Trend sheet 5/18

[cisco]

CHI WHITE SOX vs. TORONTO
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
Toronto is 13-2 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox

MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Washington
Pittsburgh is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games

OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland

ARIZONA vs. FLORIDA
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

COLORADO vs. ATLANTA
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games
St. Louis is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 10 games
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Angels

NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games at home
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Mets

 

[cisco]

SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Milwaukee (23-14) at St. Louis (21-16)

The red-hot Brewers go for a series sweep of the Cardinals at Busch Stadium, with Milwaukee?s Braden Looper (3-2, 4.70 ERA) slated to oppose Kyle Lohse (3-2, 4.25) in an N.L. East clash.

Friday?s series opener was rained out, but the Brewers have since posted victories of 1-0 on Saturday and 8-2 on Sunday to run their winning streak to five in a row. Additionally, Milwaukee has won 11 of its last 13 and is 19-5 in its last 24 outings, going 9-2 on the road during this surge. The Brew Crew are on further streaks of 5-1 as an underdog, 13-3 against teams with a winning record and 9-2 versus N.L. Central foes.

St. Louis has now dropped six of its last eight games (all against the N.L. East) and nine of its last 13, and the team is 1-6 in its last seven against winning teams. Still, the Redbirds sport positive streaks of 18-6 at Busch Stadium and 21-7 as a home chalk.

In taking the first two meetings of the season series, Milwaukee continues to own this rivalry, going 9-1 in the last 10 clashes overall and 8-1 in its last nine games in St. Louis.

Looper earned an 8-6 home victory in his most recent outing Wednesday against the Marlins, despite surrendering five earned runs in six innings. Since starting the season 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his first four starts (all Milwaukee wins), Looper is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his last three outings. The veteran right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA in two road starts in 2009.

Lohse?s season has taken the same arc as Looper?s, as the right-hander went 3-0 with a 1.97 ERA in his first five starts, but he?s since given up 13 runs (all earned) on 16 hits (three home runs) over 10 1/3 innings in his last two outings, losing 6-1 to the Phillies at home and 8-3 to the Reds on the road. Despite the loss to Philadelphia, Lohse is still 3-1 with 3.20 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium.

Looper, who pitched for St. Louis from 2007-2009, has faced his former mates 16 times, all in relief, and he?s delivered 17 consecutive scoreless innings while notching three saves. Meanwhile, Lohse is 3-3 with a 5.22 ERA in 11 career appearances (10 starts) against the Brewers. Last year, Lohse faced Milwaukee three times and posted a 4.26 ERA, with St. Louis losing all three games.

Although Sunday?s game barely crept over the posted total, the under is still 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these division rivals and 6-2-1 in the last nine battles at Busch Stadium. Also, St. Louis carries ?under? trends of 4-1 overall (all against divisional opponents) 4-2 at home, 4-1 on Monday and 5-1 as a favorite. Finally, the Brewers are on ?under? streaks of 7-3 as a road underdog and 6-1 in the third game of a series, though the over is 5-1 in their last six road games and 4-0 in their last four on Monday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


N.Y. Mets (21-16) at L.A. Dodgers (26-13)

After completing a successful first road trip without suspended slugger Manny Ramirez, the Dodgers return home to greet the Mets in the opener of a three-game series. Tim Redding is scheduled to make his 2009 debut and be matched up against L.A.?s Randy Wolf (2-1, 2.77).

The Dodgers started their six-game journey with a 5-3 loss at Philadelphia, but rebounded to win four of the last five contests, including Sunday?s 12-5 rout of the Marlins in which young left-hander Clayton Kershaw took a no-hitter into the eighth inning. Despite not having Ramirez, Los Angeles averaged 6.3 runs per game on the trip. Joe Torre?s club enters this contest on a slew of positive runs, including 23-10 overall, 40-14 at Dodger Stadium (14-3 this season), 17-6 following a victory, 21-10 on Mondays and 35-16 as a favorite.

New York came up short in its attempt for a four-game weekend sweep in San Francisco, losing 2-0 to the Giants on Sunday night to snap a three-game overall and five-game road winning streak. The Mets remain on impressive runs of 11-3 overall, 4-0 after a loss, 23-10 as an underdog and 13-4 against the N.L. West.

New York won four of the final five meetings against the Dodgers last year and is 9-5 in the last 14 head-to-head battles, including 4-3 at Dodger Stadium.

Wolf was fantastic in Wednesday?s contest in Philadelphia, scattering a run on three hits and three walks over six innings while striking out eight en route to a 9-2 road victory that snapped a sting of five consecutive no-decisions. Los Angeles is 8-2 in Wolf?s last 10 home starts and 8-3 in his last 11 as a favorite, including his first go-round with the team in 2007. This season, the veteran southpaw has yet to record a decision in three home outings, posting a 2.60 ERA in 17 1/3 innings.

Wolf has made 28 career starts against the Mets, going 11-5 with a 3.34 ERA. The 28 starts and 11 victories are the most for Wolf against any opponent, as are his 149 strikeouts and 175 innings.

Redding?s season has been delayed because of a shoulder injury. Last year with the Nationals, he went 10-11 with a 4.95 ERA in 33 starts, including 4-4 with a 4.23 ERA in 15 road games. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.64 ERA in six career appearances (four starts) against the Dodgers. However, the one victory came last year when he was with Washington and yielded three runs (all solo homers) in six innings of a 5-4 home win.

New York is riding ?over? streaks of 9-2 overall, 6-2-1 on the road, 35-16-8 as an underdog, 24-9-4 as a road pup, 6-1-1 against the N.L. West and 6-0 when facing a southpaw starter. Similarly, the Dodgers are on ?over? stretches of 16-5-1 against right-handed starters, 8-3-1 versus the N.L. East, 26-12-3 on Monday and 5-0 when Wolf faces N.L. East foes. Lastly, the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 series meetings between these clubs at Dodger Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and OVER

 

[cisco]

National League

PITTSBURGH at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
OHLENDORF: PIT 51-30 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10
DETWILER: WAS 5-16 as a favorite

ARIZONA at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
GARLAND: ARI 14-3 UNDER AWAY after scoring 12+ runs
NOLASCO: FLA 5-14 after a team loss

COLORADO at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
MARQUIS: 20-8 TSR after a team loss
LOWE: ATL 3-9 after BB home games

NY METS at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
REDDING: 9-2 TSR AWAY when the total is 8.5 to 10
WOLF: 17-6 UNDER in the first half of the season


American League

CHI WHITE SOX at TORONTO, 1:07 PM ET
RICHARD: CHW 7-21 on artificial turf
RICHMOND: TOR 15-4 as a favorite

OAKLAND at TAMPA BAY, 7:08 PM ET
GALLAGHER: OAK 47-27 UNDER as a road underdog
NIEMANN: TB 40-15 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

MINNESOTA at NY YANKEES, 7:05 PM ET
PERKINS: MIN 55-34 after 1+ consecutive unders
PETTITTE: 6-13 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

LA ANGELS at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
PALMER: LAA 23-6 after 2+ consecutive losses
WASHBURN: 6-23 TSR on a grass field


National League ? Write-in game

MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET
LOOPER: 18-7 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125
LOHSE: 13-3 TSR after 2+ consecutive losses

 

[cisco]

Hot lines: Today?s best MLB bets
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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (-156, 9.5)

For anyone who has profited from the Toronto Blue Jays? shocking start to the season, Monday?s game might be the last chance to do so for a while. Toronto wraps a four-game set with the Chicago White Sox before hitting the road for the next nine contests.

The Blue Jays have rolled over the ChiSox with a combination of solid starting pitching and timely offense. They?ve put up 18 total runs during the first three games while allowing Chicago to score just six times.

"Over the past three years, we always had a good team," Adam Lind told reporters after Sunday?s 8-2 victory. "We've always had slow starts, but we always thought we were for real. It's just, 'Where are we at in September?' That's the question."

Sweeping the White Sox would make this the ninth series win of the season for Toronto and would give the team momentum heading into this upcoming road stretch, beginning in Boston Tuesday night. This trip will be a tell-tale test to see if the Jays are really a legit contender in the American League or a flash in the pan.

Pick: Toronto -156


Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (-104, 8.5)

To some people, constant rain and wind isn?t the most welcoming environment. But for the Seattle Mariners, life in the Emerald City is the best. How else can you explain the M?s turnaround when playing in the confines of Safeco Field?

Seattle took 2-of-3 games against the Boston Red Sox this weekend, improving its home record to 9-8 on the season. While that tally doesn?t have bettors running to the window, it is more impressive than the Mariners? road count or a terrible trip last week in which the team finished just 1-7.

The name of the game against the Red Sox this weekend was pitching. The Mariners? arms posted an ERA of 3.00 against Boston with the most impressive efforts coming from the bullpen. Seattle's relievers pitched just under 10 innings, allowed only four hits and did not give up an earned run.

The Mariners send Jarrod Washburn to the bump Monday. Washburn already got revenge against his former club with a stunning performance at home on April 15. Just 11 days later in California, he was rocked for six runs in just over five innings of work against the Angels.

Washburn, like the Mariners, is solid at home (2-0, 2.25 ERA) and rough on the road (1-2, 3.76 ERA).

Pick: Seattle -104

 

[tmacisonfire]

Palmer is not pitching its Lackey for the Angels

 

[cisco]

They make these sheets up either yesterday or during the night.
LAA is -113 right now with Lackey.