- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 73-55-4 (+20.7)
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)
Two cool things happened last night in the NBA. We have a 100" projector screen on our wall, where we project 4 games at a time, and also have our other TV going underneath them. Well last night, the Knicks game and the Detroit game were both tied at 100-97, with under a minute to go. At the exact same time, both teams that were winning (Portland and Detroit) drained a 3 to go up 103-97. I thought that was cool - it was like some synchronized reality for a minute (I know...the small joys of life).
The other cool thing that happened was that the Clippers decided not to show up at the Pepsi Center. Thanks guys!!
I love the Warriors. They are one of my favorite teams. They are also one of my favorite teams to cap. I think they are great this year - way better than I expected. The game tonight is not only a Pacific division battle between the #1 Clippers and the #2 Warriors, but also a battle for the state of California. Who knew that these two teams would be the best in California!! It is also a battle of two of the best back courts in the league. I think these teams actually match up well, and I was surprised that the Clippers were favored. The Oracle arena is a tough loud place to play, and they are going to be super jacked up tonight, not to mention that the Clippers are coming in with no rest.
The Warriors beat the Clippers by 4 points earlier this season in LA. In that game, they won while attempting 14 less field goals than the Clippers. In that game, the Warriors bench scored 48 points, which is 14.5 above their season average, while the Clippers bench scored under their season average. I don't expect that will happen again tonight.
While it is a battle of back courts, the Clippers still have a decisive edge. They have the best backcourt in the league, both offensively and defensively. Their defensive numbers are especially impressive, holding their opponent to 39.2% on the season and posting a differential efficiency rating of 16.8 (average is 0 and the next best team is the Spurs at 9.3). The Clippers also have a better front court than Golden state, with a difference of +6.1 in ratings.
Since I bet on the Nuggets, I am happy that the Clippers decided to take a day off yesterday. That game last night was downright ugly, on both sides. The Clippers were 5-for-29 from 3-point range, a far cry from their 35-percent season average, and they were 13-for-29 from the foul line. They had 15 turnovers and shot 39% from the field. They basically did not show up. Neither team was defending particularly well, and yet neither could score either. I think the Clippers just didn?t care about that game, at all. Since the 2011 season, favorites on no rest who lost all three of these categories in their last game are 35-13 SU (+4.1 ppg) and road favorites are 16-4 SU (+3.6 ppg). Since the 2010 season, as a favorite with no rest the Clippers are 38-7 SU (+9.5 ppg) after a game where their free throw percentage was less than their season average. The Clippers are 9-1 SU (+10.4 ppg) as a favorite with no rest after a game where they shot below their season average from beyond the arc. After a game where they shot less than their average field goal percentage for the season, the Clippers are 11-4 SU (+10.1) in their last 15.
I think this is a big game for both teams, and that is why the Clippers played so poorly last night. As much as I love Golden State, I think that from top to bottom the Clippers have the edge, and they are ready to seek revenge for their earlier loss at home this season. The Clippers have the best efficiency differential in the league, and even when adjusted for their poor schedule, they are second in the league.
I won?t be surprised if the Warriors pull this one out, but I have to put money on the side of logic, not my heart.
Clippers -1.5 x2
Grizzlies -3.5
Nets +9.5
Nets ML +475 kurby
This Nets game could be a total blow-out, but I found some interesting trends that show the Nets could win. Worth the chance with the odds they are giving.
Since the plays I posted that my research indicated last night did well, I will post them again tonight. Again, I am not betting these:
Dallas
Utah
Portland
Good luck...
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)
Two cool things happened last night in the NBA. We have a 100" projector screen on our wall, where we project 4 games at a time, and also have our other TV going underneath them. Well last night, the Knicks game and the Detroit game were both tied at 100-97, with under a minute to go. At the exact same time, both teams that were winning (Portland and Detroit) drained a 3 to go up 103-97. I thought that was cool - it was like some synchronized reality for a minute (I know...the small joys of life).
The other cool thing that happened was that the Clippers decided not to show up at the Pepsi Center. Thanks guys!!
I love the Warriors. They are one of my favorite teams. They are also one of my favorite teams to cap. I think they are great this year - way better than I expected. The game tonight is not only a Pacific division battle between the #1 Clippers and the #2 Warriors, but also a battle for the state of California. Who knew that these two teams would be the best in California!! It is also a battle of two of the best back courts in the league. I think these teams actually match up well, and I was surprised that the Clippers were favored. The Oracle arena is a tough loud place to play, and they are going to be super jacked up tonight, not to mention that the Clippers are coming in with no rest.
The Warriors beat the Clippers by 4 points earlier this season in LA. In that game, they won while attempting 14 less field goals than the Clippers. In that game, the Warriors bench scored 48 points, which is 14.5 above their season average, while the Clippers bench scored under their season average. I don't expect that will happen again tonight.
While it is a battle of back courts, the Clippers still have a decisive edge. They have the best backcourt in the league, both offensively and defensively. Their defensive numbers are especially impressive, holding their opponent to 39.2% on the season and posting a differential efficiency rating of 16.8 (average is 0 and the next best team is the Spurs at 9.3). The Clippers also have a better front court than Golden state, with a difference of +6.1 in ratings.
Since I bet on the Nuggets, I am happy that the Clippers decided to take a day off yesterday. That game last night was downright ugly, on both sides. The Clippers were 5-for-29 from 3-point range, a far cry from their 35-percent season average, and they were 13-for-29 from the foul line. They had 15 turnovers and shot 39% from the field. They basically did not show up. Neither team was defending particularly well, and yet neither could score either. I think the Clippers just didn?t care about that game, at all. Since the 2011 season, favorites on no rest who lost all three of these categories in their last game are 35-13 SU (+4.1 ppg) and road favorites are 16-4 SU (+3.6 ppg). Since the 2010 season, as a favorite with no rest the Clippers are 38-7 SU (+9.5 ppg) after a game where their free throw percentage was less than their season average. The Clippers are 9-1 SU (+10.4 ppg) as a favorite with no rest after a game where they shot below their season average from beyond the arc. After a game where they shot less than their average field goal percentage for the season, the Clippers are 11-4 SU (+10.1) in their last 15.
I think this is a big game for both teams, and that is why the Clippers played so poorly last night. As much as I love Golden State, I think that from top to bottom the Clippers have the edge, and they are ready to seek revenge for their earlier loss at home this season. The Clippers have the best efficiency differential in the league, and even when adjusted for their poor schedule, they are second in the league.
I won?t be surprised if the Warriors pull this one out, but I have to put money on the side of logic, not my heart.
Clippers -1.5 x2
Grizzlies -3.5
Nets +9.5
Nets ML +475 kurby
This Nets game could be a total blow-out, but I found some interesting trends that show the Nets could win. Worth the chance with the odds they are giving.
Since the plays I posted that my research indicated last night did well, I will post them again tonight. Again, I am not betting these:
Dallas
Utah
Portland
Good luck...
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