7:05 PM [906] PIT PIRATES -1.5 +135 ( C ANDERSON -R / J LOCKE -L )
1:10 PM [914] DET TIGERS -177 ( E SANTANA -R / J VERLANDER -R )
3:40 PM [920] SEA MARINERS -185 ( M GONZALEZ -R / F HERNANDEZ -R )
3:10 PM [925] TOTAL o11.5 -115 (TB RAYS vrs COL ROCKIES) ( C ARCHER -R / J DE LA ROSA -L )
3:40 PM [927] TOR BLUE JAYS -1.5 +100 ( M STROMAN -R / P CORBIN -L )
7:10 PM [930] BOS RED SOX -1.5 -115 ( M CAIN -R / D POMERANZ -L )
1 unit bet pays 38 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 10-109, -31.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
Seattle - King Felix is back, off some strong minor league rehabs and is ready to go. CWS just been awlful...
ov CO - La Rosa over has hit 5-0 at home and this team usually crushes it after a game when they don't.... Archer is primed to implode at CO...
Toro - better team and pitcher, plus, Stroman sports a 1.88 ERA and is 4-0 in 5 career interleage starts (8 appearances)
Pitt - I don't expect this one to be close. Locke is better at home and Anderson on the road vs strong bats is pretty scary.
Boston - always like 1st game a strong starting pitcher has with his new team, esp if blowout potential like today
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Brewers vs. Pirates
Play: Pirates -152
The Pirates are 6-1 at home vs Milwaukee and have now won 11 of the last 14. The Brewers have lost 15 of 21 as a road dog in this range. They are off a tough loss last night and have C. Anderson and his dismal 6.29 road era. His Era vs the Pirates is not much better at 5.29. He will oppose Pirate Lefty J.Locke who has won 5 of 7 at home with a solid 2.56 era. The Pirates also fit a nice system that has won 9 straight times playing on home favorites off a 1 rum home favored win scoring 4 or less runs on 5+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss scoring 2 or less runs and committing 3+ errors in the loss. Look for the Pirates to take another tonight.
Rangers vs. Angels
Play: Angels
Los Angeles is red-hot, winning 5 in a row, including Games 1 and 2 of this series, while Texas, despite clinging to a 4-game lead in the West, has dropped 14 of their 17 contests. The Angels send Hector Santiago to the bump. The LH has won his L4 starts to bring his season numbers up to 7-4 with an ERA of 4.27. The LA lineup has put up 6.75 RPG during those 8 victories. Texas gives Martin Perez the nod. The LH has been shredded in his L2 turns, yielding 17 runs (12 ER's) and 15 hits, in just 9 2/3 IP to bring his stats on the campaign up to 7-6, with a 4.05 ERA. The Rangers pitching staff has allowed foes to post 5 or more runs in 8 of their L10 outings. Los Angeles is 5-0 their L5 at home and 19-7 in Santiago's L26 starts. Texas is 1-5 their L6 on the road and 2-5 their L7 played at Los Angeles.
San Diego Padres at St Louis Cardinals
Pick: San Diego Padres Game 1
Even though the Cardinals Carlos Martinez has the better overall numbers in comparison with the Padres Colin Rea, there are a number of key factors as to why San Diego is offering extreme line value in this big dog spot. The Padres are 5-1 in Rea's 6 road starts this season. The Cardinals are 3-7 in the 10 home starts that Martinez has made this year! Rea has given up just 19 hits in his last 22 innings of work. He gave up 2 earned runs or less in 3 of those 4 starts. Martinez has given up 17 hits in the 13 innings spanning his last two home starts. Though the Cardinals won yesterday's game they had only won 12 of their 28 prior games. Though the Padres lost Monday they had previously won 3 straight and 14 of their last 23 games. San Diego has struggled badly in day games this season but is actually a profit-producing 34-29 (+16.7 net units!) in night games. The Cardinals are only 21-28 (-16.5 net units!) in home games this year! The Padres got pummeled yesterday and are 17-12 the last 3 seasons combined when they are off of a game where they allowed 10 runs or more. Look for the Cardinals to drop to 5-9 in their Tuesday games this season as they drop to 3-8 in home games started by Martinez this year! Tremendous underdog line value here as Rea has been notching a lot of strikeouts and is pitching better than his ERA would lead you to believe.
Hottest pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (6-3, 2.49 ERA)
Carrasco is still under .500 in his six-year career, but definitely looks like the elite pitcher scouts felt he?d turn into when he was plucked out of Venezuela as a 16-year-old. The Tribe has won five of his last six starts and is 10-3 when Carrasco has taken the mound this season. He?s exhibited great control and the ability to get a strikeout or a double play when he needs it. The Royals have hit the ball hard against him this season, but Carrasco is 6-5 with a 3.63 ERA against Kansas City over his career, which includes a 5-2 mark and 3.02 ERA at Kauffman Stadium. The Indians are favored (-135) to win the rubber match of this three-game set against the Royals, who counter with Ian Kennedy (6-7, 3.86).
Coldest pitcher: Chris Archer (4-13, 4.68 ERA)
Archer?s stock has never been lower. He?s already matched his career-high in losses set in 2015. His ERA is higher than it ended in his rookie year and he?s already given up more home runs (20) through the first four months of 2016 than he had in any of his previous four seasons. Considering he?ll be pitching at Denver?s Coors Field for the first time, Archer?s propensity for surrendering the long ball should be disconcerting. He?s given up home runs in 10 of his last 13 starts, which includes eight of 10 on the road. Tampa Bay has failed to win any of his last seven starts and is 1-10 in his last 11. Colorado (-115) is a slight favorite against the Rays despite losing last night?s game in blowout fashion. Lefty Jorge De La Rosa (6-6, 5.50) will pitch for the Rockies. Only Mark Reynolds and Brandon Barnes have faced Archer in the majors.
Biggest UNDER run: Tigers (8-1 last nine)
Detroit managed a single hit off Tommy Milone entering last night's ninth inning and saw James McCann and Jose Iglesias strike out with the bases loaded in a 6-2 loss. As a result, the under struck again as the Tigers were held to four runs or fewer for the 11th time in 12 games. Miguel Cabrera is on a 4-for-25 run at the plate, while Victor Martinez is on a 3-for-33 streak. Despite those struggles, the Tigers are heavily favored as they (-174) send Justin Verlander (9-6, 3.91) to the mound for this matinee series finale against Minnesota, who will count on Ervin Santana (3-8, 4.12) coming off a wrist ailment.
POD: un 9 -120 Minnesota Twins/Detroit Tigers (Santana-Verlander) 1:10 PM EDT
My record this thread since May 1: 43-29-3, +11.19 units (if risked 1 unit on each pick)
Santana should be sharp as he is being shopped around for a trade, and he wants it. Not as tall a job today as Detroit's bats have cooled off of late, producing many unders. And he has been pitching fine on the road this season, and always has vs Detroit in his career...His last 4 starts have gone under. He is off a mediocre start, getting hit by a ball and getting a small bruise, should bounce back fine here, as he usually does.
Minnesota bats have been good, but they must go against a Verlander at home who has regained his form of late. That will cool them off. Under has hit 8-2 in Verlander's last 10 starts (4-1 at home)
Scott Barry is home plate ump at Detroit today. He's one of those umps who can work well with particular aces, and Verlander is one of them. 4 starts with Barry behind HP - Verlander has produced a 0.67 ERA!..Ervin, not so good with Barry in two starts, but that was when Santana was in a bad stretch in general, so not really significant...
1:10 PM [914] DET TIGERS -177 ( E SANTANA -R / J VERLANDER -R )
3:40 PM [920] SEA MARINERS -185 ( M GONZALEZ -R / F HERNANDEZ -R )
3:10 PM [925] TOTAL o11.5 -115 (TB RAYS vrs COL ROCKIES) ( C ARCHER -R / J DE LA ROSA -L )
3:40 PM [927] TOR BLUE JAYS -1.5 +100 ( M STROMAN -R / P CORBIN -L )
7:10 PM [930] BOS RED SOX -1.5 -115 ( M CAIN -R / D POMERANZ -L )
1 unit bet pays 38 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 10-109, -31.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
Seattle - King Felix is back, off some strong minor league rehabs and is ready to go. CWS just been awlful...
ov CO - La Rosa over has hit 5-0 at home and this team usually crushes it after a game when they don't.... Archer is primed to implode at CO...
Toro - better team and pitcher, plus, Stroman sports a 1.88 ERA and is 4-0 in 5 career interleage starts (8 appearances)
Pitt - I don't expect this one to be close. Locke is better at home and Anderson on the road vs strong bats is pretty scary.
Boston - always like 1st game a strong starting pitcher has with his new team, esp if blowout potential like today
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Brewers vs. Pirates
Play: Pirates -152
The Pirates are 6-1 at home vs Milwaukee and have now won 11 of the last 14. The Brewers have lost 15 of 21 as a road dog in this range. They are off a tough loss last night and have C. Anderson and his dismal 6.29 road era. His Era vs the Pirates is not much better at 5.29. He will oppose Pirate Lefty J.Locke who has won 5 of 7 at home with a solid 2.56 era. The Pirates also fit a nice system that has won 9 straight times playing on home favorites off a 1 rum home favored win scoring 4 or less runs on 5+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss scoring 2 or less runs and committing 3+ errors in the loss. Look for the Pirates to take another tonight.
Rangers vs. Angels
Play: Angels
Los Angeles is red-hot, winning 5 in a row, including Games 1 and 2 of this series, while Texas, despite clinging to a 4-game lead in the West, has dropped 14 of their 17 contests. The Angels send Hector Santiago to the bump. The LH has won his L4 starts to bring his season numbers up to 7-4 with an ERA of 4.27. The LA lineup has put up 6.75 RPG during those 8 victories. Texas gives Martin Perez the nod. The LH has been shredded in his L2 turns, yielding 17 runs (12 ER's) and 15 hits, in just 9 2/3 IP to bring his stats on the campaign up to 7-6, with a 4.05 ERA. The Rangers pitching staff has allowed foes to post 5 or more runs in 8 of their L10 outings. Los Angeles is 5-0 their L5 at home and 19-7 in Santiago's L26 starts. Texas is 1-5 their L6 on the road and 2-5 their L7 played at Los Angeles.
San Diego Padres at St Louis Cardinals
Pick: San Diego Padres Game 1
Even though the Cardinals Carlos Martinez has the better overall numbers in comparison with the Padres Colin Rea, there are a number of key factors as to why San Diego is offering extreme line value in this big dog spot. The Padres are 5-1 in Rea's 6 road starts this season. The Cardinals are 3-7 in the 10 home starts that Martinez has made this year! Rea has given up just 19 hits in his last 22 innings of work. He gave up 2 earned runs or less in 3 of those 4 starts. Martinez has given up 17 hits in the 13 innings spanning his last two home starts. Though the Cardinals won yesterday's game they had only won 12 of their 28 prior games. Though the Padres lost Monday they had previously won 3 straight and 14 of their last 23 games. San Diego has struggled badly in day games this season but is actually a profit-producing 34-29 (+16.7 net units!) in night games. The Cardinals are only 21-28 (-16.5 net units!) in home games this year! The Padres got pummeled yesterday and are 17-12 the last 3 seasons combined when they are off of a game where they allowed 10 runs or more. Look for the Cardinals to drop to 5-9 in their Tuesday games this season as they drop to 3-8 in home games started by Martinez this year! Tremendous underdog line value here as Rea has been notching a lot of strikeouts and is pitching better than his ERA would lead you to believe.
Hottest pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (6-3, 2.49 ERA)
Carrasco is still under .500 in his six-year career, but definitely looks like the elite pitcher scouts felt he?d turn into when he was plucked out of Venezuela as a 16-year-old. The Tribe has won five of his last six starts and is 10-3 when Carrasco has taken the mound this season. He?s exhibited great control and the ability to get a strikeout or a double play when he needs it. The Royals have hit the ball hard against him this season, but Carrasco is 6-5 with a 3.63 ERA against Kansas City over his career, which includes a 5-2 mark and 3.02 ERA at Kauffman Stadium. The Indians are favored (-135) to win the rubber match of this three-game set against the Royals, who counter with Ian Kennedy (6-7, 3.86).
Coldest pitcher: Chris Archer (4-13, 4.68 ERA)
Archer?s stock has never been lower. He?s already matched his career-high in losses set in 2015. His ERA is higher than it ended in his rookie year and he?s already given up more home runs (20) through the first four months of 2016 than he had in any of his previous four seasons. Considering he?ll be pitching at Denver?s Coors Field for the first time, Archer?s propensity for surrendering the long ball should be disconcerting. He?s given up home runs in 10 of his last 13 starts, which includes eight of 10 on the road. Tampa Bay has failed to win any of his last seven starts and is 1-10 in his last 11. Colorado (-115) is a slight favorite against the Rays despite losing last night?s game in blowout fashion. Lefty Jorge De La Rosa (6-6, 5.50) will pitch for the Rockies. Only Mark Reynolds and Brandon Barnes have faced Archer in the majors.
Biggest UNDER run: Tigers (8-1 last nine)
Detroit managed a single hit off Tommy Milone entering last night's ninth inning and saw James McCann and Jose Iglesias strike out with the bases loaded in a 6-2 loss. As a result, the under struck again as the Tigers were held to four runs or fewer for the 11th time in 12 games. Miguel Cabrera is on a 4-for-25 run at the plate, while Victor Martinez is on a 3-for-33 streak. Despite those struggles, the Tigers are heavily favored as they (-174) send Justin Verlander (9-6, 3.91) to the mound for this matinee series finale against Minnesota, who will count on Ervin Santana (3-8, 4.12) coming off a wrist ailment.
POD: un 9 -120 Minnesota Twins/Detroit Tigers (Santana-Verlander) 1:10 PM EDT
My record this thread since May 1: 43-29-3, +11.19 units (if risked 1 unit on each pick)
Santana should be sharp as he is being shopped around for a trade, and he wants it. Not as tall a job today as Detroit's bats have cooled off of late, producing many unders. And he has been pitching fine on the road this season, and always has vs Detroit in his career...His last 4 starts have gone under. He is off a mediocre start, getting hit by a ball and getting a small bruise, should bounce back fine here, as he usually does.
Minnesota bats have been good, but they must go against a Verlander at home who has regained his form of late. That will cool them off. Under has hit 8-2 in Verlander's last 10 starts (4-1 at home)
Scott Barry is home plate ump at Detroit today. He's one of those umps who can work well with particular aces, and Verlander is one of them. 4 starts with Barry behind HP - Verlander has produced a 0.67 ERA!..Ervin, not so good with Barry in two starts, but that was when Santana was in a bad stretch in general, so not really significant...
