Trend sheet sunday 6/29

[cisco]

Hot Pitchers
-- Duke is 5-0, 2.50 in his last five home starts.
-- Marlins won last three Nolasco starts (2-0, 2.50).
-- Nieve is 3-0, 1.45 in his three starts for the Mets.
-- Lincecum is 3-1, 1.89 in his last four starts.
-- Oswalt is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez has 2.95 RA in his last five starts, but Colorado lost seven of his last eight road starts. Dodgers are 6-2 in Wolf's home starts.

-- Floyd is 3-1, 2.13 in his last seven starts, but White Sox lost his last five road outings.
-- Red Sox won last three Lester road starts (2-0, 2.37).
-- Halladay was 7-0, 2.31 in his last ten starts before going on the DL. Tampa Bay won eight of last nine Niemann starts, scoring 8+ runs in all eight wins; they're 0-4 in his starts if they score less than 7 runs.
-- O'Sullivan is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts for the Angels.
-- Blackburn is 4-1, 2.25 in his last eight starts.
-- Tigers won nine of last ten Porcello starts, winning last four.


Cold Pitchers
-- Harden is 0-3, 6.85 in his last four starts.
-- Olsen was 0-1, 10.05 in his last three starts before going on the DL.
-- Looper is 0-1, 7.18 in his last five starts.
-- Thompson is 2-2, 4.94 in five starts, all on the road.
-- Geer is 0-1, 6.72 in his last five starts.

-- Pavano is 0-2, 15.53 in his last three starts.
-- Berken is 0-1, 7.15 in his last five starts.
-- Padilla is 0-2, 4.70 in his last four starts.
-- Hochevar is 1-1, 6.06 in his three home starts.
-- Anderson is 0-2, 8.59 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams.
-- Pirates won six of their last eight home games.
-- Marlins won their last five home games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.
-- Astros won three of their last four road games.
-- Rockies won 20 of their last 23 games.

-- White Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Tampa Bay won 13 of its last 17 games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five home games. Red Sox are 10-3 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Twins are 8-4 in their last twelve road games.
-- Angels won 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Tigers won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Nationals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve home games. Mets are 6-12 in their last 18 games- they scored three runs in last three games.
-- Cardinals are 6-9 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Padres lost ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Indians lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Toronto is 6-10 in its last sixteen home games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Rangers are 5-8 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Oakland lost six of its last seven games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-4-1 in Cubs' last thirteen road games.
-- Five of last seven Washington games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Houston road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-4 in Dodgers' last dozen home games.

-- Over is 3-1-1 in White sox' last five games.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under the total (4-1/1-0/1-2).
-- Seven of last nine Toronto home games went over the total.
-- 12 of last 13 Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Kansas City home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven games at Oakland.

 

[cisco]

Trend Report


7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
Chi Cubs are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
Chi Cubs are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:08 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Toronto's last 20 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. FLORIDA
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

8:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
Texas is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

8:05 PM
NY METS vs. MILWAUKEE
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Mets's last 16 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games

8:15 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

10:05 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games on the road
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Oakland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Diego's last 22 games when playing Houston

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
Colorado is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing Colorado

 

[cisco]

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (-105, 8)

If there?s one thing the Cubs never want to see, it?s a southpaw on the mound.

Chicago is the one of the worst offensive teams against left-handers in the majors. The Cubbies are ranked 26th in batting average against lefties (.246 BA) and are last in the league in home runs (12) and runs scored (61) against them.

And guess who the Cubs face Monday? Pittsburgh left-hander Zach Duke.

The Duke of the Steel City has a career record of just 4-5 in 14 starts against Chicago, but has a fantastic 3.03 ERA. In his only appearance against them this season, Duke went seven innings and allowed only two runs. This game figures to have a premium on runs and should be close throughout.

Pick: Under 8


Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-127, 8)

The Dodgers don?t just play well against the Rockies ? they own them.

Los Angeles has won eight of nine games against Colorado this season, outscoring them by a combined score of 74-43. The Dodgers also have excelled at winning the close matchups, claiming all four meetings decided by four runs or less.

The Dodgers still are without star slugger Manny Ramirez, but have maintained their winning ways by getting a balanced offensive effort from their entire lineup. The biggest standouts include Andre Ethier (.263 BA, 14 HR, 49 RBI), Casey Blake (.296, 11, 48) and James Loney (.280, 5, 49).

The Rockies also have struggled to keep opponents off the scoreboard, yielding 26 runs the past four games. Look for the Dodgers to maintain their dominance over the Rockies.

Pick: Dodgers -127

 

[cisco]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

Roy Halladay (Toronto Blue Jays)

Halladay might have the most popular groin in all of Canada.

The Blue Jay?s ace lasted just three innings, in which he yielded only one run, in his last start on June 12 before being lifted because of tightness in his groin. But after an extended bullpen session Friday, the right-hander appears ready to step back into his role as the team?s ace.

Halladay (10-1, 2.52 ERA) has been great this month, 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA and went the distance in his two starts prior to his early exit against the Marlins. He will look to regain his form Monday against the Rays.

"Day in and day out, everybody that gets on first base says he's the best," Toronto first baseman Lyle Overbay told the Associated Press. "The Yankees, the Red Sox, they're like 'It's not fair.' I'm glad I'm on his side, not the other side."

Nick Blackburn (Minnesota Twins)

Let us introduce you to the best pitcher you don?t know about.

Blackburn (6-3, 3.11 ERA) isn?t spectacular or flashy, but he has been the model of consistency for the Twins this month. The right-hander has lasted at least seven innings in every start in June, including at least eight innings in each of the past three trips to the hill.

This month, he has just a 1-1 record because of poor run support, but has allowed a meager eight earned runs in 32 innings, including giving up just one home run during that span. He should be a huge challenge for the Kansas City lineup.


Slumping

Carl Pavano (Cleveland Indians)

The evil Carl Pavano is starting to reappear.

After going 5-1 with a 3.60 ERA last month, Pavano has gone 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA in June, including lasting a combined 13 1-3 innings in his past three starts in which he has yielded 18 earned runs.

"I thought my ball was a little flat, and when it flattens out like that, those are the kind of games I get -- a lot of contact and a lot of balls down the lines and in the holes," Pavano told the Associated Press.

The 33-year-old hurler must get more movement on his pitches if he is to improve on his record of 6-6 with a 5.80 ERA and have a chance against the White Sox.

Scott Olsen (Washington Nationals)

The left-hander might actually want to go back on the disabled list.

Olsen (1-4, 7.24 ERA) was put on the DL last month following three straight losses in which he failed to last past the fifth inning and yielded 16 runs in just 14 1-3 innings.

But his return Monday won?t be easy.

Olsen will have to beat the Marlins, a team he faced twice this year. His first start lasted just three innings as he allowed eight runs and a pair of home runs. Olsen?s other start against the fish was better in which he allowed three runs in seven innings, but the Nats ultimately lost the game.