Up 20-16 with 6:44 to go...

[Randercity]

Why do you not go for 2 there?? Is there any difference between a 4 and 5 pt lead? What does the "book" say is the right call... only reason I can think of is being up by 5 the worst you can do is be down 3 if other team gets TD and 2. I would think having a 6 pt lead is much more preferred in that situation as the other team ties with a TD and needs the extra point.... of course I'm asking because of my wager, but it seems odd to me.

Washington +1.5 would like to know :lol:


:shrug:

 

[yak merchant]

Why do you not go for 2 there?? Is there any difference between a 4 and 5 pt lead? What does the "book" say is the right call... only reason I can think of is being up by 5 the worst you can do is be down 3 if other team gets TD and 2. I would think having a 6 pt lead is much more preferred in that situation as the other team ties with a TD and needs the extra point.... of course I'm asking because of my wager, but it seems odd to me.

Washington +1.5 would like to know :lol:


:shrug:

Most of the scenarios are when you are down. Pretty much 50/50.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/fivethirtyeight.com/features/when-to-go-for-2-for-real/amp/