YTD: 23-10-2
My wife and I are moving our kids to bigger digs this week so I don't have a lot of time to line shop...the new place is just down the street but a move is a move and a pain in the a.
I took Siena ML -220, you can probably do better if you wait. I don't like to pay a lot of juice but at roughly 2-1 this is probably the best way to go....better than Pedro or Johnson at -300.
Siena is a decent team...four of five starters returning...too bad one of them isn't last years star Prosper Karangwa. Saints are always tough at home but they've been on a major tailspin...after winning their first three they've lost nine in a row...some of the losses have been to good teams like Syracuse (by 13) and to Providence (by 7) but they've also gotten beat by much lesser competition.
Siena has a good base...usually drawing 9000 or so to Pepsi Arena, but even the loyal Saints fans have taken to booing their team, singling out senior guard Jamal Jackson as their primary target.
With nine straight losses and 0-3 in the MAAC, you must wonder why I like the Saints here.
Here's why:
1. Siena's best player Michael Haddix has been in/out with turf toe. Siena has always been known for their D, and with Haddix out they just don't seem to be playing tough. Haddix is back to form and I think he'll have a big game against St. Peters.
2. I like Siena Coach Lanier...he doesn't have the athletes of teams like Syracuse, but he always gets the best out of his players. This team should be playing much better than they are, they have 9 of 10 from the team that made it to the 2nd round of the NIT last year. I think they're in a bit of a funk and they will snap out of it soon.
3. My power ratings have St. Peters as a one-point favorite...if Vegas has made them a five point dog then the oddsmakers must really feel this is the time for a Siena win.
4. Siena has dominated St. Peters over the years -- going 10-0 vs the Peacocks since 1999; 8 of 10 by double digits including the last five.
I don't think Siena has anyone quick enough to guard S-Ps Keydren Clark...just like the Saints couldn't stop Manhattan's Luis Flores last week...that's why I like the ML instead of the -5. I consider the difference to be a little insurance against a Clark three at the buzzer.
Hope this makes sense, I was typing fast while my wife is yelling at to me to come help pack.
good luck
- Jon
My wife and I are moving our kids to bigger digs this week so I don't have a lot of time to line shop...the new place is just down the street but a move is a move and a pain in the a.
I took Siena ML -220, you can probably do better if you wait. I don't like to pay a lot of juice but at roughly 2-1 this is probably the best way to go....better than Pedro or Johnson at -300.
Siena is a decent team...four of five starters returning...too bad one of them isn't last years star Prosper Karangwa. Saints are always tough at home but they've been on a major tailspin...after winning their first three they've lost nine in a row...some of the losses have been to good teams like Syracuse (by 13) and to Providence (by 7) but they've also gotten beat by much lesser competition.
Siena has a good base...usually drawing 9000 or so to Pepsi Arena, but even the loyal Saints fans have taken to booing their team, singling out senior guard Jamal Jackson as their primary target.
With nine straight losses and 0-3 in the MAAC, you must wonder why I like the Saints here.
Here's why:
1. Siena's best player Michael Haddix has been in/out with turf toe. Siena has always been known for their D, and with Haddix out they just don't seem to be playing tough. Haddix is back to form and I think he'll have a big game against St. Peters.
2. I like Siena Coach Lanier...he doesn't have the athletes of teams like Syracuse, but he always gets the best out of his players. This team should be playing much better than they are, they have 9 of 10 from the team that made it to the 2nd round of the NIT last year. I think they're in a bit of a funk and they will snap out of it soon.
3. My power ratings have St. Peters as a one-point favorite...if Vegas has made them a five point dog then the oddsmakers must really feel this is the time for a Siena win.
4. Siena has dominated St. Peters over the years -- going 10-0 vs the Peacocks since 1999; 8 of 10 by double digits including the last five.
I don't think Siena has anyone quick enough to guard S-Ps Keydren Clark...just like the Saints couldn't stop Manhattan's Luis Flores last week...that's why I like the ML instead of the -5. I consider the difference to be a little insurance against a Clark three at the buzzer.
Hope this makes sense, I was typing fast while my wife is yelling at to me to come help pack.
good luck
- Jon
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