well hopefully you went to the BANK after the first three, and passed on my other plays. Ended with a losing nite after starting 3-0.
Arizona at COLORADO
Passing on this game... I hate em both after last nite and can't trust either starter or BP... I'd lean to AZ to bounce back at a plus price, but that's all I got to say...
Atlanta at PHILA
Two struggling pitchers going head to head, but both were doing fine before the last two outings... hmmmm tired arm? Could be, and this break may be what both needed, rest. ATL is 13-5 in Game 3 after a loss, while PHIL is 11-16 after a W. ATL needs this game badly, however, they rarely give BURKETT any runs and it's hard to bet against the HT when CUZZI is behind the plate. Overall, HT's are 22-8 and Home Dogs are 4-2. HOWEVER, I see the better value in the UNDER where CUZZI stands at 9-20 O/U and his games average 7.60 rpg. Neither offense is blowing up scoreboards, so look for another tight low scoring game.
UNDER 8.5 -115
Florida at MONTREAL
Although I hate to say it, I'm playing the EXPOS here and trusting that PAVANO continues his improvement. He's gotten better every start, hard to get worse! and I think he'll keep the EXPOS in this game. He pitched well vs PHIL in his last outing. GORMAN is behind the plate and HT's are 21-9 with him, and HOME DOGS are 7-1. That's the deciding factor... the UMP when deciding between two bad teams, one on the road, the other a bad home team.
MONT +115
Chicago at CINCY
Can't lay the WOOD with KERRY... not with the way BAYLOR is using his pen. He's an idiot and I can't back him. KERRY will NOT go more than seven, if that, so it's the BP after that. I doubt if HAMILTON goes long either, so this game is odd. The deciding factor for me is the UMP again. HUDSON is behind the plate and HT's are 19-9 when he's back there. DOGS are also 7-1 and the UNDER is 16-11 overall, but more importantly, stands at 11-3 when the line is 9 or less.
Gonna go with the UMP on this one...
CINC +180 & UNDER 8.5
Kansas City at CLEVELAND
UNDER UNDER UNDER... that's all I got to say. KC is NOT worth a wager in this game, and COLON is too flaky to lay 220 on. However, both have outstanding O/U records, SUPPAN is 4-12 on the road, COLON is 5-12 at home. WELKE is a fair UMP at 12-15, but his games average 9.11 rpg. A 5-4 or 6-3 final is fine with me, but I'm expecting more of a 5-1 game with CLE winning.
UNDER 9.5 EVEN
Tampa at BOSTON
BOSTON is the only way to play this game... CONE is tough at home and WILSON can't win on the road. BOS played well last nite, and if they continue to play together, may make a little, and I do mean a little noise down the stretch. BARKSDALE behind the plate helps as home favs 160 & up are 7-1.
BOSTON -160
Baltimore at TORONTO
JAYS are hot... O's are not and the HP UMP likes big home favs! Hollowell is back there and H FAVS 175 and up are 4-1 and Overall, Home favs above 125 are 9-3. JAYS blasted a weak O's lineup yesterday... with DOC on the mound, it should happen again!
JAYS -170
be back in a bit with the rest...
Arizona at COLORADO
Passing on this game... I hate em both after last nite and can't trust either starter or BP... I'd lean to AZ to bounce back at a plus price, but that's all I got to say...
Atlanta at PHILA
Two struggling pitchers going head to head, but both were doing fine before the last two outings... hmmmm tired arm? Could be, and this break may be what both needed, rest. ATL is 13-5 in Game 3 after a loss, while PHIL is 11-16 after a W. ATL needs this game badly, however, they rarely give BURKETT any runs and it's hard to bet against the HT when CUZZI is behind the plate. Overall, HT's are 22-8 and Home Dogs are 4-2. HOWEVER, I see the better value in the UNDER where CUZZI stands at 9-20 O/U and his games average 7.60 rpg. Neither offense is blowing up scoreboards, so look for another tight low scoring game.
UNDER 8.5 -115
Florida at MONTREAL
Although I hate to say it, I'm playing the EXPOS here and trusting that PAVANO continues his improvement. He's gotten better every start, hard to get worse! and I think he'll keep the EXPOS in this game. He pitched well vs PHIL in his last outing. GORMAN is behind the plate and HT's are 21-9 with him, and HOME DOGS are 7-1. That's the deciding factor... the UMP when deciding between two bad teams, one on the road, the other a bad home team.
MONT +115
Chicago at CINCY
Can't lay the WOOD with KERRY... not with the way BAYLOR is using his pen. He's an idiot and I can't back him. KERRY will NOT go more than seven, if that, so it's the BP after that. I doubt if HAMILTON goes long either, so this game is odd. The deciding factor for me is the UMP again. HUDSON is behind the plate and HT's are 19-9 when he's back there. DOGS are also 7-1 and the UNDER is 16-11 overall, but more importantly, stands at 11-3 when the line is 9 or less.
Gonna go with the UMP on this one...
CINC +180 & UNDER 8.5
Kansas City at CLEVELAND
UNDER UNDER UNDER... that's all I got to say. KC is NOT worth a wager in this game, and COLON is too flaky to lay 220 on. However, both have outstanding O/U records, SUPPAN is 4-12 on the road, COLON is 5-12 at home. WELKE is a fair UMP at 12-15, but his games average 9.11 rpg. A 5-4 or 6-3 final is fine with me, but I'm expecting more of a 5-1 game with CLE winning.
UNDER 9.5 EVEN
Tampa at BOSTON
BOSTON is the only way to play this game... CONE is tough at home and WILSON can't win on the road. BOS played well last nite, and if they continue to play together, may make a little, and I do mean a little noise down the stretch. BARKSDALE behind the plate helps as home favs 160 & up are 7-1.
BOSTON -160
Baltimore at TORONTO
JAYS are hot... O's are not and the HP UMP likes big home favs! Hollowell is back there and H FAVS 175 and up are 4-1 and Overall, Home favs above 125 are 9-3. JAYS blasted a weak O's lineup yesterday... with DOC on the mound, it should happen again!
JAYS -170
be back in a bit with the rest...
