Trend sheet 5/2

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FLORIDA vs. CHI CUBS
Florida is 14-5 SU in their last 19 games when playing Chi Cubs
Florida is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Florida

LA ANGELS vs. NY YANKEES
LA Angels are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games on the road
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

HOUSTON vs. ATLANTA
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston

NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home

COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Colorado is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
San Francisco is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

ARIZONA vs. MILWAUKEE
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Arizona is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Milwaukee is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Arizona
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Boston
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston

KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
Kansas City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Minnesota is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

CHI WHITE SOX vs. TEXAS
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Texas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games

 

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NATIONAL LEAGUE

N.Y. Mets (10-12) at Philadelphia (11-10)

The defending World Series champion Phillies will trot out ageless left-hander Jamie Moyer (3-1, 5.09 ERA) for Game 2 of their three-game set at Citizens Bank Park against the Mets, who will counter with southpaw Oliver Perez (1-2, 9.31).

In Friday?s opener, New York jumped out to a 5-0 lead and held off Philadelphia 7-4, with starter Mike Pelfrey (three runs, seven hits, 5 1/3 innings) getting the win and contributing two RBIs to the cause. Despite the victory, the Mets remain on a 4-7 skid in their last 11 starts, and they are on further slides of 1-4 on the road and 2-6 against winning teams, though they?ve won their last four Saturday contests.

Friday?s setback aside, the Phillies are 5-2 in their last seven and are on additional upticks of 35-17 overall (playoffs included), 9-1 against lefties, 5-2 in the N.L. East, 37-19 at home and 35-18 against losing teams.

This is the first series of the season between these rivals. With Friday?s victory, the Mets have won five of their last six outings in Philadelphia, and they are 12-7 overall in 19 meetings with the Phillies dating to the beginning of last season.

Moyer has won his last three starts, including Sunday?s 13-2 road wipeout of Florida in which he allowed one run on seven hits and a walk in six innings, with six strikeouts. The 46-year-old, making his fifth start of the season, is 1-1 with an inflated 6.55 ERA in two home starts.

Moyer has been solid against the Mets, going 7-4 with a 2.91 ERA in 17 career appearances, including 2-1 with a 3.53 ERA and three no-decisions in six starts last year. The Phillies are on a handful of runs with Moyer on the hill, including 4-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 9-3 at home against losing teams and 26-8 against the N.L. East.

The Mets have lost in three of Perez?s four starts this season, including an 8-1 rout last Sunday at Washington, with Perez getting tagged for seven runs (all earned) on nine hits in just 4 1/3 innings. He yielded a pair of homers, walked three and struck out three. Perez is 0-1 with an eye-popping 12.00 ERA in two road starts this year.

Perez is 2-3 despite a solid 3.15 ERA in 12 career starts against the Phillies, going 1-0 last year with a minuscule 0.35 ERA in four starts, with the Mets going 3-1 in those contests. Philly is just 1-5 in Perez?s last five starts, but backing Perez, they remain on runs of 10-4 against winning teams, 5-1 on the road against winning teams and 10-3 in division play.

The under is 8-2 in Moyer?s last 10 starts against the Mets and 4-0 in Perez?s last four outings against the Phillies.

The over for Philadelphia is on runs of 12-5-2 overall, 6-2-2 inside the division, 4-1-1 in Moyer?s last six starts and 9-4 with Moyer facing losing teams, and the over for New York is on streaks of 10-2-2 behind Perez and 5-0-1 with Perez throwing on the road. However, the under is on rolls of 4-1-1 in Philly?s last six home games, 4-1-2 overall for the Mets and 5-1-2 for New York against the N.L. East.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (14-9) at Tampa Bay (10-14)

Right-handed knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (2-1, 1.86 ERA) takes the mound for the Red Sox in Game 3 of a four-game set at Tropicana Field against the defending A.L. champion Rays, who will start 6-foot-9-inch rookie Jeff Niemann (2-2, 4.43).

For the second straight night, Tampa Bay breezed past Boston, scoring all six of its runs in the fifth inning to overcome a 2-0 deficit and post a 6-2 victory. The Sox have dropped two in a row and three of four, but are still on runs of 12-3 overall, 4-0 on Saturday, 7-2 against the A.L. East and 8-3 against right-handers. On the downside, they are 9-24 in their last 33 starts on artificial turf, and they?ve been outscored 19-2 in the first two games of this series.

The Rays are on rolls of 62-25 at home (4-5 this year) and 47-15 at Tropicana against right-handers, but they?ve gone just 6-11 in their last 17 games overall (playoffs included) and are on additional skids of 0-5 on Saturday and 4-7 on artificial turf.

Tampa Bay has won four in a row in this rivalry and 15 of the last 21 overall, and the Rays have topped the Sox in 13 of the last 16 clashes in Tampa Bay.

The Red Sox have won three in a row behind Wakefield, including a 3-1 road victory over Cleveland on Monday in which the 42-year-old got a no-decision but threw seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit and four walks, with five strikeouts. During the three-game run, Wakefield has allowed just three earned runs in 23 innings (1.18 ERA), including a complete-game 8-2 win at Oakland in which he took a no-hitter into the eighth inning. He is 1-1 with a 2.05 ERA in three road outings this season.

In 41 career appearances (31 starts) against Tampa, Wakefield is 19-5 with a 3.32 ERA, though he went 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA in three starts last year, including a 13-4 blitzing in the American League Championship Series. In that contest in Boston, he allowed five runs on six hits (three homers) in just 2 2/3 innings. With Wakefield on the hill, the Red Sox are on a 24-9 against a losing team, but they are on slides of 0-6 on field turf, 3-11 in the A.L. East and 7-15 on the road.

Nieman lost his first two starts of the 2009 campaign but has come back with a pair of wins. On Monday at Minnesota, he gave up one run on a solo homer and allowed just two more hits and four walks, with four strikeouts, in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-1 rout. The 26-year-old is 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two road starts this season. The right-hander, who had just five career appearances prior to this season, is facing the Red Sox for the first time.

The under is 5-2 in the last five Red Sox-Rays battles. Otherwise, though, the over for Boston is on streaks of 14-5 overall, 8-2 on the road, 16-5-1 on Saturday, 5-1-1 with Wakefield throwing, 5-1-1 on the road behind Wakefield and 5-1 with Wakefield facing an A.L. East foe. Similarly, the over for Tampa is on stretches of 4-1 at home, 36-17 against right-handed starters and 20-7 at home against right-handers.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

 

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MLB weekend cheat sheet
By Marc Lawrence

In the MLB Cheat Sheet, a guide designed to help you isolate the best bets, we focus on two top series in both leagues on this weekend?s schedule. Keep in mind that all pitcher records are ?team starts? unless noted otherwise.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Florida Marlins at Chicago Cubs

Most Recent Series Result: Marlins 13-4 last 17 games vs. Cubs

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Marlins 6-2 last eight away games vs. Phillies

Key Day/Month Stat: Marlins 6-1 last six Fridays; Cubs 1-5 last six Fridays

Best Arm in the Series: Cubs? Zambrano 7-0, 3.12 ERA last seven starts

Worst Arm in the Series: Cubs? Lilly 1-4, 5.53 ERA lifetime

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

Most Recent Series Result: Mets 11-6 last 17 games vs. Phillies

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Mets 4-1 last five away games vs. Phillies

Key Day/Month Stat: Phillies 9-1 home on Sundays; Mets 0-6 on Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Cubs? Mets? Maine 8-1, 2.54 ERA lifetime vs. Phillies

Worst Arm in the Series: Phillies? Hamels 0-3, 5.83 ERA last three starts vs. Mets

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees

Most Recent Series Result: Angels 5-1 last six games vs. Yankees

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Angels 6-4 last 10 games away vs. Yankees

Key Day/Month Stat: Yankees 14-6 home on Saturdays; Angels 0-4 on Saturdays

Best Arm in the Series: Angels? Weaver 3-1, 6.14 ERA lifetime vs. Yankees

Worst Arm in the Series: Yankees? Pettite 0-3, 7.98 ERA last three starts vs. Angels

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

Most Recent Series Result: Rays 13-6 last 19 games vs. Red Sox

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Rays 11-3 last 14 home games vs. Red Sox

Key Day/Month Stat: Red Sox 4-0 on Saturdays; Rays 0-5 on Saturdays

Best Arm in the Series: Rays? Sonnanstine 3-0, 1.34 ERA last three starts vs. Red Sox

Worst Arm in the Series: Red Sox?s Wakefield 0-5, 7.48 ERA last five starts vs. Rays; Rays? Shields 2-9, 5.18 ERA lifetime vs. Red Sox