Tuesday May 8th 2007
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
lad 51% (-120)-4
hou 57 (-103)+6
Atl 59 (Germano-Villarreal)
Mil 66 (-200)-1 RL 52 (+107)+3
Cubs 58 (-145)-2
Stl 60 (-125)+4
Ariz 53 (-115)-1
mets 51 (-102)even
Balt 57 (-125)+1
Det 71 (-177)+7 RL 57 (+119)+11
Nyy 64 (-248)-8 RL 50 (-121)-5
bost 64 (-191)-2 RL 50 (-120)-5
cws 53 (+106)+4
Kc 52 (-120)-3
Laa 54 (-112)+1
system totals
wash@Mil ov9 62% (-125)+6
seat@Det un9 65 (+110)+17
This is one ugly board.
Best play is pricey, at -177.
Well?Astros may be worth a shot; I'll like them better if they can put some on the board tonight.
Nothing else attractive, as I think Bush is Milwaukee's worst starter,
Cards are risky early this season,
and Yanks and Bosox are way too expensive.
I think the Jays go down, but think that a 64 is fairly accurate in this spot;
Jays have lost 6 straight, and Beckett is fabulous, but Jays still with an OPS right around .800 at home; Zambrano a career 5-3 vs Bosox, and in 3 appearances at the Rogers Centre he's allowed no runs (3.1 IP, 2 H, 0 BB, 3 K)?not that he'll likely keep that up, but Jays have hit Beckett before (he's 1-2 in 5 starts vs Jays w/6.21 era?0-1 with an era of 9.00 in 2 starts at Rogers Centre).
Even the 2 posted totals don't thrill me.
Nationals are having trouble scoring, and Simontacchi is a big X-factor (though he'll likely stink).
Tigers are crushing lefties, and Ramirez has been pretty awful.
Still?Bonderman should keep it down, and 9 is fairly high for Comerica.
Figured I'd post this early, as I gotta crash early tonight.
I'll probably take a shot at something, in this mess, but not much.
These numbers would only really change much, by tonight's action, if something out of the ordinary occurred, like an injury, a depleted BP due to a super-short outting, or some other such thing; so take 'em as they are.
I'll have to update my record later (or see yesterday's post).
Picks will be posted once I see what the Astros and Brewers are up to Monday.
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
lad 51% (-120)-4
hou 57 (-103)+6
Atl 59 (Germano-Villarreal)
Mil 66 (-200)-1 RL 52 (+107)+3
Cubs 58 (-145)-2
Stl 60 (-125)+4
Ariz 53 (-115)-1
mets 51 (-102)even
Balt 57 (-125)+1
Det 71 (-177)+7 RL 57 (+119)+11
Nyy 64 (-248)-8 RL 50 (-121)-5
bost 64 (-191)-2 RL 50 (-120)-5
cws 53 (+106)+4
Kc 52 (-120)-3
Laa 54 (-112)+1
system totals
wash@Mil ov9 62% (-125)+6
seat@Det un9 65 (+110)+17
This is one ugly board.
Best play is pricey, at -177.
Well?Astros may be worth a shot; I'll like them better if they can put some on the board tonight.
Nothing else attractive, as I think Bush is Milwaukee's worst starter,
Cards are risky early this season,
and Yanks and Bosox are way too expensive.
I think the Jays go down, but think that a 64 is fairly accurate in this spot;
Jays have lost 6 straight, and Beckett is fabulous, but Jays still with an OPS right around .800 at home; Zambrano a career 5-3 vs Bosox, and in 3 appearances at the Rogers Centre he's allowed no runs (3.1 IP, 2 H, 0 BB, 3 K)?not that he'll likely keep that up, but Jays have hit Beckett before (he's 1-2 in 5 starts vs Jays w/6.21 era?0-1 with an era of 9.00 in 2 starts at Rogers Centre).
Even the 2 posted totals don't thrill me.
Nationals are having trouble scoring, and Simontacchi is a big X-factor (though he'll likely stink).
Tigers are crushing lefties, and Ramirez has been pretty awful.
Still?Bonderman should keep it down, and 9 is fairly high for Comerica.
Figured I'd post this early, as I gotta crash early tonight.
I'll probably take a shot at something, in this mess, but not much.
These numbers would only really change much, by tonight's action, if something out of the ordinary occurred, like an injury, a depleted BP due to a super-short outting, or some other such thing; so take 'em as they are.
I'll have to update my record later (or see yesterday's post).
Picks will be posted once I see what the Astros and Brewers are up to Monday.
