Surprised how tough this game is to handicap despite it being the final game. However, one big item hasn't been mentioned is the rebounding advantage Kentucky should have tonight. They should finish about +10 on the boards IMHO. UConn's guards are also giving up 5 & 6 inches each in the backcourt and while they're quicker and have more experience, I'm not sure this height difference can be offset.
Both teams will likely be nervous given it's a title game, but it does help UConn has won 3 since 1999 and Kentucky has won 3 since 1996. The favorite has typically dominated ATS in title games over the last 14 years going approximately 11-3 ATS (Butler covered and lost to Duke in 2010, Syracuse upset Kansas in 2003, Kansas closed as the Underdog in 2008, but opened as a 1-point favorite, and Florida was close to a pick vs. UCLA in 2006). Randle is playing in his hometown for his final college game. Just seems to have Kentucky, the preseason #1, finishing #1 and Calamari can lay his claim to how great his system works. I was leaning UConn, but every message board has UConn and I think their lack of size beats them tonight. I will say if this becomes a free throw shooting contest, UConn wins. I also like the coaching advantage for Kentucky and the fact they have won so many tight games in a row.... think they have one more in them 69-64.
Still undecided, but leaning Kentucky.
GLTA
Both teams will likely be nervous given it's a title game, but it does help UConn has won 3 since 1999 and Kentucky has won 3 since 1996. The favorite has typically dominated ATS in title games over the last 14 years going approximately 11-3 ATS (Butler covered and lost to Duke in 2010, Syracuse upset Kansas in 2003, Kansas closed as the Underdog in 2008, but opened as a 1-point favorite, and Florida was close to a pick vs. UCLA in 2006). Randle is playing in his hometown for his final college game. Just seems to have Kentucky, the preseason #1, finishing #1 and Calamari can lay his claim to how great his system works. I was leaning UConn, but every message board has UConn and I think their lack of size beats them tonight. I will say if this becomes a free throw shooting contest, UConn wins. I also like the coaching advantage for Kentucky and the fact they have won so many tight games in a row.... think they have one more in them 69-64.
Still undecided, but leaning Kentucky.
GLTA
