Watkins Glen Info

Another Steve

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t has been four weeks since the NASCAR Nextel Cup Series brought out the Car of Tomorrow (COT). The last time it was seen was on the flat track of New Hampshire International Speedway and before that, it was on track at the road course of Infineon Raceway. Now the drivers get another round of the COT, this time at Sonoma's sister track of Watkins Glen International.

Road racing is an art form. It takes more skill behind the wheel than it does in the engine and aerodynamics departments. The banking is almost nonexistent and nearly every turn is hairpin. That is why experience is so important at a place like The Glen.

Favorites
Juan Montoya proved at Infineon that experience on a road course is universal. Sure the stockers are much heavier and the wheels are closer together, but a true road racer can get to the front in any kind of car. That is why the most experienced drivers are rated much higher than the freshmen.

Montoya may have the hot hand after his Sonoma win, but Tony Stewart still reigns supreme on the road courses, especially Watkins Glen. "Smoke" has three wins and four top-fives in the last five races there. He took to the Glen from his first outing and only twice has he finished outside the top-10 there?a 26th in 2001 and an 11th in 2003. He has been superb in the COT, contending for the win in almost every outing, which only adds to his appeal.

Kurt Busch had an amazing run at Pocono Raceway, leading a track-record 175 laps. That gives him momentum going into a race that he dominated last year. Busch led 34 laps and looked unbeatable until getting caught on pit road when the yellow flag waved. Recent history suggests that his Pennsylvania 500 victory will put him on the path to success. The previous two July Pocono winners have gone on to have good runs at The Glen; in 2005, Ryan Newman followed his victory with an eighth at Watkins Glen, and then Denny Hamlin produced a 10th after winning both races at Pocono.

Dark Horses
Watkins Glen is a track of opportunity for dark horses, especially among one-car teams. For the experienced road racer, this is a great time to show everyone, particularly car owners, that he can compete with NASCAR's best.

The odds are always stacked against the one-car team, but that is equalized on the road courses where only a few drivers on the circuit have mastered the art form. There is no question that Robby Gordon can drive on the winding tracks. He has been excellent at Watkins Glen in his career. He enters the weekend with back-to-back top-fives there and he has a win and two more top-fives since 2000. Gordon also was the best at Infineon, though he was outmatched in the fuel mileage department and had to settle for 16th.

Most NASCAR fans are not going to recognize the No. 10 Dodge driver this week. Scott Riggs, who has never been much good at turning right, hands the keys over to Patrick Carpentier. Like Montoya and Stewart, he comes from the open-wheel ranks. The Canadian-born driver has spent much of his career in the Champ Car World Series, which favors the road courses. He already has some stock car experience under his belt. Last week, he won the pole for the Busch Series event at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. He went on to lead 14 laps and finish second in a wild last lap showdown with Kevin Harvick.

Avoidance Principal
Matt Kenseth is not the best value when it comes to a road course. Usually, the better flat track drivers, like Kenseth, do well on the winding courses of Watkins Glen and Infineon. The No. 17 Ford driver, however, has never been a contender on either course. While he does have three top-10s at the Glen, he has never been better than eighth there and that was four years ago. In fact, he has not had a top-10 on either road track in three years.

Martin Truex Jr. has been the hot commodity of the summer. He earned his first win at Dover International Speedway, and then became a weekly fixture in the top-five for a time. He has lost his momentum since then. Truex has had four consecutive finishes outside the top-10. Aside from select drivers, road courses are not the places to turn around a negative streak. Truex is still inexperienced on the winding tracks. His lone road course top-20 came in his first outing at Infineon. Since then, he was 39th at Watkins Glen last year and 24th at Sonoma this season.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Benbrook
Mother Nature put a damper on fantasy owners' list of road racing specialists this week at Watkins Glen International. While "road ringers" Klaus Graf, Marcos Ambrose and Brian Simo were all taken out of the mix without so much as a chance to hit the track in qualification, the biggest hit was almost going to be losing Boris Said. Always a threat to win on a road course, he was outside the top-35 in owners' points and his team was forced to make the long trip home.

Said, however, struck a last minute deal with the Wood Bros., however, and will race this weekend in the No. 21.

Even without some of the ringers, there are still many solid picks this week. The best part about a road course is that it is a great place for dark horses. Almost every time the NASCAR Nextel Cup Series takes to the winding tracks, someone comes out of nowhere to claim a top-10. The dark horses almost never win at The Glen or Infineon Raceway, but their top-10s are still very valuable to fantasy owners.

Tier One
The best road racers are in Tier One this week. That makes for some hard decisions by fantasy owners. In this group, anyone who has not had a top-five at Watkins Glen in the last three years will lose favor. However, the time is right for some new blood in victory lane.

Tony Stewart is easily the favorite this week. He excels on the road courses like nowhere else and his results prove it. In the last six years, he has five road wins, seven top-10s and he has been a contender at nearly every road race in that span. What's more for this weekend is that he is better at the Glen than Sonoma. In New York, he has three wins since 2002 and, out of eight career starts, he has just two finishes outside the top-10 there. The last time that happened was when he was 11th there in 2003.

In this crowd, Kurt Busch's name slips down the wish list. The way he has been driving on the road courses since joining Penske Racing South suggests that is not the right thinking. Last year, he won the pole at Watkins Glen and had the best car in the field before he had bad luck pitting under green?because NASCAR said it was actually "red." He was in the running for a top-10 at Infineon earlier this year when he ran into trouble with seven laps to go. Before that, he was fifth at Sonoma. The No. 2 Dodge was amazing at Pocono Raceway and drivers who do well there tend to run well at The Glen.

Jeff Burton came through with a top-five at Infineon earlier this summer. That will get him on many fantasy rosters this week, but that is not the wisest choice. While he had a good finish at Sonoma, Watkins Glen has not been kind to him lately. Burton has three top-10s there since 1996, the last of which was a seventh in 2002. With so many better options at Tier One, it will be best to find someone else to fill his roster spot this week.

Tier Two
Robby Gordon is no surprise for a road course, but his best finishes have come at Watkins Glen. In his eight starts there since 1997 (he skipped the 1998 and 1999 events), he has a 2003 win and six top-fives. Just two years ago, he was second to Stewart at te Glen and last year he was fourth. Although he has since switched to Fords, he is still a master of the road courses; he had the best car at Infineon this year but he came up short in the fuel mileage department.

Flat track drivers tend to like road courses and Denny Hamlin is quickly getting the hang of the winding tracks. His first road course start at the Nextel Cup level has been his worst so far; he ran a respectable 12th at Infineon on that day. Since then, he has picked up two straight 10th-place finishes. He has his momentum shifting in the right direction. His third at Pocono snapped a three-race streak of finishes outside the top-10.

Mark Martin is a no-brainer this week. The former 1993, 1994 and 1995 Watkins Glen winner would be a great pick for this weekend's race, but there is a problem: he isn't driving. The veteran is skipping the road races all together this year. Once again, he will be exiting his car in favor of the rookie Regan Smith, who still lacks the experience to be a real threat for a top-20 on the road courses. So stay away from the No. 01 Chevrolet this week.

Tier Three
Jamie McMurray took the pole at Infineon, kept his nose clean ran with the top-10 and was in the lead with less than 20 laps to go. Unfortunately for him, he ran out of gas just seven circuits from the finish and went home 37th. At Infineon, he showed what he has shown for years on the winding tracks?talent. He was third at the Glen last year and was second at Infineon in 2004. Between those runs, he had four consecutive top-20s on the road courses. Don't overlook him this weekend.

Brian Vickers will have a long way to go to get to the front at Watkins Glen, but this is a track where he can overcome Toyota's disadvantages. His last two outings in New York have seen him finish eighth in 2005 and a respectable 16th in 2006. He failed to qualify at Infineon in June, so his 36th-place start is a slight improvement. Don't look for him to be a top-10 car, but he has a legitimate chance at scoring a top-20.

Three years ago, Casey Mears looked like he was going to be a real threat on the road courses. In just his second year on the senior tour, he scored a seventh at Infineon and a fourth at the Glen. Since then, he has been immensely disappointing. Over the past five races, he has just two top-20s. Hendrick Motorsports typically fields good cars on the road courses, but Mears could not muster anything better than a 27th at Infineon this year. This is one former open-wheel racer who is not a good pick for the Glen.

Tier Four
Ricky Rudd knows how to take cars to the winner's circle on a road course. His last win came at Infineon in 2002 driving the No. 28 Ford. While in the No. 21 Ford, he picked up an eight at The Glen in 2004 and a second at Sonoma the following year. Although he skipped the 2006 events, he got right back on his horse this year. Rudd pulled off an impressive 11th at Infineon this year, thus giving him nine top-20s in his last 11 road course starts.

Elliott Sadler is actually a very strong road races and he has a string of top-15s on this type of course to prove as much. A top-15 might not recommend him in one of the top tiers, but it's kind of slim pickings this week in Tier Four. Skill trumps horsepower on the road courses, and that might be his saving grace
 
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