Wednesday $$$

[Spock]

What an up and down day yesterday. URBINA SUX .. THIS IS AN OFFICIAL DISCLOSURE ..

Grab the line on Minny .. right now it is at -114 @ Pinnacle

1. Minny @ CWS

Taking Minny ML

Santana just did not have control today.

Not a lot of time for write up .. Minny still playin good and almost came back .. Santana gave up 5 runs in one inning and that really hurt them ..

Minny is 14-5 in July games while White Sox are 6-13 in july
At home when total is 10 to 10.5 White Sox are 6-13
Minny Vs RHP are 47-22
White Sox Vs RHP are 36-42

Minny as a team are averaging 0.288 against RHP
White Sox as a team are averaging 0.267 against RHP


Lohse on the road is 4-2 and his team is 8-2 in 10 starts on the road.

Overall he is 9-5 and his team is 14-6

Last 7 games Lohse is 3-0 and team is 6-1 and his ERA is 4.12
Lohse gave up a lot of runs to Milwaukee in his last outing and look for him to pitch well.
Against the White Sox this season Lohse is 1-0
Last season against White Sox Lohse is 2-0
(team is 3-0)


Garland @ home is 5-3 and his team is 5-4.
Overall he is 8-7 and team is 9-11

In last 7 games he is 2-3 and team is 2-5 with an ERA of 6.86

This season Garland is 0-0 against Minny while his team is 0-1.
Garland has been having problems lately and has been lit up for runs in his last start. Mebbe start of a downturn.

LOHSE is 3-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.015.
His team's record is 4-0 in these starts.

GARLAND is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.949.
His team's record is 0-1 in these starts.


Throw in the fact that Minny has been playing great and this looks like good odds. The Over is also very tempting.

Good luck to all
Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[TJBELL]

All over it like white on rice!!! GL Spock!!!!

 

[trademaster]

i was thinking about this play before the late tuesday games started...with you backing it up makes me feel better cuz i have lost around $1500 in 4 days need to get on a hot streak...for me to make $1500 takes 1 month but how can lose that much in 4 days funny if you think about it

 

[Spock]

trademaster ..

please reduce the size of your bet. Bad karma around sometimes.

* Look at Atlanta day before. Florida scored on 2 outs after the stupid first base ump could not see that the guy had swung his bat past the plate.

* Boston game 2 yesterday another example.

Point is no game is worth betting the farm on. No easy come but definitely there is Easy Go. As ndnfan said "No game is a Sure Winner .. Anything can happen" ..

Slow and steady. I have had my bankroll increase from $100 to $1000+ .. first betting $5 per game .. then increased it to $10 ..
then $20 .. then $30 .. now bettin around $50 - $75 .. if i had bet the farm on one game mebbe i would have won but chances are would have got screwed. Took out some money and then readjusted my bet size. Point is bet one unit on each game
(my advice) .. have been hurt myself betting more than a unit a game and just not worth it .. dependin on the bankroll of course.
hard earned money .. gotta protect it .. its like an investment ..cannot let it go down faster than the nasdaq ..

all part of a learnin process .. why not learn on small money which wont hurt.

Ask TTM$ how many times things have gone against hime when he has put a huge bet on one game.

Also if ya are think sad about losin the money definitely time to bring down the bet size. Am sure ya will get the money back but play smart .. no last min bets .. and no bettin the farm to get the money back .. my opinion again ..

I hope we win today. Looks like a good play. Lets Go Boys.

Cheers and Good luck !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

TJ

No Mesa and Urbina in this game to fcuk ya. Lets make some $$$

Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Theboundbook]

Spock,

Are you sure there wasn't a trade? No Mesa or Urbina? I am sure teams are just dying to get these two clowns.

 

[Spock]

Actually there was a team meeting in the Braves organization how wanted to strengthen their bull pen and one of the long time janitors suggested that they shud try to get hands on Mesa and Urbina.

All things are in motion but it is hard to pull these 2 out of their respective teams as they play a very vital role in the organization whereby they make more money for the team than they lose
(as the team always bets against them and the Over).

Looks like their 2 respective teams are not BRAVE enuf to send them to the BRAVE's.

After all who would wanna get ride of unique freaks and metally decapacitated pitchers who are hard to find.

I called up their teams and complained about them and was told to do what the team management does ..
"Bet aganst them instead of on them .. makes thing easy and less hassle + results guarenteed"

I hope that is the last of the $$$ that these jokers have cost me.

Cheers book !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

# Minny batting 0.305 against RHP in last 10
White Sox batting 0.305 against RHP in last 10

I think the OVer looks good here .. the Ump has a 12-9 over-under record.

Lohse over under is 12-8
Garland is 7-10
(no run support mebbe ? )

Minny will hit Garland ..

Over is 9-1 in last 10 meetings
Over is 8-2 in Minny's last 10 on the road
Over is 6-3-2 in CWS last 11 @ home.

Opinions ?

 

[Antonio]

Spock -108 at canbet if ya can get it.

 

[Spock]

Thanx Tony.

Great call on Detroit yesterday. Hard luck on Anaheim and
i think the Under on the Zona game was the right call.
8 runs scored in the 8'th inning .. unreal .. never have tha happen to me when i got the Over ..

No account at canbet unfortunately.

defi good odds @ that price.

Good luck
Spock

 

[ndnfan]

Good luck today!

Love the Minnesota play....I'm on it as well

Let's get the cash today

 

[Spock]

Adding :

Atlanta @ Florida Under 8.5

I see most of the forums having the Over in this game.

Whenever you have 2 good lefties going against each other the runs scored are not a lot.

Throw in the fact that both teams are having a hard time scoring runs and this looks good for the Under.

The ump has been at home plate 2 times when there are two left handed pitchers facing each other. Both times the game went Under the total.

The average runs for the Ump is high at almost 12. This can be misleading as he has had :

2 games - 21 runs scored
1 game - 19 runs scored
3 games - 18 runs scored

On artificial surfaces the avg runs scored in his games are 15.4 runs per game.

Atlanta batting at a very low % against LHP around 0.180
Florida is around 0.256 % ..


Some other trends :

The under is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings.
The under is 7-3 in Moss' last 10 starts.
The under is 8-2 in Florida's last 10 at home.

Moss is 4-11 Over/Under overall
Tajera is 2-5 Over/Under overall

Atlanta is 2-8 Over-Under in last 10 overall
Florida is 4-6 Over-Under in last 10 overall

The only bad thing is Moss walks a lot of batters. But does not give up a lot of HR.

I think Florida is a good dog here. If they are winning then there wont be bottom 9'th inning.


I think total runs scored will be around 6

Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

forgot to mention Tajera has a very low ERA at home and is pitchin extremely well at home.

 

[Spock]

5 RBI by Atlanta with 2 out in the first ..

thats insane ..

 

[Spock]

no runs by florida and 10 runs by atlanta on 12 hits and 9 of those runs coming with 2 outs.

Also the pitcher hittin a double to drive in a run. UNREAL.

Adding :

Kansas ML

No time for details but this looks good with regards to pitcher match up. Throw in the fact that Kansas was roughed up yesterday and look for some revenge here.

Good luck
Spock