSox (Garland) - gave up 6 runs last time, 0-0-1 in previous 3
***Play is CWSox (-116) and CWSox (+170) over BAL



FADES
--NO Plays today





RECAP of Trend plays for 5/12

#7 7-up Theory
XXX***Play is BAL (+106) over CWSox
***Play is BAL & CWSox Under 8.5

#9 Teams vs. LH Starters
***Play is HOU (-138) over SF
XXX***Play is CWSox (-116) over BAL
***Play is TB (-115) over KC

#10 - Record vs. LHP/RHP for the Underdog
XXX***Play is BAL (+106) over CWSox

#11 LTO (Last Time Out)
XXX***Play is CWSox (-116) over BAL



XXX = H2H Play = NO Play on BAL/CWS



TOTALS
***Play is BAL & CWSox Under 8.5




SIDES
***Play is HOU (-138) over SF
***Play is TB (-115) over KC
 
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