Last night was pretty brutal:
Had to make a very very big play on Boston -2.5 to recover and remain +ve end of day. Had play on Boston but was gonna play it with my usual amount. Risky .. but ended up even + ..
Have something to learn from last night so will put in more effort in the handicapping. After all its money.
Lets rebound tonight.
Todays plays :
3 Big Plays today:
1. Knicks -5
Even thought Knicks have lost 5 of 6 last few games they have been playing better. Line should be higher around -8 I think but people are falling back on data which is that Knicks have lost 6 of last 8 to Raptors. But certain things have 2 be taken into account.
A. Knicks have won 2 of 2 this season.
B. Knicks is a team which does not like to lose to Toronto especially because Toronto took them out of the playoffs last year. I personally think that the Knicks team (especially Sprewell and Houston) are very dangerous if they have the motivation. Last time they played Toronto Sprewell hit 35 after getting 0 points the game before against Detroit i think.
C. Big factor : Carter is out. Carter accounts for around 30% of team offensive points. Also his numbers in assists have gone up. The rest of the team has to pick up the slack and that is hard over the entire 48 minutes. Also Jerome Williams who was playing good is out. Dell Curry is
questionable. Olajuwan is out (he does make people change shots and is good rebounder) .. Peterson is just back and am thinking he will take time to fit in again.
Knicks played big game against Orlando last night and must be mad @ losing in second half. The game is also in the Gardens which makes things hard for Toronto.
I think Knicks will take this by around 9-11 points.
2. Boston -2
Boston pulled away in the second half against Denver yesterday and lack of interest of Nick Van Excel helps. GS has not been playing good over the last 14 games. Even though they have covered the spread against Boston before I think that Boston wants to go ahead 2-0 in this 7 game western road swing before they face the heavyweights of the West.
I am sure the confidence level of Walker and Pierce is at an all time high especially after All Star Break. Walker had a zero turnover triple double yesterday .. last time this was done was in 2000 and guess who did it .. Walker against the Bulls.
Boston will also try to distance themselves from Toronto at this point when Carter is injured. As for GS just not consistent. Jamison has not been shooting good as of late and I think Boston will pull this one out
inspite of faring badly against GS before. Boston team is different after Pitino left and I think their success will continue tonight. Look at them to come out strong.
3. Minny / Phoenix over 198.5
Minny has been giving away 100+ points to its opponents but shooting very high FG % at home. Phoenix has most number of Overs I think the last time I checked. They should be happy about the Detroit win and will try to make a push in the Conference. Should be a fast paced game and I think final total will be around 205.
Am looking at other games. Will post If time permits.
Cheers !!!
Spock
Had to make a very very big play on Boston -2.5 to recover and remain +ve end of day. Had play on Boston but was gonna play it with my usual amount. Risky .. but ended up even + ..
Have something to learn from last night so will put in more effort in the handicapping. After all its money.
Lets rebound tonight.
Todays plays :
3 Big Plays today:
1. Knicks -5
Even thought Knicks have lost 5 of 6 last few games they have been playing better. Line should be higher around -8 I think but people are falling back on data which is that Knicks have lost 6 of last 8 to Raptors. But certain things have 2 be taken into account.
A. Knicks have won 2 of 2 this season.
B. Knicks is a team which does not like to lose to Toronto especially because Toronto took them out of the playoffs last year. I personally think that the Knicks team (especially Sprewell and Houston) are very dangerous if they have the motivation. Last time they played Toronto Sprewell hit 35 after getting 0 points the game before against Detroit i think.
C. Big factor : Carter is out. Carter accounts for around 30% of team offensive points. Also his numbers in assists have gone up. The rest of the team has to pick up the slack and that is hard over the entire 48 minutes. Also Jerome Williams who was playing good is out. Dell Curry is
questionable. Olajuwan is out (he does make people change shots and is good rebounder) .. Peterson is just back and am thinking he will take time to fit in again.
Knicks played big game against Orlando last night and must be mad @ losing in second half. The game is also in the Gardens which makes things hard for Toronto.
I think Knicks will take this by around 9-11 points.
2. Boston -2
Boston pulled away in the second half against Denver yesterday and lack of interest of Nick Van Excel helps. GS has not been playing good over the last 14 games. Even though they have covered the spread against Boston before I think that Boston wants to go ahead 2-0 in this 7 game western road swing before they face the heavyweights of the West.
I am sure the confidence level of Walker and Pierce is at an all time high especially after All Star Break. Walker had a zero turnover triple double yesterday .. last time this was done was in 2000 and guess who did it .. Walker against the Bulls.
Boston will also try to distance themselves from Toronto at this point when Carter is injured. As for GS just not consistent. Jamison has not been shooting good as of late and I think Boston will pull this one out
inspite of faring badly against GS before. Boston team is different after Pitino left and I think their success will continue tonight. Look at them to come out strong.
3. Minny / Phoenix over 198.5
Minny has been giving away 100+ points to its opponents but shooting very high FG % at home. Phoenix has most number of Overs I think the last time I checked. They should be happy about the Detroit win and will try to make a push in the Conference. Should be a fast paced game and I think final total will be around 205.
Am looking at other games. Will post If time permits.
Cheers !!!
Spock
