Here's the way I see it.
Hou + 115
o 9
Pitching edge goes to Hou big. My concern in taking the over is whether Atl can get 4 or more runs. Hou has 10 players on the roster batting over 300 against Glavin. Wide strike zone does help Glavin a little,
Ari u 7
I do show Ari winning but don't like the -200. I show that both pitchers can be hit by other team about equal. Big strike zone will help both pitchers. Who makes the most mistakes loses and I don't look for many mistakes from either pitcher.
NYY -130
o 7'
Hugh pitching edge to Clemmon but niether pitcher has set the woods on fire with Demuth behind the plate. The lowest total either pitcher has had with Demuth is 10 so I will go against my rule on play-off games (play under every game and you will be a winner) and take the over. That's two out of three overs today. Scary stuff.
Good luck
Hou + 115
o 9
Pitching edge goes to Hou big. My concern in taking the over is whether Atl can get 4 or more runs. Hou has 10 players on the roster batting over 300 against Glavin. Wide strike zone does help Glavin a little,
Ari u 7
I do show Ari winning but don't like the -200. I show that both pitchers can be hit by other team about equal. Big strike zone will help both pitchers. Who makes the most mistakes loses and I don't look for many mistakes from either pitcher.
NYY -130
o 7'
Hugh pitching edge to Clemmon but niether pitcher has set the woods on fire with Demuth behind the plate. The lowest total either pitcher has had with Demuth is 10 so I will go against my rule on play-off games (play under every game and you will be a winner) and take the over. That's two out of three overs today. Scary stuff.
Good luck
