Guys, early yesterday afternoon I laid a bundle on Vandy -10 and UConn -6, and left to do some errands. When I returned a couple of hours later the lines had moved to -13 and -7.5. What I want to talk about here is the Vandy game.
Most of you know that I and anyone who follows my picks made a bundle last year going against Miss St. Well, I'm not going to tell you to rush out and take Vandy at -13, but I'm very happy with my wager at -10 and I think they win this game by at least 2 TDs.
What I want to warn you about is: no matter how many points they want to give you, do not take Miss St under any circumstances. I heard someone remark that Vandy shouldn't be a double-digit favorite over anyone in the SEC, and that they were going to back Miss St just on that principle. Don't fall for this kind of thinking. State's starting QB is out, the 2nd teamer has a sore arm that has limited his range in practice, and since he is physically unfit to play a whole game, they're going to have to play a true freshman part of the game, one that they had hoped to redshirt. Original 3rd teamer transferred when he found out he was going to be 3rd team.
Miss St is not going to be pretty in the next couple of weeks. They are beat up from battling (?) LSU last week, and are not real excited about travelling to Vanderbilt this week. Bet against them if you want, but avoid backing them at all cost.
Most of you know that I and anyone who follows my picks made a bundle last year going against Miss St. Well, I'm not going to tell you to rush out and take Vandy at -13, but I'm very happy with my wager at -10 and I think they win this game by at least 2 TDs.
What I want to warn you about is: no matter how many points they want to give you, do not take Miss St under any circumstances. I heard someone remark that Vandy shouldn't be a double-digit favorite over anyone in the SEC, and that they were going to back Miss St just on that principle. Don't fall for this kind of thinking. State's starting QB is out, the 2nd teamer has a sore arm that has limited his range in practice, and since he is physically unfit to play a whole game, they're going to have to play a true freshman part of the game, one that they had hoped to redshirt. Original 3rd teamer transferred when he found out he was going to be 3rd team.
Miss St is not going to be pretty in the next couple of weeks. They are beat up from battling (?) LSU last week, and are not real excited about travelling to Vanderbilt this week. Bet against them if you want, but avoid backing them at all cost.
