Week#10

[Old School]

YTD
11-8 {+2.40 units}

TEASER
13'
3 UNITS


EARLY GAMES LET IT FLY NOBOBY LIKE DEFENSES ANYWAY


SEATTLE/ATL
OVER 33'

17 EACH..WORKS FOR


STL/INDY
OVER 29'

15 EACH..WORK FOR ME


BUFF/PITT
OVER 30

15 EACH WORKS FOR ME.

MAN O MAN DOES PITT. REALLY SUCK NOW OR WHAT.



JAXX/TENN
OVER 28'

17-13 CASHES


"Keep Smiling"

cuzzz if ya was in jail right now life would suck big time..

 

[william13]

good luck today ....... $$

 

[Old School]

YEA...:0074win

YTD
12-8 {+4.50 units}

nice Defense Ravens..:facepalm:

 

[Four Corners]

Nice Old School!! Got a 13 PT pending with Den over 44....need some more action there...0vers are nice arent they!! With the new rules the NFL is at a record setting scoring clip thus far.

 

[Old School]

Nice Old School!! Got a 13 PT pending with Den over 44....need some more action there...0vers are nice arent they!! With the new rules the NFL is at a record setting scoring clip thus far.

and if you are disciplined and crunch the numbers there is big money to be made..

I don't have the stones or the nerves for the thousand and teaser action..

but the % of over produced in the 13' teasers is unbelievable.

12 games completed in week #10

11 of those games exceeded the total of a 13' teased posted number.

7 of the closing totals were 44 or less today..

the teased number becomes 30'

a 17-14 score in todays NFL is a yawner

7 natural unders today and the teased totals over are still money..

is there a stinker every week..sure there is..

Car/SF today..but ya gotta like 11 of 12 choices covering a leg in a 4 team teaser.

 

[Four Corners]

and if you are disciplined and crunch the numbers there is big money to be made..

I don't have the stones or the nerves for the thousand and teaser action..

but the % of over produced in the 13' teasers is unbelievable.

12 games completed in week #10

11 of those games exceeded the total of a 13' teased posted number.

7 of the closing totals were 44 or less today..

the teased number becomes 30'

a 17-14 score in todays NFL is a yawner

7 natural unders today and the teased totals over are still money..

is there a stinker every week..sure there is..

Car/SF today..but ya gotta like 11 of 12 choices covering a leg in a 4 team teaser.

Right on...I am on a little roll so may post next week in my own thread. Here is what I had today. Hope Dallas can stop the bleeding:

Pending 3 Team Teaser (ties lose) Teaser tl 10?fb & 7?bk
Win 11/10/13 4:05pm NFL Football 219 Carolina Panthers +17? * vs San Francisco 49ers
Win 11/10/13 4:25pm NFL Football 223 Denver Broncos/San Diego Chargers Over 46 *
Pending 11/10/13 8:30pm NFL Football 225 Dallas Cowboys +17? * vs New Orleans Saints

Pending 4 Team Teaser (ties lose) Teaser tl 13fb & 10bk
Win 11/10/13 1:00pm NFL Football 211 St. Louis Rams +22 * vs Indianapolis Colts
Win 11/10/13 1:00pm NFL Football 217 Detroit Lions +13 * vs Chicago Bears
Win 11/10/13 4:25pm NFL Football 223 Denver Broncos/San Diego Chargers Over 44 *
Pending 11/10/13 8:30pm NFL Football 225 Dallas Cowboys/New Orleans Saints Over 40?


1U on first and 2U on 2nd...thanks for your insights on teasers and sorry for poaching the thread!!

 

[Old School]

thurs-sun.

13 games
26 teaser opportunities using sweetheart 13' move of total

2 losers out of 26 going into tonite

jaxx29/27tenn. under 55' loser
carol10/9sf over 30 loser



"Keep Smiling"

:0003

 

[Old School]

13 games

26 sides to tease 13'

5 losers thru sun.

Tenn +1 vs Jaxx

GB +13' vs Philly [my house closing line[pk]..some got GB +1 and a W with the 14'[27-13]

Indy+4 vs StL [this is the dumb stuff that ruins a super day]38-8

Atl+18..crushed by Seattle 33-10

Cowboys +20 slammed by NO 47-17..

sides and totals
52 chances
7 losers

 

[Old School]

week #9

produced 52 total chances..

5 teased sides were losers
2 teased totals were losers.

week9 and 10
104 opportunities
14 losers combined

 

[dunclock]

curiosity question bud ... what is the juice on 4 gamer ... -130-150?

both of my books only offer up to 3 gamers and one is -120 and other -130 on 3 games

 

[Old School]

dunclock..

example [-1.43]..100.00 pays 70.00


I could be out of my mind thinking the rule changes have had such a severe effect on the totals and the % of teased winners..

but it sure has looked and math'd out to some very tempting %'s for a bigger investment than rec. wagering.

If nothing else it's great numbers crunching I do every week for the NFL..



4


















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SelectionPriceClear All

• Miami at Tampa Bay (Over/Under)Over +27.0
  Teaser
• Indianapolis at Tennessee (Over/Under)Over +29.0
  Teaser
• Arizona at Jacksonville (Over/Under)Over +27.5
  Teaser
• NY Jets at Buffalo (Over/Under)Over +28.0
  Teaser

Combination

Teaser

Round Robin

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Teaser Type:<label><input name="teaserRadio" class="teaserRadio" type="radio">6 point</label><label><input name="teaserRadio" class="teaserRadio" type="radio">6.5 point</label><label><input name="teaserRadio" class="teaserRadio" type="radio">7 point</label><label><input name="teaserRadio" class="teaserRadio" type="radio">13.5 point Super Teaser</label>

Price:-143
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Bet Payout:$ 170.00


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[Old School]

all the numbers are based on 13' sweetheart teaser where ties do lose

the other key point is that a fair house lets you use both sides and totals as any leg in any 4 teamer..

absolutely no restrictions [[such as only 1 total in any 4 teamer..

also the ability to team the side and total in the same game in the same teaser.

 

[dunclock]

so if you wager $100 you are giving -$143?

I have always liked teasers in the NFL but NOT in college ... way too much variance in college vs pro

 

[Old School]

143.00 pays 100.00

:0008

 

[dunclock]

:0008

 

[Four Corners]

Good stuff OS and thanks for pulling up...Looks like totals are the way based off your sample. Happy Hippo is the "queen" of stats and may offer something. I like good offenses at home with the over. Ex: NO much better at home vs the road. Let's figure this shit out and hammer the man. I have a daughter I need to put thru college in two years:mj07:

 

[Four Corners]

curiosity question bud ... what is the juice on 4 gamer ... -130-150?

both of my books only offer up to 3 gamers and one is -120 and other -130 on 3 games

The 4 team/13 pt (ties lose) I played above was -120.

 

[Four Corners]

so if you wager $100 you are giving -$143?

I have always liked teasers in the NFL but NOT in college ... way too much variance in college vs pro

totally agree

 

[Old School]

The 4 team/13 pt (ties lose) I played above was -120.

that's a great price for the 13

just continue to observe where the teased total falls into those more likely #'s of game final scores..

ie..that 27'

the 30'...where that simple 17-14 brings home the leg of the teaser..

on the tighter lower numbers try not to throw away the 2 points difference..

ie... that teased total like 32'..and you end up needing that 20-14 game to bring it home.

with teams like philly det. and chic you can use the 17-17 theory..

these teams will score but they will not shut anybody down..

when a game they are in falls like OVER 34-36 in the teased total ya can play with confidence

somebody is breaking those ties and the new rules nearly eliminate tie games ..

there is a pass interference call coming from somewhere in OT to all but eliminate 15min.'s of no score..

check out Jaxx and TB now..little bit of confidence on these teams now but totals should be just a tad slow to react..

ya can add Hou to that mix with the young buck who is sending Shaub to the golf course forever