Vegas has set the line high because everyone and his brother is going to be playing the Lakers tonight. They will anticipate that Shaq and Malone are going to "get physical". Phil has stated in the press that the Wolves have "set the bar" higher.
One of the things that may determine how this game shakes out is how close the refs call it if the Lakers come out and try to out-physical the Wolves. For sure, the refs are going to try to maintain control of this game. They almost lost control in Game 2. If Shaq gets into foul trouble, the Lakers are going to struggle.
I think the Wolves keep it close.