12:10 PM[902] TOTAL u7.5 -115 (ATL BRAVES vrs MIA MARLINS) ( J GANT -R / A CONLEY -L )
01:05 PM[918] TOTAL u9-115 (COL ROCKIES vrs NY YANKEES) ( J GRAY -R / C SABATHIA -L )
01:10 PM[920] TOTAL u6.5 -125 (KC ROYALS vrs NY METS) ( D DUFFY -L / N SYNDERGAARD -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.29 ....betdsi line
07:05 PM [905] SFO GIANTS -105 ( J SAMARDZIJA -R / F LIRIANO -L )
07:10 PM [914] CLE INDIANS -123 ( C ARCHER -R / T BAUER -R )
07:10 PM [916] DET TIGERS -112 ( H IWAKUMA -R / M FULMER -R )
07:05 PM [925] TOTAL o10-110 (SDG PADRES vrs BAL ORIOLES) ( E JOHNSON -R / U JIMENEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 11.79 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-82, -9.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Danny Duffy is sporting a 0.44 ERA in nine appearances in day games (3 starts) this season. 2015 he had 2.93 ERA day, 4.56 at night (but he did not exhibit this day/night split in his first full season, 2014)
SF is smashing Pitt's pitchers so bad - the best Pirate pitcher last night was Erik Kratz, Pittsburgh's third-string catcher! He was thrown into service in the 9th inning to give the relief corps some relief....Pitt has lost 11 of it's last 14 and Liriano's given up 20 runs in his last 4 starts...
Adam Conley is rather unpredictable, with the occasional start he gets smacked around. But since he's facing one of the worst MLB teams against lefties pitching, I do too expect a good start from him today..John Gant impressed Braves this spring and briefly was considered for the opening-day rotation. His fastball has picked up velocity since middle of last season, and his curveball is much sharper. He's off his 1st MLB win...Under here does look good.
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Adam Conley has been a frustrating player to own this season. On good days, he generates plenty of swings and misses and looks borderline unhittable (he's allowed two or fewer hits in four starts). On bad days, he's erratic and very hittable. This makes him tough to trust. That said, with a matchup against the Braves on tap, the young left-hander is in position to succeed. The Braves, after all, are one of the worst teams in baseball against lefty pitching (60 wRC+) and boast a 23 percent whiff rate.
Jeff Samardzija - Almost led with Shark.. I'm still not convinced Shark is someone you want to be starting against tougher teams. At the same time, he's allowed more than 3 ERs just three times all season, and it's hard for me not to like his sub 2.00 BB/9. I just wish he struck out more batters (5.36 Ks per start) and didn't have an xFIP/SIERA hovering just under 4.00.
I think it's time to have a serious conversation about Trevor Bauer after he went 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 9 Ks against the ChiSox. I've been pretty dang down on the kid all season, but maybe I've been a bit harsh. He's allowed 4 ER just once in his 10 starts, and he's kept his BB/9 under 3.00 in those outings - something I'm shocked to be typing at this very moment. Now, I don't see him anywhere close to the "sea of upside" as I just don't trust he's turned a corner. His FIP/xFIP/SIERA all dislike him (xFIP and SIERA are above 4.00!), he's allowing just 18.7% soft contact, and the Ks are super inconsistent (half of his starts are four Ks or fewer). I'm okay with you chasing him a bit - might as well given the dearth of upside this season and hot damn! He gets the Braves and Rays next - I just don't believe we'll be talking about the teams that "got in on Bauer early".
Cole Hamels - I really want to like Hamels more, but that 4.78 FIP is ridiculous, fuelled by a 86.7% LOB rate and a 3.47 BB/9. I'd be labeling him a TEEs if I didn't know better (he has an elite 52.2% GB rate and holds a near 8.50 K/9, after all). I'd be selling high as that sub 3.00 ERA is not sticking around.
Sabathia takes a 2.20 ERA into Wednesday, the lowest it has been through at least 10 starts in any season for him. Since May 4, he has a 0.82 ERA in his last seven starts and is the first Yankee to allow four earned runs or less in a span of seven outings since Phil Niekro did it in 1984 as a 45-year-old.
Biggest OVER run: Twins (8-1 last nine)
Two of the worst teams in baseball played in one of the most thrilling games of the season on Tuesday as Minnesota outlasted Philadelphia, 14-10. Both teams rallied from deficits as the Twins pulled away to post their fourth straight ?over,? and move to 11-1-1 to the ?over? in the past 13 games at Target Field. Minnesota extended its streak to 20 consecutive games in which its pitching staff has allowed at least four runs, as Kyle Gibson takes the mound tonight looking to improve on an ERA of 6.06 in six starts.
Royals vs. Mets
Play: Mets -177
You better have a lot of confidence in a starting pitcher to lay a price this high especially when the offense hasn't been great. But I have that faith in Noah Syndergaard. He just might be the best right-hander in baseball - at least when he pitches at Citi Field where he has a 1.80 ERA and 64-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
The Mets have never lost in five games when Syndergaard has been home chalk of $1.60 or higher. The Royals don't figure to end that streak averaging 3.1 runs a game on the road and not being able to start DH Kendrys Morales because of playing in a National League park.
Kansas City has the best home record in baseball at 25-8. But the Royals are not the same team on the road going 13-24, including losing 10 of their past 12 away from Kauffman Stadium.
The two major concerns about backing the Mets at this high of a price is New York's offense and bullpen, which went 8 2/3 innings last night. However, Syndergaard is just 23 and pitching on extra rest. He's gone into the seventh inning during 62 percent of his starts this year. Closer Jeurys Familia is the Mets' key reliever - and he's fresh. Familia hadn't pitched since Sunday until throwing 14 pitches on Tuesday night in earning a save.
Lefty Danny Duffy is going for Kansas City. The Mets have a winning record versus southpaws. They scored 11 runs off the Pirates and Jeff Locke the last time they faced a lefty. Duffy has done a credible job since joining Kansas City's starting rotation in the middle of May going 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA. But he's been prone to the long ball and isn't close to Syndergaard's stature.
Kansas City vs. New York
Pick: Kansas City +1.5
The Royals lost by a score of 2-1 in Game 1 of this series at Citi Field, and another pitcher's duel may be in the cards this afternoon.
Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and this looks like a good spot for the southpaw. Duffy (2-1, 3.17 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits over five innings, with all the damage coming by way of the long ball in a home loss to the Tigers his last time out. He's been better on the road than he has been at home, with a 1.37 ERA in 12 appearances. His day/night splits are also encouraging, going 1-0 with 0.44 ERA in nine appearances in day games. [had similar day/night splits last season too, but not the season before that, 2014]
The Mets hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who has been "lights out" all season. The 23 year old flame thrower could be asked to do all the heavy lifting today though, as he's backed by a Mets offense that has scored a total of six runs while losing three of it's last four overall. The Mets rank 29th in the majors batting a woeful .233.
Five of the last 10 meetings between these two teams have been decided by one run.
---------
In Tuesday's editions of the Miami Herald, staff writer Clark Spencer -- through anonymous sources -- reported that the Marlins in 2012 had a choice between three Toronto Blue Jays prospects as part of the massive Jose Reyes trade.
The Marlins could have had Noah "Thor" Syndergaard, who is now the ace of the New York Mets staff with a 7-2 record and a 1.91 ERA; or Aaron Sanchez, who is 7-1 with a 3.35 ERA for Toronto.
Instead, Miami asked for and received Justin Nicolino, who on Sunday was sent down to the minors and is looking more and more like a bust with a 2-4 record and a 5.17 ERA.
Syndergaard, who lights up radar guns at 100 mph and beyond, would have seemed to be the obvious choice. But Nicolino was the lone left-hander of the trio and was seen as very "polished" at the time.
Baseball America had Nicolino ranked as Toronto's fifth-best prospect at the time. Sanchez was ranked sixth, and Syndergaard was seventh.
01:05 PM[918] TOTAL u9-115 (COL ROCKIES vrs NY YANKEES) ( J GRAY -R / C SABATHIA -L )
01:10 PM[920] TOTAL u6.5 -125 (KC ROYALS vrs NY METS) ( D DUFFY -L / N SYNDERGAARD -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.29 ....betdsi line
07:05 PM [905] SFO GIANTS -105 ( J SAMARDZIJA -R / F LIRIANO -L )
07:10 PM [914] CLE INDIANS -123 ( C ARCHER -R / T BAUER -R )
07:10 PM [916] DET TIGERS -112 ( H IWAKUMA -R / M FULMER -R )
07:05 PM [925] TOTAL o10-110 (SDG PADRES vrs BAL ORIOLES) ( E JOHNSON -R / U JIMENEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 11.79 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-82, -9.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Danny Duffy is sporting a 0.44 ERA in nine appearances in day games (3 starts) this season. 2015 he had 2.93 ERA day, 4.56 at night (but he did not exhibit this day/night split in his first full season, 2014)
SF is smashing Pitt's pitchers so bad - the best Pirate pitcher last night was Erik Kratz, Pittsburgh's third-string catcher! He was thrown into service in the 9th inning to give the relief corps some relief....Pitt has lost 11 of it's last 14 and Liriano's given up 20 runs in his last 4 starts...
Adam Conley is rather unpredictable, with the occasional start he gets smacked around. But since he's facing one of the worst MLB teams against lefties pitching, I do too expect a good start from him today..John Gant impressed Braves this spring and briefly was considered for the opening-day rotation. His fastball has picked up velocity since middle of last season, and his curveball is much sharper. He's off his 1st MLB win...Under here does look good.
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Adam Conley has been a frustrating player to own this season. On good days, he generates plenty of swings and misses and looks borderline unhittable (he's allowed two or fewer hits in four starts). On bad days, he's erratic and very hittable. This makes him tough to trust. That said, with a matchup against the Braves on tap, the young left-hander is in position to succeed. The Braves, after all, are one of the worst teams in baseball against lefty pitching (60 wRC+) and boast a 23 percent whiff rate.
Jeff Samardzija - Almost led with Shark.. I'm still not convinced Shark is someone you want to be starting against tougher teams. At the same time, he's allowed more than 3 ERs just three times all season, and it's hard for me not to like his sub 2.00 BB/9. I just wish he struck out more batters (5.36 Ks per start) and didn't have an xFIP/SIERA hovering just under 4.00.
I think it's time to have a serious conversation about Trevor Bauer after he went 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 9 Ks against the ChiSox. I've been pretty dang down on the kid all season, but maybe I've been a bit harsh. He's allowed 4 ER just once in his 10 starts, and he's kept his BB/9 under 3.00 in those outings - something I'm shocked to be typing at this very moment. Now, I don't see him anywhere close to the "sea of upside" as I just don't trust he's turned a corner. His FIP/xFIP/SIERA all dislike him (xFIP and SIERA are above 4.00!), he's allowing just 18.7% soft contact, and the Ks are super inconsistent (half of his starts are four Ks or fewer). I'm okay with you chasing him a bit - might as well given the dearth of upside this season and hot damn! He gets the Braves and Rays next - I just don't believe we'll be talking about the teams that "got in on Bauer early".
Cole Hamels - I really want to like Hamels more, but that 4.78 FIP is ridiculous, fuelled by a 86.7% LOB rate and a 3.47 BB/9. I'd be labeling him a TEEs if I didn't know better (he has an elite 52.2% GB rate and holds a near 8.50 K/9, after all). I'd be selling high as that sub 3.00 ERA is not sticking around.
Sabathia takes a 2.20 ERA into Wednesday, the lowest it has been through at least 10 starts in any season for him. Since May 4, he has a 0.82 ERA in his last seven starts and is the first Yankee to allow four earned runs or less in a span of seven outings since Phil Niekro did it in 1984 as a 45-year-old.
Biggest OVER run: Twins (8-1 last nine)
Two of the worst teams in baseball played in one of the most thrilling games of the season on Tuesday as Minnesota outlasted Philadelphia, 14-10. Both teams rallied from deficits as the Twins pulled away to post their fourth straight ?over,? and move to 11-1-1 to the ?over? in the past 13 games at Target Field. Minnesota extended its streak to 20 consecutive games in which its pitching staff has allowed at least four runs, as Kyle Gibson takes the mound tonight looking to improve on an ERA of 6.06 in six starts.
Royals vs. Mets
Play: Mets -177
You better have a lot of confidence in a starting pitcher to lay a price this high especially when the offense hasn't been great. But I have that faith in Noah Syndergaard. He just might be the best right-hander in baseball - at least when he pitches at Citi Field where he has a 1.80 ERA and 64-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
The Mets have never lost in five games when Syndergaard has been home chalk of $1.60 or higher. The Royals don't figure to end that streak averaging 3.1 runs a game on the road and not being able to start DH Kendrys Morales because of playing in a National League park.
Kansas City has the best home record in baseball at 25-8. But the Royals are not the same team on the road going 13-24, including losing 10 of their past 12 away from Kauffman Stadium.
The two major concerns about backing the Mets at this high of a price is New York's offense and bullpen, which went 8 2/3 innings last night. However, Syndergaard is just 23 and pitching on extra rest. He's gone into the seventh inning during 62 percent of his starts this year. Closer Jeurys Familia is the Mets' key reliever - and he's fresh. Familia hadn't pitched since Sunday until throwing 14 pitches on Tuesday night in earning a save.
Lefty Danny Duffy is going for Kansas City. The Mets have a winning record versus southpaws. They scored 11 runs off the Pirates and Jeff Locke the last time they faced a lefty. Duffy has done a credible job since joining Kansas City's starting rotation in the middle of May going 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA. But he's been prone to the long ball and isn't close to Syndergaard's stature.
Kansas City vs. New York
Pick: Kansas City +1.5
The Royals lost by a score of 2-1 in Game 1 of this series at Citi Field, and another pitcher's duel may be in the cards this afternoon.
Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and this looks like a good spot for the southpaw. Duffy (2-1, 3.17 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits over five innings, with all the damage coming by way of the long ball in a home loss to the Tigers his last time out. He's been better on the road than he has been at home, with a 1.37 ERA in 12 appearances. His day/night splits are also encouraging, going 1-0 with 0.44 ERA in nine appearances in day games. [had similar day/night splits last season too, but not the season before that, 2014]
The Mets hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who has been "lights out" all season. The 23 year old flame thrower could be asked to do all the heavy lifting today though, as he's backed by a Mets offense that has scored a total of six runs while losing three of it's last four overall. The Mets rank 29th in the majors batting a woeful .233.
Five of the last 10 meetings between these two teams have been decided by one run.
---------
In Tuesday's editions of the Miami Herald, staff writer Clark Spencer -- through anonymous sources -- reported that the Marlins in 2012 had a choice between three Toronto Blue Jays prospects as part of the massive Jose Reyes trade.
The Marlins could have had Noah "Thor" Syndergaard, who is now the ace of the New York Mets staff with a 7-2 record and a 1.91 ERA; or Aaron Sanchez, who is 7-1 with a 3.35 ERA for Toronto.
Instead, Miami asked for and received Justin Nicolino, who on Sunday was sent down to the minors and is looking more and more like a bust with a 2-4 record and a 5.17 ERA.
Syndergaard, who lights up radar guns at 100 mph and beyond, would have seemed to be the obvious choice. But Nicolino was the lone left-hander of the trio and was seen as very "polished" at the time.
Baseball America had Nicolino ranked as Toronto's fifth-best prospect at the time. Sanchez was ranked sixth, and Syndergaard was seventh.
