Wednesday: Play of the Day

[superbook]

I lost my two-team ACC parlay yesterday; NC State covered nicely but Virginia was upset by Clemson. In the last week, I'm 4-2 on PODs (one pass), with all four wins on double digit dogs and suffering the two losses when I went with favorites.

So today I'm going back to the double digit dogs; it was tough choice between Vanderbilt +13 and Georgia +14.5 in two SEC conference games. I ended up going with:

Georgia +15 (bought half a point)


Kentucky has owned Georgia at Rupp Arena: 50-2 all time including the last 16.

Last season's victories were by 3 and 15 points.

But while I expect the Wildcats to come out strong after giving up a huge first half lead to lose to MSU in overtime, I also expect the Bulldog backcourt of Ezra Williams and Jarvis Hayes to bounce back here from their pitiful performance in Georgia's easy win over Vanderbilt. In that game they shot a combined 7 of 24 from the field.

I went with Georgia over Vanderbilt as my POD because the Bulldogs are better on the road: 2-1 in true road games (and 4-1 on neutral courts) vs Vandy's 0-3 road record.

I look for Kentucky to prevail but IMO 15 is too many points to give to this good Georgia team in an important conference game.

gl

 

[Innavation]

See many people on Georgia+14-----but the line is not budging. I think Vanderbilt may be a play today.

 

[Nickelback]

Superbook,

Glad to see we're on the same side again! I don't expect the line to move very much given the fact that Kentucky is coming off a loss. . . unfortunately, they will have to play one of their best games of the year in order to come up with a 'W' against Georgia. . . even at home.

 

[superbook]

Re: Wednesday: Play of the Day

But while I expect the Wildcats to come out strong after giving up a huge first half lead to lose to MSU in overtime, I also expect the Bulldog backcourt of Ezra Williams and Jarvis Hayes to bounce back here from their pitiful performance in Georgia's easy win over Vanderbilt. In that game they shot a combined 7 of 24 from the field.

Even I didn't expect Georgia to win SU. Williams and Hayes were a combined 19-34 from the field (55%) and 10-18 from the arc (55%) accounting for 50 of Georgia's 86 points. Wow.

I guess I better stick with just playing the big dogs.