week 1 plays

[Scrapman]

ok i use simple math points scored vs points allowed

jets +6.5 vs Ravens jets are -11.4 ppg ravens are only -0.29 subtract and jets are still -11.11 ppg

put spread in jets are now - 5 pts ravens -6.79 even tho it makes ravens -1.79 the jets allow 29.6 ppg rvens only allowed 23 thats were they came up with -6.5

total i got adding up all 4 total scores divide by 2 teams i got total of 93.5 div by 2 = 46.75 round up to 47 and it; overs 44.5

next game is Falcons +5.5 vs saints 42.5

yeah ok Falcons if you look they very strong in home openers saints without Sean Peyton are not going to be that good this year as far as pts scored and allowed saints scored 21.4 ppg allowed 19.7 so they are only +1.7 ppg

falcons are -8.6 add spread in falcons are -3.1 saints go - 3.4 errrr umm lean on Falcons to cover o/u listed 42.5 i get 43.25 exactly the point spread diff falcons n overs lean

wait a min hold up Dolphins with that butt fawwkk QB are favored - 3.5 vs patriots

PATRIOTS ML baby mimai was - 2 ppg pats was +9.3 ppg so add spred in mia is now -5.5 ppg pats +13

do not go by last year with mac jones as a rookie qb normally it's patriots fail at miami in second game later in season ok o/u now ummmm way off listed 46.5 i get 43 Patriots and unders lock it up

nahhhhhhhhhhhhh Browns fav -1.5 @ Panthers 41.5 but other books have panthers pk and -0.5 thats the FD line i use because thats who runs my local book and i think other across street and rivers casino also


only like Panthers because of browns horrible 1st game of year record Browns lost by -2 ppg on average but that was with Baker at QB Panthers well they fell apart when Cam came back and lost by -5.8 ppg

Panthers opened as -1.5 fav so like ummmmm Browns havbe steelers coming up in 2 weeks next game is home vs jets Panthers @ giants then Saints at home ok im forcing a play here o/u they got dead on 41.5 i got 41.9



coin flip leave it alone

matt ruhle vs Kevin stefanski


Bengals - 6.5 vs steelers like almost no brainer with injuries on cincy and whole offensive new rookies and the record of SB losers

here we go

Bengals won by 5 ppg steelers lost by 3 put spread in Bengals - 1.5 Steel +3.5 O/U IS 44.5 I GET 46.25 STEELERS AND OVERS that rookie O line gets buried by steelers D and the key starters of bengals on i r​

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[Scrapman]

CONTINUED here
Bears home +6.5 vs 49ers with rookie qb yeah he is a rookie only played one game with 49ers

and every rookie QB in his 1st start went kablewie

ok bears were - 5.6 ppg 49ers +3.6 add spread in uhhhhoo 49ers -2 bears are+1 o/u i get 44.5 listed is 40.5

sorry sf this is not garrappolo your gonna find out fast how bad trey lance is

I say Bears ML and overs

Lions + 4.5 vs Eagles ok not for nothing we know lions are horrible team hc on down to cooridinators ats every year past 16 i have losers

Eagles home game is vs Vikes lions stink period i fade them most every week

lets see how this works out

er ummm Lions lost by -8.5 ppg eagles won by +3.5 ppg put spread in lions -3.8 Eagles are -1 still covers by 2.8 points

total is set 48.5 i get 47.6 and thats almost dead on

EAGLES -4.5 tease em to +1.5 or lower spread to - 2.5 lions D = eagles O really they allowed 27.5 ppg eagles scored 26.2

ok yeah right Texans + 7.5 vs Colts o/u 45.5 the colts have lost 8 str8 season openers they didnt play full in preseson

6th new starting QB matt ryan but the texans we know stink along with jaguars wow texans were -10 PPG Colts +5 so the actual diif between 2 when you have negative vs pos numbers is 15 points as all others i forgot to point out

Texans scored 16.5 ppg but omg allowed 26.5 Colts are on other end of spectrum scored 26.5 allowed 21.5

add spread in Texans are - 2.5 Colts are -2.5 texans played like gods all preseason s/u and ats even blanked the 49ers 17-0

but no matter what teams do or do not do in preseason dosent matter

slight lean on colts prefer only laying the -1.5 use 6 point teaser texans going with sam qb they had last year oooo fawk Davis mills


o/u listed is 45.5 n i get 45.45 lol

i'll say overs beacuse of texans no defense

WASH. VS JAGS 44 O/U WASH OPEN -4 NOW - 2.5 HMMMMM

ERR UMMMMM JAGS I KNOW SUCK PLAYING WEST BUT IN EAST THEY SEEM TO COVER BOTH TEAMS ARE NEATIVE PPG JAGS -11.6 WASH -5.8 ADD SPREAD IN WASH IS -8.3 JAGS -9.1 WASH NEXT GAME @ DET THEN DIV GAMES EAGLES BOYS JAGS UMMMMM THEY DONT LOOK AHEAD OYES WAIT A MIN THEY GET RIVAL COLTS AT HOME WHOM THEY OWN

ERRR UMMMM SCREW IT COIN FLIP

CARDS +5.5 VS CHIEFS SPREAD UP 2 POINTS FROM OPENER BECAUSE OF CARDS MASSIVE IR'S AND THEY SUCK AT HOME OPENERS ESPECAILLY VS ANY AFC TEAM YUP CARDS ARE 6 AND 10 ATS AT HOME BUT WORSE VS AFC TEAMS

EH TOUGH ONE CARDS WERE + 4.8 PPG CHIEFS +6.8 PPG URGHHHHHHHHHHH CANT DO THIS CANT TRUST CHIEFS TO LAY IT ALL OUT

YUP KC looking ahead to Chargers no play for me defense = both allowed only 366 n chiefs 364

VIKES +1.5 open +2.5 vs packers i aready know this one is ML vikes but let me make sure
vikes cored and allowede 25 ppg packers scored 26.4 allowed 22
listed total is 47.5 i get 49.1 so VIKINGS and overs hey comon spread move in favor of packers no sorry

VIKINGS ML and overs VIKINGS 5 units

Titans - 5.5 vs giants sorry but not touching pathetic giants yup titans were +3.8 ppg giants a whopping -9.3 diff between 2 teams is 13.1 points total set 43.5 i get 42.3 mmmmm too close lay it baby Giants are still rebulding Titans still ok

TITANS 5 units if your unit is $100 then bet for $500

COWBOYS late sun +2.5 vs bucs COWBYS ML teams are almost = C boys way stronger off 530 vs bucs 511 and defnse = bucs 353 c boys 358 o/u 50.5 i get 51.53 overs dont forget brady has issues with wife


mnf SEATTLE +6.5 vs Broncos o/u 44.5 lol both teams went 7-10 s/u n seat points for 395 points aginst 366 denv. 335--322

ok after adding spread in seattle goes to +8.2 pts denv drop to -4.6 o/u i get 41.65 total is set 44.5 hmmmm

SEAHAWKS +6.5 ​

:00hour

 

[eeeerock]

I feel like maybe 1 out of 20 that read this will be able to figure out your plays, however GL on the year

 

[53defense]

Killin me smalls…

 

[53defense]

Feel like the old guy in Moonstruck…
while crying at the kitchen table he says, “ I’m confused “

 

[cruisin]

Any chance you can just list your plays in a row?

49ers
Jets
KC
LIKE THIS? Sure would make life easier................

Thanks, Scrap, BOL.

 

[Cricket]

Simple math???:00x32