Weds evening parlay

Terryray

Say Parlay
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2001
9,833
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Kansas City area for who knows how long....
07:10 PM [911] TOTAL o9-115 (STL CARDINALS vrs CIN REDS) ( M WACHA -R / C REED -L )
08:40 PM [913] TOTAL o11-125 (LA DODGERS vrs COL ROCKIES) ( B STEWART -R / T ANDERSON -L )
07:10 PM [917] MIN TWINS +158 ( T DUFFEY -R / T BAUER -R )
07:10 PM [921] KC ROYALS +127 ( E VOLQUEZ -R / J ODORIZZI -R )
10:05 PM [926] TOTAL u9-120 (OAK ATHLETICS vrs LA ANGELS) ( K GRAVEMAN -R / J WEAVER -R )

1 unit bet pays 35 ....betdsi line


MLB parlays: 11-124, -29.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd...

Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
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Twins have won 17 of their last 27 games. The kids are getting some chemistry together now, playing with fun and confidence. And they always play Cleve hard.

Twins offence, listed by wRC+, is #1 these last 30 days!....yeah, their starter today is rotten, but Bauer is in a bad stretch too, and MN bullpen been really fine of late, the Clev pen is used and abused to the breaking point. Good luck on that vs #1 offense in baseball!!...the over is the stronger bet, but the side has more value.


ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

Miami Marlins are 1-10 in Koehler?s last 11 road starts.

Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-23 in their last 30 games
Over is 11-2 in ARI last 13 home games.

Arizona traded former Nationals reliever Tyler Clippard to the New York Yankees on Sunday and has had trouble keeping games close in recent games. Relievers have been charged with 10 runs in 8 2/3 innings in the first two games of the series.

"It is disheartening when they keep going out there and giving up even one," Arizona manager Chip Hale said. "We have to do better. We have to limit the runs."

Man oh man Junior Guerra just keeps having the season he's always dreamed of as he went 8.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks against the Pirates on Friday....Soooo, I can't tell you that riding Guerra for the long term is a smart play. Before this start, he had ten walks in just three outings, his xFIP is at 4.14 in a HR home field (Miller Park), he's riding a .233 BABIP and his K/BB numbers are pretty average - 7.40 K/9 & 2.96 BB/9. He's just kind of...there. Here's an interesting stat: His BABIP has been above .265 just five times in all of his 16 starts this year. It's not like he's limiting Hard Contact to earn those numbers either (34.7% rate!) and I worry that this Cinderella story is going to end somewhat soon. I say "somewhat soon" because he is blessed with starts against the Padres/Braves/Reds next. Holy Wade Boggs' mustache that's fortunate. After that stretch I'd look elsewhere and I wouldn't be completely shocked if those outings have some gray clouds above them.

Under is 12-3-1 in NYM last 16 road games.
Under is 18-6-3 in NYY last 27 home games.

This is a sad day. A really sad day. I absolutely adore Aaron Nola and as he faltered against the Pirates last time out, I didn't touch him in The List. When I had last looked at his velocity numbers during his major struggles in June, I saw the same ole 91/92 mph marks he'd been putting up all year. Now last start he went 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 8 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks against the silly Braves and I noticed early on he was hitting 88 mph and 89 mph and something was very wrong. The main impetus I had for Nola's recovery was that it was pure command + bad luck as the velocity numbers + movement numbers were intact and there were no signs of injury. Now that he's had three of his last five featuring sub 90 mph average velocities (his start in Miami was right in line with prime Nola at 92.6 mph and yesterday was 90.6 mph), I'm so dang worried. That extra oomph on his heater also allows Nola to command it better, which sounds counter-intuitive at first, but then imagine throwing slightly slower and how it changes everything working together to make an accurate toss. Clearly he can get it back, but I don't have the same conviction that it will return as soon as the next outing like I did a week or two ago. Now don't take this the wrong way - he did feature 92+ just last week against Miami and it's not out of the question it comes back soon, though I can't invest in it like I did before. It hurts a lot to say that, but I can't sit idly by when I have a new piece of info that changes my perspective of the situation.

Texas Rangers are 27-6 in Hamels last 33 starts.
The Baltimore Orioles are 4-14 in Gausman?s last 18 starts against a team with a winning record.

Chris Sale made it through the trade deadline unscathed; he may not be so lucky facing the Detroit Tigers in Comerica Park. The Chicago White Sox lefty is still an upper-echelon pitcher, and ultimately may remain elite, but a precipitous drop in strikeouts lowers his ceiling and destabilizes his floor.

Michael Fulmer - 7.2 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. I want to say the regression has begun - and it probably has - but this was against the Red Sawx so I'm obligated to stall it for another start. I'm still selling given his inevitable shutdown and FIP/xFIP being in a huge fight with his ERA. Apparently something was said about someone's mother.

TWINS AT INDIANS
PLAY: TWINS +170

Tyler Duffey has been horrible lately for the Twins, they?re a last place team, and there?s no way they?re winning three straight from the Indians, right?

I?m not about to suggest I?ll be surprised if Cleveland bounces back tonight. They?re the better baseball team, and while Trevor Bauer hasn?t been sensational lately, he?s the better starting pitcher here.

But that?s where the betting line and value comes into play. As awful as the overall record is for the Twins, they?ve been playing good baseball for some time now. The 5-1 in their last six is nice, but more impressive is the Twins 17-10 ledger over their last 27 games. The youth movement that?s now fully underway for Minnesota is paying dividends, as these kids are playing good baseball and gaining confidence and experience in the process. The bullpen work has been vastly improved of late, and the offense is clicking as well.

There?s also a fascinating little stat on the Twins that one would not think is even possible. The Twins are at 42-64 for the season, which still stinks. But when playing off a win, Minnesota actually has a more than respectable 54% win rate.

The Indians are clearly the rightful favorite in this game. But -180 is higher than I feel it ought to be. Using three different sets of models, the average price is Cleveland -131. That means snaring +170 is a decent bet as far as value is concerned, and I?m willing to throw a bet on the Twins at the big price this evening.


Over is 59-28-6 in MIN last 93 overall.
The Over is 27-11-3 in Twins last 41 vs. a team with a winning record
The Over is 38-17-4 in Twins last 59 games vs. a right-handed starter
The Over is 38-12-3 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter

Locke will rejoin the rotation after a brief but productive stint in the bullpen. Locke pitched well in one appearance and learned a few lessons that he hopes will improve his inconsistent work (8-6, 5.67 ERA) as a starter.

Cardinals vs. Reds
Play: Over 9

The Cincinnati Reds look to hand the Cardinals their fourth straight loss when the two teams square off in St. Louis. Game time is set for 7:10 PM ET at Busch Stadium.

The Cardinals The Reds (43-62, 25-28 home) Scott Schebler, who was called up from the minors Tuesday to take Jay Bruce's roster spot, slammed a three run walk-off three-run homer hours later for the Reds. Schebler capped a three-hit night with his dramatic blast to seal the 7-5 victory while Adam Duvall also went deep to take over the team lead with 26 homers. It was the third straight for St. Louis (56-50, 31-20 road) as they begin to turn their attentions to next season.

Veteran Michael Wacha (6-7, 4.38 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Cards as he looks to stretch his unbeaten string to eight starts. He hasn't been dominant during the undefeated stretch, giving up 10 hits versus the Dodgers on July 22 and lasting only four innings in his previous turn vs. the Marlins. Wacha is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA versus the Reds.

It?s somewhat amazing that rookie Cody Reed (0-5, 7.05) is still in the starting rotation. He was hammered for six runs in a loss at San Francisco last time out and has failed to work beyond five innings in five of his last six outings.

The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings while 20 of Wacha?s past 25 games have stayed below the total. St. Louis is 8-2 to the OVER in its last 10 games.


Acquired from the Mets last year, Whalen will be making his big league debut. The 22-year-old hurler possesses a big curveball and a fastball that sits in the low 90s. He posted a 1.93 ERA in three starts for Triple-A Gwinnett...He posted a 2.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 112:44 K:BB in 21 starts between Double-A and Triple-A, and was ranked as the Braves' No. 29 prospect by Baseball America before the season. The 6-foot-2 righty has a good shot to stick in the rotation

Oak has won 8 of Graveman's last 10 starts
LAA has won 5 of Weaver's last 10 starts.
Under is 23-7-3 in Weavers last 33 starts vs. OAK.

Hottest team: Tigers (7-0 last seven)
Detroit proved a day off couldn?t slow it down, scoring 11 runs for the second consecutive game in trouncing the White Sox 11-5 after being idle on Monday. The Tigers swept Houston out of town with an 11-0 win on Sunday, which came on the heels of breaking out the brooms at Fenway Park to get right back in the thick of the AL wild card race. Miguel Cabrera homered again, cranking out his third in two games and stretching out his run to five homers in the last six games. He?s on a 6-for-9 tear, scoring five runs, and will look to stay hot against Chicago ace Chris Sale (14-4, 3.17 ERA), who will be making his second start since being suspended for cutting up retro jerseys he wanted no part in wearing. Cabrera is 9-for-38 (.237) in his career against Sale, homering twice. The Tigers turn to AL Rookie of the Year candidate Michael Fulmer (9-2, 2.50) and hope to continue their success when he?s been on the mound since they?re 14-2 when he takes the mound, including a perfect 4-0 at Comerica Park.

Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (18-2 last 20)
After ending a 16-game run of games that failed to reach the posted total with back-to-back OVERS in Toronto, the Birds have gotten tremendous pitching over their last two games and have seen their old friend the UNDER help deliver a pair of wins. The UNDER has now come in nine straight times at Camden Yards and figures to have a strong chance at staying below 8.5 with Cole Hamels (12-2, 2.84) on the mound for the visiting Rangers. Hamels has won his last three starts, compiling an 0.84 ERA in wins over the Cubs and Royals. He?ll be pitching against the Orioles for the first time since receiving a no-decision in a 6-3 Rangers win on April 14 and has been exceptional on the road, coming in 8-1 with a 1.71 ERA in opposing stadiums. Kevin Gausman (2-8, 4.18) started the game that snapped the 16-game UNDER run against the Blue Jays, but has seen it prevail in five of his last seven, including a June 20 4-3 loss at Arlington against these Rangers. These teams conclude their key series tomorrow and won?t see one another again unless both reach the postseason.

Biggest OVER run: Cardinals (6-0 last six)
The Cardinals opened the 10-game road trip they?re currently embarked upon with a rainout in Queens and then scored just four runs in splitting a double-header with the Mets. Since that July 26 twinbill, every one of their contests has featured at least nine runs, though St. Louis has been on the receiving end of most of those lately after losing its third straight on Tuesday. The Reds are vulnerable with Reed on the mound, while the Cards turn to Michael Wacha (6-7, 4.38), who has won four consecutive decisions. The OVER is 5-2 in Wacha?s last seven starts.


Brock Stewart (RHP ? LAD)

Brock Stewart was recalled from Triple-A ? his third level of the minors this season ? and make his major league debut on Wednesday, June 29 against the Brewers. He lasted just five innings in Milwaukee after allowing eight hits five earned runs, striking out seven and walking two. Stewart began 2016 in High-A and quickly moved his way up the ladder by mixing his pitches and continuing to post high K rates at each level. The tall, athletic righty has a very fresh arm ? he was drafted in the 6th round in 2014 despite not seeing much mound time in college. The Dodgers were intrigued with his pure arm strength and athleticism and have seen him bypass several other arms in the system. Despite the lack of mileage on his arm, he has outstanding command of a three pitch arsenal. He can run his fastball into the 91-96 mph range and he mixes in a hard slider and below average change-up. Stewart throws with some effort in his delivery and while it may not be textbook, he throws good strikes to all quadrants of the zone. As a fly-ball pitcher, he?ll need to continue his keen location but we would want a much higher price than the one offered today if we were to gamble on him in Colorado against the red-hot Rockies. For his pro career, Stewart owns a 3.13 ERA with 10 K?s/9 and just 2.2 BB?s/9 but he has just 42 innings above Double A and Coors Field is a ruthless place to try and improve after a first rough start.
 
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