Virginia 500

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
Forum Member
Mar 9, 2000
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Columbus,OH USA
Well, all I can say is that you want to be careful this week. I said it last week and I will say it again...If these guys keep doing the strategy that their pit crews are trying, well then this sport has become un-capable. No way can you cap what a pit crew will do when it comes to staying out on the track or taking 2 tires while the rest of the field takes 4. It just cant be capped. BUT, what I think is going to happen is that these teams are ALL going to start being more risky and thus, evening out the field.

This track is another monster all together, you need tires to do well at this track, and I dont look for as many teams to try their stunts here, unless they have nothing to lose. Because this track will definatly weed out those with good and fresh tires from those that have tires that have run for many laps.

I do however like some longshots this week. And I will stress, as I think it was kevin that said this in the baseball forum. These bets are for those that have the bankroll to try longshots with value. These are by no means sure things or even great bets, but what I am saying is that if I give you a bet at 55-1 odds, I am saying that over the course of 55 times, this bet will probably win at least 2 times maybe 3. Which results in value, but not neccesarily a win every time.

I liked him until Happy Hour last week, and this week, I really like him..

Ken Schrader at 55-1 odds. This guy runs well here year in and year out, knows how to get around this short track. And what a sotry it would be for him to win his 500th race in Winston Cup.

Bobby Hamilton at 15-1. Another guy that knows this track, and has won here before. Said at qualifying that he thinks he has one of the best cars there, and from basically modest drivers, that is saying a lot.

Kenny Wallace at 175-1. OK I may be going a little crazy, but this guy has a couple of Top 10 finishes here in the last 4 years, and always is a factor. 175-1 is ridiculous odds for a guy that knows how to run at this track. If his pit crew can make the right decisions, he has a legitimate shot to get the job done.

Of course I cant argue with Gordon or Rusty at this track either, but you will have to be the judge about value.

MATCHUPS

These matchups have some chalk to eat, but these are good matchups that I feel give us thebest opportunity to win some cash. personally, I will be parlaying them, but I wont tell ya how to bet your money
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Hamilton over marlin (-155)
Atwood over Elliott Sadler (-160)
Spencer over Busch (-200)
Gordon over jarrett (-145)
Rusty Wallace over Martin (-200)
Park over Marlin (-110)

GOOD LUCK!!
 

djv

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Forum Member
Nov 4, 2000
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I was passing this weekend but you may have just gave me a idea. Grazy things to happen here. Maybe along shot and take the field at 30 to 1. I did not count yet but it looks like you get about 20 drivers.

[This message has been edited by djv (edited 04-08-2001).]
 
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