tuesday ncaa basketball ......

gman2

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marshall (+4.5)

there are two seemingly immutable capping rules when betting the kent state and marshall matchup.

the first would be to bet on kent state beating the shit out of marshall every year when they play at the maac center in kent.

and the second is that no matter how bad marshall looks in the first meeting at kent, expect that the herd will battle their asses off in the rematch in huntington.

it happens every year.

marshall at kent state
(2005) kent 75-66
(2004) kent 86-65
(2003) kent 71-58
(2002) kent 116-76
(2001) kent 89-67
(2000) kent 84-73

then when the game flips to marshall hosting kent, the flashes struggle big time. kent is 3-2 their last 5 trips there, but there hasnt been a single easy game for the flashes.

the 3 kent wins in marshall have come by a combined EIGHT points (63-61, 73-70, 68-65). marshall won the other two games convincingly.

a few years back when kent almost went undefeated in conference play and made the elite 8 in the ncaa tourney, even that team needed overtime to defeat an inferior marshall team by 3 points.

after losing to toledo on saturday after holding command of that one for the first half and early 2nd half, it leaves kent still winless on the road in mac play. i still think kent is gonna playing for an ncaa berth in the mac tourney when the time comes, but for right now they are overvalued playing in a gym where they have struggled with even their most dominant teams.
 

Keith 1

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gman2 said:
marshall (+4.5)

there are two seemingly immutable capping rules when betting the kent state and marshall matchup.

the first would be to bet on kent state beating the shit out of marshall every year when they play at the maac center in kent.

and the second is that no matter how bad marshall looks in the first meeting at kent, expect that the herd will battle their asses off in the rematch in huntington.

it happens every year.

marshall at kent state
(2005) kent 75-66
(2004) kent 86-65
(2003) kent 71-58
(2002) kent 116-76
(2001) kent 89-67
(2000) kent 84-73

then when the game flips to marshall hosting kent, the flashes struggle big time. kent is 3-2 their last 5 trips there, but there hasnt been a single easy game for the flashes.

the 3 kent wins in marshall have come by a combined EIGHT points (63-61, 73-70, 68-65). marshall won the other two games convincingly.

a few years back when kent almost went undefeated in conference play and made the elite 8 in the ncaa tourney, even that team needed overtime to defeat an inferior marshall team by 3 points.

after losing to toledo on saturday after holding command of that one for the first half and early 2nd half, it leaves kent still winless on the road in mac play. i still think kent is gonna playing for an ncaa berth in the mac tourney when the time comes, but for right now they are overvalued playing in a gym where they have struggled with even their most dominant teams.
good luck gman. PLUS over 85% of the public is on Kent. Like the Herd alot tonight.
 

gman2

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also forgot to add it up top but played marshall in the 1st half (+2.5). normally i go with a game/moneyline combo but kent has a way of pulling off last second finishes in huntington so moneyline might not happen. but 1st/game works for me. im expecting one of marshalls better performances. they didnt play over the weekend so no excuse for them not to be sharp.
 

GOAT

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Yep Good take on Kent State i can not type like you . You got some very nice posts. I like you do the work. Love the MAC as you do. Thanks for your posts. Off Kent for sure. By the way we go head to head from time to time but that is what Jacks is about. By the way this took me way to long to type. But had to give you a THANKS. Good Luck. :clap:
 

Sportsaholic

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Good post gman...................looks like the number at Marshall tend to lead to low scoring affairs??????????? Any opinion on the total?
 

Save It

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hope this hits for you gman2 - looks like you've done some solid homework on it, as usual - gl to you as always!
 

gman2

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marshall +4.5 game
marshall +2.5 1st half


playing this one in the 2nd half:

marshall under 75

although im very confident in the herd getting it done, i think the 2nd half will tighten up and the scoring will slow down. good opportunity here for marshall to pick up a win. i kinda expect a defensive 2nd half and a game decided in the final 1:00
 
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