After yesterday's debacle by the CHI SCRUBS, I will only be playing against that team the rest of the way when opportunity arises.
BOS (Castillo/Mercedes) -165
Thought this one might be scary at first, but the more I look, the more I like. Castillo seems to be the only pitcher worth backing on this staff and has pitched well lately, 0-1 20IP 2.25 ERA 7.7MBA. Castillo has been average vs. BAL 0-1 9IP 5.00 ERA, but here's where it gets good, Mercedes on the road 4-10 5.54 ERA, 0-3 14.2IP 9.82 ERA 16.6MBA lst 3, 0-1 4.1IP 16.62 ERA vs. BOS and for the topper, 2-9 7.83 ERA w/ 5+ days rest. I don't see BAL winning 2 in a row here, not with this matchup.
MIN (Mays/Glover) -125
Think this one speaks for itself. Two different classes of pitchers here. Mays 9-6 3.00 ERA on the road, 3-0 24IP 1.13 ERA 6.8MBA lst 3, 1-0 13IP 2.77 ERA vs. CHA. Glover 5.36 ERA at home, team is 0-3 behind his starts at home, 0-2 17.2IP 6.62 ERA 11.2MBA lst 3, 0-1 5IP 3.60 ERA vs MIN. Mays has never lost to CHA 5-0 2.69 ERA and MIN is 11-2 vs. CHA this year. CHA has looked good, but who wouldn't fattening up on KC pitching, plus MIN 'pen didn't allow an ER vs. CLE. Think the price is cheap.
MON (Pavano/Appier) +142
This play is a partial fade, but there seem to be some numbers to back MON here. Pavano's 1st couple of starts he got pounded, but he's gotten stronger with each outing, 7.1 IP 2 ER last game, being that NYM have not seen him this year might also be an advantage. Appier has pitched well lately 1-0 20.1IP 2.66 ERA, but the Mets don't support him very well 3.9-4.2 rpg, and MON has gotten to him, 0-1 5IP 12.60 ERA vs MON. The Mets are only 7-6 vs. MON this season and 2-10 the next series after playing the Braves. Think the enormity of the last series and the atmosphere in NY will be lingering in this first game. Give me the dog.
Fade Parlay:
MON +142
ANA +190 OAK might still be in a champange fog.
Good hunting
MOV
BOS (Castillo/Mercedes) -165
Thought this one might be scary at first, but the more I look, the more I like. Castillo seems to be the only pitcher worth backing on this staff and has pitched well lately, 0-1 20IP 2.25 ERA 7.7MBA. Castillo has been average vs. BAL 0-1 9IP 5.00 ERA, but here's where it gets good, Mercedes on the road 4-10 5.54 ERA, 0-3 14.2IP 9.82 ERA 16.6MBA lst 3, 0-1 4.1IP 16.62 ERA vs. BOS and for the topper, 2-9 7.83 ERA w/ 5+ days rest. I don't see BAL winning 2 in a row here, not with this matchup.
MIN (Mays/Glover) -125
Think this one speaks for itself. Two different classes of pitchers here. Mays 9-6 3.00 ERA on the road, 3-0 24IP 1.13 ERA 6.8MBA lst 3, 1-0 13IP 2.77 ERA vs. CHA. Glover 5.36 ERA at home, team is 0-3 behind his starts at home, 0-2 17.2IP 6.62 ERA 11.2MBA lst 3, 0-1 5IP 3.60 ERA vs MIN. Mays has never lost to CHA 5-0 2.69 ERA and MIN is 11-2 vs. CHA this year. CHA has looked good, but who wouldn't fattening up on KC pitching, plus MIN 'pen didn't allow an ER vs. CLE. Think the price is cheap.
MON (Pavano/Appier) +142
This play is a partial fade, but there seem to be some numbers to back MON here. Pavano's 1st couple of starts he got pounded, but he's gotten stronger with each outing, 7.1 IP 2 ER last game, being that NYM have not seen him this year might also be an advantage. Appier has pitched well lately 1-0 20.1IP 2.66 ERA, but the Mets don't support him very well 3.9-4.2 rpg, and MON has gotten to him, 0-1 5IP 12.60 ERA vs MON. The Mets are only 7-6 vs. MON this season and 2-10 the next series after playing the Braves. Think the enormity of the last series and the atmosphere in NY will be lingering in this first game. Give me the dog.
Fade Parlay:
MON +142
ANA +190 OAK might still be in a champange fog.
Good hunting
MOV
