In Week 9 these systems went 11-5-1. Not bad at all.
I'm a little less-enthused about the older systems (Systems 1 thru 15, excluding #8). These are for the most part the oldest systems in my database. As I've often said, systems often stop working over time, and I can't vouch for the reliability of any system that doesn't say **updated** after it's record. This past week Systems 1-15 went 1-3. Systems 16+ went 10-2-1. It's been a fairly frequent occurence this year that the higher numbered ones have fared better than the <16's.
This week's big pick: Oakland! Oh ya, you gotta love betting your hard-earned $$ on a team that hasn't covered a game yet this year. Halloween comes late this year; this is pretty scary.
Carolina comes up more than once. Tennessee and Miami come up in opposing systems, with Miami coming up twice.
Ok, here's what the systems turn up for the coming week....
System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89).
Play on: NY Giants, Tennessee
(Note: Tenn had a bye last week, but the system asks for "last two games", so as I interpret it they should be included as a play on this system)
System #8 - Play against a home favorite coming off their bye week (41-23-1, 64.1% since '98). **updated**
Play on: Miami, Cleveland
System #14 - Play on any home dog of 3 pts if the total is 37 or less (31-19, 62% since 1983).
Play on: Carolina, Oakland (in both cases only if line is +3 and total is = or < 37)
System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 54-87-5, 61.7% Unders --- O/U 28-47-3, 62.7% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game). **updated**
Play the Under on: Indy/Jax, Philly/GB
System #19a **PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW** - Play the Under when the home team is favored, coming off their bye week (38-24-1, 61.3% since '98). **updated**
Play the Under on: Mia/Tenn, Clev/KC
(Important note: System #19 states: "Play the Under when the home team is favored by 3 or less, and had a bye last week (15-1, 93.8% Unders since '98). **updated** " . The only difference between System 19 and System 19a is the "3 or less" requirement. But note that ALL plays from System 19 would also be included in 19a, and when you subtract the 15-1 record the "3 or less's" contributed you're left with a 50% system. This really shouldn't be a system at all without that "3 or less" requirement).
System #20 - Play on a home underdog after 4+ consecutive losses (74-45 ATS, 62.2% since '92). **updated**
Play on: Washington, Oakland
System #24 - Play on the home underdog when both teams have winning records, or both teams have losing records (~70% since ???)
Play on: Oakland
System #34 - Play on a home dog, if they lost SU as a road favorite last week (14-4-1, 77.8% since '98). **updated**
Play on: Carolina, Oakland
System #36 - Play against any team that has scored more than 90 pts in it's past three games.
Play on: Miami
========================================
And one that doesn't quite qualify as a play, but it's really close....
System #35 - Play on any team that has scored fewer than 30 pts in it's past three games.
(Oakland has scored exactly 30 pts in their past 3 games)
I'm a little less-enthused about the older systems (Systems 1 thru 15, excluding #8). These are for the most part the oldest systems in my database. As I've often said, systems often stop working over time, and I can't vouch for the reliability of any system that doesn't say **updated** after it's record. This past week Systems 1-15 went 1-3. Systems 16+ went 10-2-1. It's been a fairly frequent occurence this year that the higher numbered ones have fared better than the <16's.
This week's big pick: Oakland! Oh ya, you gotta love betting your hard-earned $$ on a team that hasn't covered a game yet this year. Halloween comes late this year; this is pretty scary.
Carolina comes up more than once. Tennessee and Miami come up in opposing systems, with Miami coming up twice.
Ok, here's what the systems turn up for the coming week....
System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89).
Play on: NY Giants, Tennessee
(Note: Tenn had a bye last week, but the system asks for "last two games", so as I interpret it they should be included as a play on this system)
System #8 - Play against a home favorite coming off their bye week (41-23-1, 64.1% since '98). **updated**
Play on: Miami, Cleveland
System #14 - Play on any home dog of 3 pts if the total is 37 or less (31-19, 62% since 1983).
Play on: Carolina, Oakland (in both cases only if line is +3 and total is = or < 37)
System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 54-87-5, 61.7% Unders --- O/U 28-47-3, 62.7% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game). **updated**
Play the Under on: Indy/Jax, Philly/GB
System #19a **PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW** - Play the Under when the home team is favored, coming off their bye week (38-24-1, 61.3% since '98). **updated**
Play the Under on: Mia/Tenn, Clev/KC
(Important note: System #19 states: "Play the Under when the home team is favored by 3 or less, and had a bye last week (15-1, 93.8% Unders since '98). **updated** " . The only difference between System 19 and System 19a is the "3 or less" requirement. But note that ALL plays from System 19 would also be included in 19a, and when you subtract the 15-1 record the "3 or less's" contributed you're left with a 50% system. This really shouldn't be a system at all without that "3 or less" requirement).
System #20 - Play on a home underdog after 4+ consecutive losses (74-45 ATS, 62.2% since '92). **updated**
Play on: Washington, Oakland
System #24 - Play on the home underdog when both teams have winning records, or both teams have losing records (~70% since ???)
Play on: Oakland
System #34 - Play on a home dog, if they lost SU as a road favorite last week (14-4-1, 77.8% since '98). **updated**
Play on: Carolina, Oakland
System #36 - Play against any team that has scored more than 90 pts in it's past three games.
Play on: Miami
========================================
And one that doesn't quite qualify as a play, but it's really close....
System #35 - Play on any team that has scored fewer than 30 pts in it's past three games.
(Oakland has scored exactly 30 pts in their past 3 games)
Good luck.
