Trend Sheets 7/22

cisco

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Every day during baseball season, ******** analyzes daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, totals, umpires.

Hot Pitchers
-- Santana is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Phillies this year.
-- Peavy has a 2.18 RA in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals won five of last six Lohse home starts.
-- Jimenez is 3-1, 2.39 in his last four starts.
-- Marquis has a 1.29 RA in his last two starts.
-- Bergmann has a 2.33 RA in his last four starts.

-- Twins are 5-1 in Slowey's last six road starts.
-- Marcum had a 2.62 RA in his last five starts before the DL.
-- White Sox won five of last six Buehrle home starts.
-- Weaver is 2-1, 2.19 in his last four starts. Ginter won his first '08 start, shutting Rays out in five IP.
-- Matsuzaka allowed one run in 23.1 IP in his last four starts. Dickey has a 1.37 RA in his last four starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Morton is 2-2, 6.53 in six starts for the Braves. Vander Hurk was 0-1, 11.82 in two starts back in April.
-- Blanton was 2-6, 6.94 in his last eight starts for the A's.
-- Cueto is 1-1, 6.63 in his last three starts.
-- Suppan is 1-2, 12.06 in his last four starts.
-- Pirates are 2-7 on road with Maholm. Cassel had a 5.59 RA in two starts for Astros back in April.
-- Kershaw is 0-1, 5.52 in his last three starts.
-- Petit allowed one run in six IP in his only '08 start, vs Brewers
-- Zito has an 8.25 RA in his last five home starts

-- Rasner is 2-7, 6.56 in his last nine starts.
-- Olson is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts.
-- Braden was 1-8, 6.72 in 14 starts last season. Sonnanstine is
0-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.
-- Texas is 0-3 in Mendoza road starts (0-1, 17.36).
-- Rogers has 5.34 RA in his last five starts. Davies is 0-1, 8.10 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won eight of their last twelve games. Braves won the last three road games, allowing four runs.
-- Mets won eleven of last thirteen games.
-- Reds are 9-6 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Astros won five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers won six of last seven road games. Cardinals won four of their last five games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Colorado won eight of its last ten home games. Dodgers won eight of their last ten road games.

-- Bronx won its last eight home games. Minnesota is 10-6 in its last sixteen games.
-- Rays are 35-8 in their last 43 home games.
-- Royals are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Rangers allowed one run in winning last two games; they're 10-7 in their last seventeen games.
-- Angels won six of their last eight games. Indians won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Padres lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates lost twelve of their last sixteen road games.
-- Arizona is 1-9 in game after its last ten wins. Cubs are 5-12 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Giants lost nine of their last ten games.

-- Oakland lost ten of last thirteen road games.
-- Toronto lost seven of its last nine road games. Orioles lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox lost last three games, allowing 23 runs.
-- Tigers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Mariners are 3-9 in their last twelve games. Red Sox lost ten of their last thirteen road games.


Totals
-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Florida home games.
-- Under is 8-1 in Mets' last ten home games.
-- Last five San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six St Louis games.
-- Last seven Jimenez starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1 in Giants' last eight home games.

-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten games in the Bronx.
-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Camden Yards.
-- Six of last nine Tampa home games went over total.
-- Five of last six White Sox games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Royal games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Cleveland's last ten road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Boston's last six road games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Fla-- Under is 8-1-3 in last dozen Barksdale games; dogs won his last four games behind dish.
-- Phil-NY-- No idea who umpire is for this series opener.
-- SD-Cin-- Home team won last ten BWelke games.
-- Pitt-Hst-- Over is 12-3 in last fifteen Reynolds games.
-- Mil-StL-- Under us 5-1 in West's last six games.
-- LA-Colo-- Six of last eight Nauert games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Az-- Over is 12-8 in Kellogg games this season.
-- Wsh-SF-- No idea who umpire is for this series opener.

-- Min-NY-- Five of last six McClelland games stayed under.
-- Tor-Balt-- Underdog is 10-6 in last sixteen Joyce games.
-- A's-TB-- Five of last six Marquez games went over total.
-- Tex-Chi-- Favorite won four of last five Winters games.
-- Det-KC-- Favorite is 11-1 in last dozen Davis games.
-- Clev-LA-- Under is 5-2 in Wolf's last seven games.
-- Bos-Sea-- Underdog is 7-2 in last nine Scott games; under is 9-4 in his last thirteen games.
 

cisco

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National League

Atlanta at Florida, 7:10 ET
Charlie Morton (R) vs. John Vandenhurk (R)
Morton: Atl 16-32 in road games
Vandenhurk: Fla 15-7 off loss by 4+ runs

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Blanton: Phi 13-3 playing with triple revenge
Santana: 3-8 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

San Diego at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Johnny Cueto (R)
Peavy: 8-0 TSR, 2.08 ERA vs. Cincinnati
Cueto: Cin 16-5 Under at home off Under

Pittsburgh at Houston, 8:05 ET
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Jack Cassel (R)
Maholm: Pit 5-2 vs. Houston
Cassel: Hou 12-0 Under at home when the total is 10 to 10.5

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 7:05 ET
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Kyle Lohse (R)
Suppan: 67-38 Under Away in night games
Lohse: StL 9-1 off division loss as favorite

LA Dodgers at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Clayton Kershaw (L) vs. Ubaldo Jiminez (R)
Kershaw: Dodgers 8-2 after scoring 15+ runs
Jiminez: Col 19-38 off a loss

Chicago Cubs at Arizona, 9:40 ET WGN
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Yusmiero Petit (R)
Marquis: 6-1 TSR off a loss
Petit: Ari 7-1 at home vs. Cubs

Washington at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Jason Bergmann (R) vs. Barry Zito (L)
Bergmann: Wash 0-4 vs. San Francisco
Zito: SF 10-2 Over playing with a day off

American League

Minnesota at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Kevin Slowey (R) vs. Darrell Rasner (R)
Slowey: Min 11-2 Over Away off BB losses
Rasner: Yankees 26-7 after scoring 10+ runs

Toronto at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Shaun Marcum (R) vs. Garrett Olson (R)
Marcum: TOR 3-12 AWAY with a money line of -100 to -125
Olson: BAL 10-4 on Tuesday

Oakland at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Dallas Braden (L) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
Braden: OAK 5-13 revenging a shutout loss
Sonnanstine: TB 17-1 as a home favorite of -150 to -200

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Luis Mendoza (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Mendoza: 1-5 TSR in all games
Buehrle: 8-1 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Kyle Davies (R)
Rogers: 7-0 TSR when the total is 10 or higher
Davies: KC 2-9 at home after a loss by 4+ runs

Cleveland at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Matt Ginter (R) vs. Jered Weaver (R)
Ginter: CLE 7-22 as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Weaver: LAA 12-3 on Tuesday

Boston at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Daisuke Matsuzaka (R) vs. R.A. Dickey (R)
Matsuzaka: BOS 31-8 as a favorite of -125 to -175
Dickey: SEA 9-26 when the total is 9 to 9.5
 

spang

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Not sure what the D'Backs Petit did to land himself on the cold pitchers list, I like AZ a bit tonight.Looks like plenty of reasons to support the Astros and possibly the over tonight.

Lots of useful information there, thanks.
 

cisco

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How have you been spang :SIB

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks [9:40 PM ET]

Cubs: Jason Marquis has a loss and no-decision in his last two starts but he's pitched very well in both games. In 14 innings of work, Marquis struck out nine and allowed just two runs but didn't receive any support from the Cubs offense. In his last 10 starts, Marquis has allowed three runs or less eight times and has a strong 3.38 ERA on the road this season. Marquis is 2-4 against the Diamondbacks but Arizona hitters are batting just .218 against him.

Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Cubs are 7-26 in the last 33 meetings at Arizona.

Key Injuries - Closer Kerry Wood (24 saves; finger) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Diamondbacks (-115, O/U 9.5): Yusmeiro Petit will make just his second home start of the season for Arizona and try to snap a streak of five straight losses in games he has appeared in. Petit pitched outstanding in his lone home start back on July 2 against the Brewers, but he walked away with a no-decision in an eventual 4-3 loss despite allowing only one run and two hits in six innings with no walks and four strikeouts. He is 1-0 in three career starts against the Cubs with a 3.27 ERA..

Diamondbacks are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Arizona.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

Key Injuries - OF Justin Upton (.242; oblique) is on the 15-day DL.
 

cisco

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Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona: When ARIZONA team played as a Home team - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a 1 game win; The Dbacks are 20-9 SU in this spot

Pittsburgh vs. Houston: When PITTSBURGH team Played as road team as a Underdog - 2nd game of a series - During the 2008 season; The OVER is 12-3-0 for the Pirates in this spot this year.


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