Week 10 Plays

capping-guru

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YTD 107-82-1 +70.05 Units

Purdue +23 for 5 Units
Off their bye week, this Purdue team has played so much better since they changed QB's! I love what HC Darrell Hazell is doing. He finally has his team buying into his system and the players truly seem to want to through a wall for this guy. Watching their emotion from snap to snap......its says alot for me. They are 3-0 ATS with their new QB Appleby and have covered 5 of their last 6. Far too many points here......
 

capping-guru

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Auburn +3 for 3 Units
I really think Ole Miss has a bit of a drop off after their emotional loss to LSU. Teams that lose their first game of the season this deep into the schedule, generally have a hard time recovering the next week out. Alot of the time losing a second in a row. I think Auburn is the more complete team. Ole Miss is insanely banged up on the OL, it showed in the 4th quarter. Plus the Rebels DL got worn down big time too. Give me the fresher team and more balanced team in the Tigers.
 

capping-guru

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Louisville +7 for 4 Units
This will be a huge road test for FSU. Seriously thought this number would be higher as you know the public will be over FSU as just a TD road fav. Primetime game on ESPN and the line is only 7, it truly smells! UL is a different team at home, as FSU is on the road. The biggest issue I have with FSU is their D, its nowhere close to the level of last years team. UL is very balanced on offense and this will cause the Seminoles D trouble just like ND did to that average D. UL D is extremely underrated too! They are allowing 14pts. a game, good for 4th in the Nation! This UL team lost by 2pts. at UVA and by 6 pts. at Clemson. The Cardinals are very good, they could easily be 8-0! One of the Seminoles strengths last year was their rushing on offense, this year they are 104th. I will be taking UL on the ML too. I think FSU loses their first game of the year.
 

capping-guru

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Wisconsin -8 for 4 Units
Rutgers took a beating on the road the last few weeks at Nebraska and Ohio St. They are thin at RB and their QB situation is dire, playing injured guys hoping to get through a game. I am telling you, the Badgers are going to absolutely destroy Rutgers in the trenches and dominate at the line of scrimmage. Badgers pull away in the 2nd half and win big!
 

capping-guru

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Utah St. -2 for 3 Units
Second week in a row Hawaii is a dog at home and for good reason. Their entire offense goes through their RB Losefa who is still out. They cant do a damn thing offensively and Nevada wore them down pulling away in the 2nd half. I see much of the same scenario this week. Aggies have got it down at QB even down to their third QB. Very solid play and extremely balanced not to mention very discplined while being solid in the special teams phase of the game.
 

capping-guru

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Strongly leaning to IU +7.5 Michigan has no business being favored by a TD over any Big Ten team. Their damn offense cant do a thing and their D gets left on the field for large amounts of time. IU off their bye and freshman QB Diamont will benefit greatly from the bye getting all of those reps.
 

capping-guru

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Louisville +7 for 4 Units
This will be a huge road test for FSU. Seriously thought this number would be higher as you know the public will be over FSU as just a TD road fav. Primetime game on ESPN and the line is only 7, it truly smells! UL is a different team at home, as FSU is on the road. The biggest issue I have with FSU is their D, its nowhere close to the level of last years team. UL is very balanced on offense and this will cause the Seminoles D trouble just like ND did to that average D. UL D is extremely underrated too! They are allowing 14pts. a game, good for 4th in the Nation! This UL team lost by 2pts. at UVA and by 6 pts. at Clemson. The Cardinals are very good, they could easily be 8-0! One of the Seminoles strengths last year was their rushing on offense, this year they are 104th. I will be taking UL on the ML too. I think FSU loses their first game of the year.

FSU -4.5 now!:scared
 

capping-guru

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ND -14 for 3 Units
Opened -16.5 and now down to -14, I had to jump on it. Irish off their bye week and they have ASU on deck, but this ND team is built to defend the run and their offense should absolutely dominate the line scrimmage, getting a huge PUSH and pounding the ball. Match up problems at the CB position with the speed and size of the ND WR. Who will cover Irish WR Corey Robinson? Blowout city!
 

capping-guru

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I really like AF -3.5 this week, will post amount of wager later in the week, hoping for -3.

KSU is another game I will most likely be on. But if it creeps too high I might lay off with KSU having TCU on deck.
 

sds222

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You did great to get Louie +7 it looks like. I'm going to wait and see what happens come Thurs now that it's down to 4.5, cards should be tough at home.
 

capping-guru

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You did great to get Louie +7 it looks like. I'm going to wait and see what happens come Thurs now that it's down to 4.5, cards should be tough at home.

Thanks man. Sometimes when you jump on lines early it can go against you, this one worked out. I have had it go against me too this year. It is soooo hard to win on the road this late in year especially in primetime. Looking at the UL D, their 3rd down D is phenomenal!
 

ROBB MACK

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Guru, thoughts on UNC and the Canes? I love the "U" here but now it's minus 16.5 up from 10.5! UNC always punks me and they do have a potent offense. Thanks buddy!
 

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Louisville +7 for 4 Units
This will be a huge road test for FSU. Seriously thought this number would be higher as you know the public will be over FSU as just a TD road fav. Primetime game on ESPN and the line is only 7, it truly smells! UL is a different team at home, as FSU is on the road. The biggest issue I have with FSU is their D, its nowhere close to the level of last years team. UL is very balanced on offense and this will cause the Seminoles D trouble just like ND did to that average D. UL D is extremely underrated too! They are allowing 14pts. a game, good for 4th in the Nation! This UL team lost by 2pts. at UVA and by 6 pts. at Clemson. The Cardinals are very good, they could easily be 8-0! One of the Seminoles strengths last year was their rushing on offense, this year they are 104th. I will be taking UL on the ML too. I think FSU loses their first game of the year.

Capping guru, if ur thinking about playing louisville ml, then why isnt it a 5 unit play or bigger? Just curious. Thanks
 

capping-guru

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Guru, thoughts on UNC and the Canes? I love the "U" here but now it's minus 16.5 up from 10.5! UNC always punks me and they do have a potent offense. Thanks buddy!

Strong lean to UNC. Since they stopped rotating QB's at ND, UNC has been very good!! Far too many points in my eyes, plus Miami has a bad habit of giving teams that potential back door cover, they let up. UNC buddy. GL
 

capping-guru

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Capping guru, if ur thinking about playing louisville ml, then why isnt it a 5 unit play or bigger? Just curious. Thanks

I never post ML plays, sorry. I posted one very small at the beginning of the season, just as I never post parlays......sorry just never have posted ML plays, so even though I played UL small on the ML, I didnt post it. $400 on the game is enough for me with some very nice games on the board. Hope that helps. GL
 

capping-guru

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ISU +16.5 for 3 Units
This is the cyclones bowl game and they always give the Sooners a tough go at home. OU has BU on deck too......line hasnt moved at all with a little more action still on OU. Far too many points here.
 

capping-guru

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Louisville +7 for 4 Units
This will be a huge road test for FSU. Seriously thought this number would be higher as you know the public will be over FSU as just a TD road fav. Primetime game on ESPN and the line is only 7, it truly smells! UL is a different team at home, as FSU is on the road. The biggest issue I have with FSU is their D, its nowhere close to the level of last years team. UL is very balanced on offense and this will cause the Seminoles D trouble just like ND did to that average D. UL D is extremely underrated too! They are allowing 14pts. a game, good for 4th in the Nation! This UL team lost by 2pts. at UVA and by 6 pts. at Clemson. The Cardinals are very good, they could easily be 8-0! One of the Seminoles strengths last year was their rushing on offense, this year they are 104th. I will be taking UL on the ML too. I think FSU loses their first game of the year.

Sorry folks. But I will say this........no way in hell this FSU team wins on a neutral field against any of the Top 4 teams.....no way. There are a few more teams far more complete than FSU.

Back at it on Saturday. Going to enjoy tmrw with the family, love Halloween!
 

capping-guru

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Pitt -3.5 for 3 Units
BC +3 for 3 Units
Maryland +4 for 2 Units and 1st half +2 for 2 Units

In a rush, no time for write ups

Afternote - Missed posting far too many early plays, sorry folks, then shit the bed the rest of the way ughhhh
 
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