some decent looking conference home dogs tonight:
iowa +2: hawkeyes on the bubble and need this win in a big way. iowa 4-2 s/u, 5-1 ats in big 10 home games. illinois 3-2 s/u, 1-4 ats in big 10 road games.
ole miss +3-: when did i fall asleep and wake up in the days where commodores are an sec road favorite? while vandy is having a banner year for vandy, they are 1-5 s/u and ats on the sec road, the only win/cover coming at a then-struggling alabama. ole miss is also a bubble team, and is 11-4 at home this year, and 4-2 s/u and ats in sec home games, with the two losses vs fla and miss st. rebels are 133-28 the last ten years in the tad pad, and have beaten the commodores there the last eight straight.
drake -1: this one obviously no longer a home dog but line opened with n iowa favored by 1-. panthers outfoxed me in their bracket buster game at wisc gb, shooting over 50% for the game. prior to that, their road fg shooting was under 40% for the year, and under 30% from the trey line. also, panther sr center david gruber broke his hand in saturday's game and is highly doubtful tonight. if he plays at all, it will be with a soft cast on his non-shooting hand, and his effectiveness will be limited. drake needs this win against their in-state rival to hold sixth place in the mvc and avoid the conference tourney's friday play-in game.
those three are my best plays tonight, but i'm also leaning to tulane +8- and tcu +4. green wave has picked up their shooting lately and need to win to stay in the hunt for the last c-usa tourney spot. tcu needs one win to clinch their tourney spot.
glta
iowa +2: hawkeyes on the bubble and need this win in a big way. iowa 4-2 s/u, 5-1 ats in big 10 home games. illinois 3-2 s/u, 1-4 ats in big 10 road games.
ole miss +3-: when did i fall asleep and wake up in the days where commodores are an sec road favorite? while vandy is having a banner year for vandy, they are 1-5 s/u and ats on the sec road, the only win/cover coming at a then-struggling alabama. ole miss is also a bubble team, and is 11-4 at home this year, and 4-2 s/u and ats in sec home games, with the two losses vs fla and miss st. rebels are 133-28 the last ten years in the tad pad, and have beaten the commodores there the last eight straight.
drake -1: this one obviously no longer a home dog but line opened with n iowa favored by 1-. panthers outfoxed me in their bracket buster game at wisc gb, shooting over 50% for the game. prior to that, their road fg shooting was under 40% for the year, and under 30% from the trey line. also, panther sr center david gruber broke his hand in saturday's game and is highly doubtful tonight. if he plays at all, it will be with a soft cast on his non-shooting hand, and his effectiveness will be limited. drake needs this win against their in-state rival to hold sixth place in the mvc and avoid the conference tourney's friday play-in game.
those three are my best plays tonight, but i'm also leaning to tulane +8- and tcu +4. green wave has picked up their shooting lately and need to win to stay in the hunt for the last c-usa tourney spot. tcu needs one win to clinch their tourney spot.
glta
