I'm HOPING ANYWAY! But if nothing else, maybe some good insight at least...
Atlanta at PHILA
With two average offenses and two effective starters, all we need for a solid UNDER play is a good ump... hmmmm MEALS is 12-18 HT, and 9-18 O/U. SOLD! In his last ten games behind the plate, the ROAD team is 7-3 and O/U is 6-4. However, the ROAD/UNDER combo is 6-1 in those seven victories. UNDER is 4-1 in PHILA last five at home and overall, GLAVINE's last 7 starts have gone UNDER 6-1, and UNDER is 5-2 in ATL's last seven games.
ATL "gave" PHIL a few runs yesterday, and I see them rebounding and playing well behind Glavine. Can't side with the BRAVES, but I'll take the UNDER.
UNDER 8
Chicago at CINCY
Chicago "looks" to be the side here as CINCY is currently -2440 at home vs RH starters, while CHI is +460 on the road vs RH. A HUGE difference in profits... LIEBER is 4-0 vs CINCY with a TINY 0.93 ERA this year, and beat them in his last start. CHI also leads the series 9-2, and are 15-8 in GAME 1 after a W. UNDER is tempting as it's hit 8-3 in the 11 meetings, is 10-5 when LIEBER starts on the road, 11-4 when Dessens starts at home, and is 3-1 in Cincy's last 4. However, 8 of CHI last 10 have gone UNDER and we don't know the UMP yet.... My dog system came up with CINCY, so I won't go against it and will pass on this game, with a possible play on UNDER pending HP UMP info. PASS
Florida at MONTREAL
These same two pitchers have faced off twice this year with PENNY throwing shutouts at home in both games. With both teams struggling, FLA 3-11 last 14 on road, MONT 6-17 in last 23 at home, I can't side with either. However, we get HP UMP Crawford who is 8-14 HT, and 7-13 O/U to help us out here. His games average 8.14 runs, and I gonna side with the UNDER again. Got burnt last nite after DEMPSTER beaned VAZQUEZ, but I'll chance it again.
UNDER 8.5
NY Mets at PITT
This game is interesting in many ways... we get the HOT METS, driving for the playoffs, playing to boost the morale of all of NY, and the PIRATES who were eliminated long ago. The METS are 8-2 in last ten, have won the last five meetings with PITT, and are now only 7 games behind ATL. I think they "feel" they can do it! They send APPIER out tonite who is better on the road than at home. It doesn't hurt to have EMMEL behind the plate as he strongly favors the road team, 19-9, and the road team is 8-2 in the last ten games he's called. Although he tends to be an UNDER ump at 12-15, his games average over 10 a game. Many trends favor UNDER including 7-1 UNDER in PITT last 8, 4-2 UNDER when Williams starts at home, 25-11 UNDER in PITT's last 36 at home, 7-3 in METS last 10, and the UNDER is 10-4 in APPIER's road starts... I however am concerned with the amount of walks both these pitchers have allowed, and I got a feeling the METS may try and put a whooping on the PIRATES tonite as last nite's comeback win may spur them. Gonna side with the BETTER team and the non-"HOMEY" ump and take the METS!
METS -133
Atlanta at PHILA
With two average offenses and two effective starters, all we need for a solid UNDER play is a good ump... hmmmm MEALS is 12-18 HT, and 9-18 O/U. SOLD! In his last ten games behind the plate, the ROAD team is 7-3 and O/U is 6-4. However, the ROAD/UNDER combo is 6-1 in those seven victories. UNDER is 4-1 in PHILA last five at home and overall, GLAVINE's last 7 starts have gone UNDER 6-1, and UNDER is 5-2 in ATL's last seven games.
ATL "gave" PHIL a few runs yesterday, and I see them rebounding and playing well behind Glavine. Can't side with the BRAVES, but I'll take the UNDER.
UNDER 8
Chicago at CINCY
Chicago "looks" to be the side here as CINCY is currently -2440 at home vs RH starters, while CHI is +460 on the road vs RH. A HUGE difference in profits... LIEBER is 4-0 vs CINCY with a TINY 0.93 ERA this year, and beat them in his last start. CHI also leads the series 9-2, and are 15-8 in GAME 1 after a W. UNDER is tempting as it's hit 8-3 in the 11 meetings, is 10-5 when LIEBER starts on the road, 11-4 when Dessens starts at home, and is 3-1 in Cincy's last 4. However, 8 of CHI last 10 have gone UNDER and we don't know the UMP yet.... My dog system came up with CINCY, so I won't go against it and will pass on this game, with a possible play on UNDER pending HP UMP info. PASS
Florida at MONTREAL
These same two pitchers have faced off twice this year with PENNY throwing shutouts at home in both games. With both teams struggling, FLA 3-11 last 14 on road, MONT 6-17 in last 23 at home, I can't side with either. However, we get HP UMP Crawford who is 8-14 HT, and 7-13 O/U to help us out here. His games average 8.14 runs, and I gonna side with the UNDER again. Got burnt last nite after DEMPSTER beaned VAZQUEZ, but I'll chance it again.
UNDER 8.5
NY Mets at PITT
This game is interesting in many ways... we get the HOT METS, driving for the playoffs, playing to boost the morale of all of NY, and the PIRATES who were eliminated long ago. The METS are 8-2 in last ten, have won the last five meetings with PITT, and are now only 7 games behind ATL. I think they "feel" they can do it! They send APPIER out tonite who is better on the road than at home. It doesn't hurt to have EMMEL behind the plate as he strongly favors the road team, 19-9, and the road team is 8-2 in the last ten games he's called. Although he tends to be an UNDER ump at 12-15, his games average over 10 a game. Many trends favor UNDER including 7-1 UNDER in PITT last 8, 4-2 UNDER when Williams starts at home, 25-11 UNDER in PITT's last 36 at home, 7-3 in METS last 10, and the UNDER is 10-4 in APPIER's road starts... I however am concerned with the amount of walks both these pitchers have allowed, and I got a feeling the METS may try and put a whooping on the PIRATES tonite as last nite's comeback win may spur them. Gonna side with the BETTER team and the non-"HOMEY" ump and take the METS!
METS -133
