Wed games

[gsp]

Last year I posted my WLA (worth looking at) plays and they did extremly well. They are all based on the umps. I am currently tracking 72 for the season. Be very careful about fading these. Be sure to do your homework. Some are very obvious (over/under ump) but some are even stronger and very well hidden as to what trends they have. There are four weak signals today (*) and three very strong signals (**). I have learned this much in the past 2 1/2 years. I don't play a total without knowing the ump. I have way too many plays today to suit me so now I will start the elimination process. Good luck today.

Stl o 9' **
Bos o 9 **
Mil u 9' **
SF u 8 *
LA o 7' *
Hou o 9' *
Pit o 9 *
CWS o 9'
Tor o 10
KC u 9
Cle o 8'
NYY o 8'

Remember, the one * is what I consider the weaker of the signals but I would still be very careful about fading them.

 

[s.e.c guru]

how strong do you consider the 2 *'s and do you bet the 1*'s as much as you bet the 2*'s

AND do the no stars mean a no play?
thanks

 

[gsp]

s.e.c., I thought I had made it clear but probably didn't.

First, all my play are for 1 unit.
Second, before looking at any stats (pitching etc) the ** are the strongest. The * is the weakest. All have strong reasons for me thinking they will go the direction I have signified. If you notice, there are good games that are not on the list. For instance, Col is a strong under play right now but I have a signal that this game might go either way today so won't even consider it as a play. If it is not on the list I feel it could go either way regardless of all stats so I am not interested in getting involved. What I am looking for now are games where the stats back up the play. Good luck

 

[s.e.c guru]

thanks for the explanation . i must have missed it in a pevious post.

lets see if i got it

you play all games posted for 1 unit regardless of whether it is 2 stars 1 stars or no stars. am i correct?

thanks for all the work you do and for posting early.

 

[nighthorse]

I'm an idiot, so bear with me......the games listed with no stars are extremely weak leans and the games not listed at all have no signal whatsoever. Is that right?

3 2star games
4 1 star games
5 0 star games
3 games not listed

 

[gsp]

I am going to try this one more time.

All plays listed are based on the home plate ump or a tendancy of the ump crew for that game.

When I finish cappin the games, pitching. batting, and everything that goes with cappin, I will play 1 unit on whatever I decide to play plus par them for 1 unit. Like between 3 and 6 plays. Some will be sides if I find any I like. I also lean heavy on umps for the sides but not as much as totals. Will not fade any of these totals.

** means I place a lot of faith in the ump or crew and will probably be a play. Remember, I haven't done all my homework yet.

No * means it should be solid and win more than it loses.

1 * means that it is a tendancy that has been winning consistantly but will change. Last year a lot of things that were working changed at the all-star break. Watch your over and under umps. I believe J Hirshbeck was 13-2 under before the all-star break last year and went on a 8 game over binge. He then became very unpredictable but at the end of the year his stats made him look like a great under ump.

Some of the things I have picked up I won't explain.

My advice is to do what I do and incorporate it into your cappin. I still will not fade any of them regardless of how good it looks.

 

[nighthorse]

Your patience should be applauded.......two clarifications and not one smart remark. Not sure I could do that. You can be sure I'll take these into account. Thanks for your effort and patience.

 

[gsp]

Going with

Stl o 9'
Mil u 9'
SF u 8
Cinn -130
Minn -140
Mon -135

I let the early games get away from me.

Good luck everyone

 

[gsp]

Dropping Mon and adding Stl -160