Wednesday totals

Valuist

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More unders for tonight:

Michigan/Illinois Under 137.5
Syracuse/Rutgers Under 140.5
Ohio State/Purdue Under 136
Cincinnati/DePaul Under 127.5
West Virginia/Notre Dame Under 150
 

Valuist

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4-1 last night and only bad defense in the 2nd half by West Va kept it from a perfect 5-0.

Thursday's projections:

Butler/Duke 147
Oregon/UCLA 148.5
Stanford/Arizona 139.5
California/Ariz St 143.5
 

Valuist

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GL to you Spits

One more total: NC St./Maryland 150

Based on my projections, Arizona/Stanford under is the strongest play. I think the key here is how much full court pressure Arizona uses. They hadn't been using it as much as they wanted to, so I feel good about the under there. Stanford certainly won't run like Kansas did.

According to my projections, NC St/Maryland is about right but matchup wise I can see an under. NC State relies heavily on the 3, and they are on the road facing a Maryland team who defends the 3 as good as anyone in the country.

The Butler/Duke game should be entertaining. I believe this game means far more to Butler, who is searching for national respect. I think you either have to take the pts or pass.
 

Valuist

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The projections are pure numbers. When I make them, I don't say "well this team is athletic so it has to go over". If they are really athletic, then it will be reflected in the numbers. I believe you have to make the distinction between conference games and non-conference games as the n/c games tend to be higher scoring, therefore inflating the numbers in most cases.
 
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