Wednesday plays...

[MrChristo]

..Sorry for the rush, but playing:

Indi -5
Indi/Bost over 178.5 (-125)
NO -7
NJ -6
Phoenix -4

Back with record and some reasons shortly.

EDIT: Record (Second Attempt) 52-56'-2

 

[MrChristo]

Indiana -5 and over 179.

Indi are 10-0-1 last 11 games home -> home with 1 day rest as a 5+ fav.
They have averaged 103 ppg in those 11 games (9-2 over).......and Boston is 13-0 over the last 13 times they have played a team in that situation.

Indi: 8-3 home 5+ fav off a 10+ ATS loss. (Av. win 8.5) [inc. a 109-100 win over Boston on Feb. 1]
7-3 home when total <180 (Av. win 7)

6-2 v. teams in Boston's situation (home -> away, back-to-back) (Av. win 10.7)
13-1-1 this number as home 5+ fav v. team off a 10+ loss. (Av. win 11.9)
8-0 this number if the loss was at home! (Av. win 14.5!)

8-1-1 home 5+ fav v. team off upset loss. (Av. win 11.8)

League is 1-12-1 this number since 2000, home -> away, no rest as 5+ dog off a 10+ loss as fav! (Av. loss 10) [Boston]
Those games are 10-4 over this number with the team allowing 97.7 ppg.

Not 1 of the last 20 meetings in Indi have gone under this total!!

Even with Detroit shooting a horrible 34.2% and scoring only 71 the other day, Boston still allows 97 ppg in their lkast 12 away.
Indi scores 98.5 ppg at home.
Also Boston shoot 33.8% from 3 point land, but in their last 3 have gone 13/69 @ 18.8%......An amazing 1/21 yesterday!!...i'd be very surprised if this didn't improve on a court where they have averaged over 103 ppg in their last 6 visits.


Phoenix -4

Pho: 16-5 home after home ATS loss. (Av. win 11.1) (6-2 this season, averaging 101.8 ppg)
Utah: 3-12 home -> away, no rest. (Av. loss 11.8)...They've allowed 99.9 ppg in this situation.....103.3 if we discard the 3 winners.
I expect Phoenix to top 100 here and doubt whether Utah can keep up.
Utah are 4-10 when allowing 100 away, and Phoenix are 9-3 when scoring 100 @ home.
Also, back-to-back is by far Utah's worst scoring situation, averaging only 90.7 ppg, compared to their season 95.3 ppg.

 

[MrChristo]

NO: 7-1 home, 3+ days rest as fav. (Av. win 15!!)
5-1 this number home 5+ fav off 10+ loss. (Av. win 8.7)
5-2 last 7 as 5+ fav v. team away -> away, no rest. (Av. win 10)

NY: 3-8 this number, away 5+ dog off upset win. (Av. loss 12)
2-7 " " " " " " 10+ ATS win. (Av. loss 13.8)

I don't believe they can keep shooting as well as they are, and I expect to see them struggle today.

NJ: 5-1 this number away -> home, no rest as 5+ fav. (Av. win 12.7!)
4-1-1 home 5+ fav off away 10+ win. (Av. win 12.7)
7-1-2 home 5+ fav off upset win!! (Av. win 16.3!!)
Mil: 1-5 v. team in that sit. (Av. loss 11.5)

NJ: 8-1 home 5+ fav v. team on 2 days rest!! (AV. win 19.1!!!)
They hold opponents to 77.6 ppg in that situation!....and given Bucks can stop no-one, I think NJ win this one comfortably.


Good luck all

 

[MrChristo]

Adding....

Adding....

NJ -6 @ HT.

Out-rebounding Bucks 24-15. 28 points in the paint to 12!

Cassell on fire, but he goes cold.

14 turnovers to 6.....Nets fix this they win going away....And still cover the game 6