PS = predicted score
It?s based probably on (around) 65 to 70% starting pitching and 30 to 35% team offense (runs scored). I really don?t know to explain it except it?s a form of linear regression. It can do fairly well at times as long as the starting pitcher stats haven?t changed drastically over the last few games; or a team?s offensive production doesn?t change to drastically (which happens all the time of course). Its major weakness may be that it may not fully take into account the bullpen or team defense, although I?m not for sure. It?s based on the last 10 games for each team, in an attempt to stay current and still have enough games to be meaningful.
PS10 and PS5
Both are predicted scores, only the first is based on the last 10 games (for a team) and the second is based on the last 5 games. Very simple, just based on runs scored & runs allowed. Starting pitching has nothing to do with it. I?ve learned the hard way not to underestimate it though.
I will try to do this as long as I have the time or don?t go busted, and I know either could happen at any time J. Towards the end of July I?ll be migrating north to the Kentucky/Tennessee line for a week or 2 for some vacation and my 50[SUP]th[/SUP] high school reunion; almost seems unreal, until I look in the mirror. I doubt I will be able to post then.
