Wednesday.

[MrChristo]

Record (Second Attempt): 37-33'-1

New Orleans PK.

League: 1-10 (last 11) away -> away, back-to-back as dog after upset win. (Av. loss 13.5)
Sac: 1-5 in that situation. (Av. loss 8)

NO: 18-3 home -> home 1 day rest as fav, total 190+ (Av. win 9.1)
16-4 SU as home fav v. team off away ATS win. (Av. win 9)
12-4 SU as home fav v. team off upset win. (Av. win 8.7)
6-0 SU as home fav v. team off upset win as 5+ dog. (Av. 11.7!)
17-5 SU as home fav v. team away -> away, back-to-back.
9-2 SU " " " " " " " " " " " when total 190+ (Av. win 7.8)

Sac: 3-8 as away dog when toal 190+ v. team off home ATS win. (Av. loss 7.8)
1-8 as away dog after an upset win. (Av. loss 9.3)


Utah -11'

Utah 20-1 SU (12-8-1) home -> home 1 day rest as 10+ fav. (av. win 17.5) [inc. 104-71 win over Memphis this season.]
9-4 when total 190+ (Av. win 18.8)
Mem: 0-10 SU v. team in that situation. (Av. loss 15.9)

Mem: 0-8 SU away -> away 1 day rest as 10+ dog, total 190+. (Av. loss 15.7)
Utah: 10-1 SU as home 10+ fav v. team away -> away 1 day rest. (Av. win 21.3!)
4-0 when total 190+. (Av. win 24.5!!)

Mem: 0-24 SU away 10+ dog v. team off a SU loss! (Av. loss 14.4)
1-13 SU away 10+ dog after away 10+ SU loss. (Av. loss 18.9!!)
Utah: 9-2 ATS v. team in that situation. (Av. win 21!!) [inc. 114-70 and 104-71 wins over Memphis last year!!]
Mem: 0-11 SU when the loss was ATS aswell. (Av. loss 19.5!!)
Utah: 7-2 ATS v. team in that situation. (Av. win 18.9!)

Also this year, Utah: 9-2 v. div and 7-1 v. <.500 teams.

Last game before the break, so I expect a big effort from the Jazz with no slacking off towards the end of the game.

 

[MrChristo]

Adding....

Adding....

...Not been a good year for totals for me, but I think I have a good one here

Clippers @ Detroit OVER 180'

The last 5 meetings @ Detroit have averaged 200.
Detroit are 7-1 over after 3 straight wins.
LAC give 99.2 ppg on the road.
LAC games av. 198.4 when playing back-to-back.

Also with Olowokando and especially Wallace out there shouldn't be a lot of defense inside.
Billups and Rip lighting it up lately, so there should be plenty of scoring in this one.

Good luck all

 

[baby johnson]

agree with the over mc..got it capped at 190 myself

 

[baby johnson]

agree with the over detroit, capped it a t 190 myself

jr capper

 

[MrChristo]

Record (Second Attempt): 39-34'-1

Record (Second Attempt): 39-34'-1

Not been a good year for totals for me

That is it! No more totals! They've killed me all year.

Either I play them no more, or I fade my pick

2-1 on the night, and the Utah -8 @ HT was the best bet since Saddam getting 99% of the vote last 'election'

 

[heleanth]

Nice write-ups. I went with you on the Utah play, thank you very much. Thanks for posting.