Trends & Love for S F Austin

[WildBillPicks7]

First, I can understand the love for SFA getting or giving pts to ND today, they are a #14 seed and everyone loves the underdog. 95% of paid touts are on SFA, 56% of money line on SFA, only 60% on ND side now which was 50% after the opening number and climbed to as high as 80% until it reached -1 1/2, then went to pk, then to -2, then to SFA to -1, now back to ND.

#14 seeds, 0-7 SU L7 tries in tourney.

Underdogs who allowed 80 pts last game and won as an Underdog are 2-11, this follows Middle Tenn which upset Michigan St. Also #10 or worse seeds in tourney who win their first game in tourney are 12-34-1 L17 years ATS if getting 4 or more pts.

Best Tourney teams in 2nd round left straight up record: Xavier 5-0, Wisconsin 4-0 (both play each other, Wisky with change of HC, Gard for Ryan), Duke now 15-1 in this round, failed to cover vs Yale.

Worse Tourney teams in 2nd round left, straight up record: Maryland 0-5, Tex A&M 0-3, Villanova 0-3 but winning by 25 as of this moment.

#13 or worse seeds in 2nd round are 7-34 SU and 11-29-1 ATS. (SFA, Middle Tenn)
#10 or worse favs are 15-4 ATS, SFA opened as a dog, went to fav, now back as a dog.

GL!!

Your input is appreciated!

:0003

 

[Chadman]

So if SFA goes off as a dog, they don't benefit from the big trend, right? I'm really leaning on Notre Dame right now after my Villanova instincts were good.

 

[BP]

Sounds solid. Line flipped too. Gonna tail this one. Think it's a winner.

:0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

So if SFA goes off as a dog, they don't benefit from the big trend, right? I'm really leaning on Notre Dame right now after my Villanova instincts were good.

ND underground line was -4, printed line -2, Vegas had -1 1/2, heavy action took ND from -1 1/2 to pick to -2, to SFA -1 after SFA went to -1 it's zig zagged back and forth, but to answer your question Chad, yes, SFA was a dog at open.

All of the pay for touts and media are pumping SFA cuz of their brawny and physical play, WV didn't get shocked, they got outplayed and could not hit FT's, something that SFA got to the line quite often on. Only ND PF/C Auguste is a bad FT shooter, 63%, the rest are all pretty good shooters. Key here will be play of Ryan for ND and Jackson!

Also bench play.

Rag sheets pumping SFA as well!

GL!!

I'm sticking w/my gut on this one!!

It's almost Miller Time!

:toast:

 

[Chadman]

Thanks for your thoughts Bill. Mad at myself yesterday for flipping on a couple games figuring I wouldn't stay hot. Just gonna stick to my gut today. Go Irish!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Push, loss or a Win, depending on your line in ND game. I had -1 and +1.

1 #1 seed left to make Sweet 16, will be first time in a couple years, all 4 #1's made it that far.

ST Joe w/one of best road records of the season.

 

[Chadman]

Frustrated! Waited so long and got -2... lost. My fault, entirely.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Frustrated! Waited so long and got -2... lost. My fault, entirely.

Ouch!!

One reason I like 5Dimes, you can buy points or just play money line and when lines are different sometimes tips you to where the money is going, or their odds are updated faster.

When I went to put more money for a round robin, ND was +1.

Thanks for the tip on 5Dimes, Chad. I use them solely now since my bookies lowered my max amounts. LOL!

 

[Roger Baltrey]

Ouch!!

One reason I like 5Dimes, you can buy points or just play money line and when lines are different sometimes tips you to where the money is going, or their odds are updated faster.

When I went to put more money for a round robin, ND was +1.

Thanks for the tip on 5Dimes, Chad. I use them solely now since my bookies lowered my max amounts. LOL!

WB

Love dimes too but its a project to get funds in there.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

WB

Love dimes too but its a project to get funds in there. What method are you using?

Credit card. Never had a problem. I ain't deposited money since my initial deposit, 2 years ago! Just rolling over what I have invested in it.

GL Roger!