WAC Wednesday (and write ups)

[alliecat]

27-21 YTD +3.0

Fresno St. @ Tulsa
Tulsa -4/124
This game has alot of things to consider as Fresno will be playing with just 8 players tonight after the Pettis suspension, meaning 3 of Fresno's top 4 players to start the season are out due to suspension. Tulsa on the other hand probably played its most complete game on Saturday, but still losing to Rice 111-103 in OT (Tulsa shot 59% from the field). One notable is that Tulsa played their bench extensively and experimented with a starting lineup more designed for scoring. They are continuing with this lineup tonight. By far the worst rebounding team in the WAC, Tulsa's rebounding margin is -9.4 (last) and the closest is UTEP at -3.5. That will not change tonight. I expect Tulsa to shoot well tonight, still get out worked on the boards, particularly on the offensive end, giving up some easy buckets while still pushing the pace, as they tend to do more at home. Coming off a 3 game road trip, I look to Tulsa to end their 5 game losing streak and get the cover. If Tulsa can force some turnovers without Pettis in the backcourt, it will be a bonus. Strongly, like the over here in this situation.

4 Unit Play
Tulsa/Fresno St. over 124

2 Unit Play
Tulsa -4

Hawaii @ Boise St.
Boise -5.5/137
Hawaii's starting big man (Shimonovich) didn't make the trip to Boise, but it is uncertain how that will affect UH who is 4-1 on the road in conference. If I thought Bosie could take advantage of it, I would pass. Hawaii will continue to run the flex offense and use less low post sets. Look for more motion and less standing around. I lean towards the over, but not sure Hawaii will adjust their mode of play. Will play the dog for a unit.

One Unit Play
Hawaii +6 (-116)

Nevada @ Rice
Rice -1/151
Only real opinion on the this game is that the pace will be an "over" pace and if one or the other team gets blown out, that might be in jeopardy. Rice is in heavy revenge mode and Nevada hasn't been great on the road. Pass on the side, one unit on the total

One Unit Play
Rice/Nevada over 151

good luck to all.

 

[gman2]

i planned on playing tulsa had the line been more reasonable. i just cant bring myself to lay 4 points with a team who got MURDERED on the boards by fresno in the 1st meeting (41-28 on the glass, and the edge was like 37-16 at one point). i was hoping tulsa would be more like 1 or 1.5

appreciate the wac knowledge.

good luck

 

[alliecat]

Thx gman - actually the first 25 or so minutes of the game went as I expected, with the exception of Tulsa's shooting woes. Fresno did out-rebound Tulsa as expected, but only had 1 offensive board. I gues when you shoot over 50% for the game, there are not alot of scraps left. I thought Tulsa might have turned the corner after the showing vs Rice, where they got some confidence in their shooting. After Fresno established the big lead, it just snowballed from there and Tulsa just couldn't get on track. Fresno took the air out of the ball and worked the clock to perfection in the 2nd half. It is a wonder they scored 50, as Fresno hit 2 or 3 miracle threes (I think two were banked) down the strecth in the second haf. Tulsa sure has fallen far after being so successful.

good luck to you and I always look at your posts.

 

[aldabra]

Tulsa's woes........

Tulsa's woes........

Article about game in todays paper....Tremendous disappointment," said TU coach John Phillips. "I felt like it was really the first time all year we haven't competed. I don't understand it. For the first time in 30 years of coaching, I don't know what to tell a team after a game............my thoughts after going to a handful of games over last few years....This coach is a great guy but other than Jason Parker,who is a workhourse, he is working with an "empty cupboard" all the talent he inherited from Self and Peterson years are gone.....this is pretty much HIS first hand selected team.... unless he has a heck of a recruiting class, and rights the ship next year-year and a half.....I think you can safely say ADIOS AMIGO........