Week 11 NFL plays

BigGaycapper

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May 19, 2008
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somewhere over the rainbow
Seahawks -2.5 -110 $220/$200
Already liked the Seahawks to win outright as dog, now with the news of Murray and Hopkins probably not playing I like them even more as a fav. Wilson was rusty last week but will rebound big here today. He has never lost 3 starts in a row in his career. McCoy probably starts for Zona but is not 100%, after him Cards would be forced to use 3rd string qb Streveler who has very little NFL experience. Seahawks pass defense has been top notch last 5 weeks allowing an average of just 1 pass td per game. Seattle is a tough place to play so I'll back the Hawks to rebound and get back to there winning ways today.

Colts +7 -105 $105/$100
Should be a great game. Playoff rematch from a year ago where Bills failed to cover. One thing I don't like about the game is indoor team traveling to cold weather in late November but Wentz played in Philly and Taylor is the top RB in the league so they should be able to control some clock by running the ball. All 6 Buffalo wins are by 15+ pts this year so hopefully this is an outright Colts win or we buck that Bills trend today.

Jets +3.5 -110 $110/$100
Extra rest for Miami off an upset win last Thursday. Might be a let down spot. Jets starting Flacco at Qb so expect a conservative apporoach. Divisional matchup with warm weather going to cold weather. Jets 2 wins this year both home vs Titans (with Henry) and vs Bengals so why not win number 3 here today? Take the points but maybe an outright win.

Saints +3 -120 $120/$100
Big coaching mismatch here. Kamara out again but Ingram great veteran back up. Eagles are 0-4 at home this year. Saints have historically been a great dog to back (14-3-1 ATS last 18 as 3 or less pt dog) and especially when coming off a loss (8-1-1 ATS). Saints have the best rush defense which should negate the Eagles strength and force Hurts to beat them with is arm. Think the Saints win this outright but will take the fg.

Texans +10 -110 $110/$100
Titans haven't lost since week 3 @ Jets. As bad as Houston is this is a good spot to take a double digit dog in a divisional game coming off a bye vs a team on a 6 game win streak with a big game vs New England next week. I think Tyrod can keep this close.

Couple totals I like and may end up playing:
Steelers/Chargers under 47.5
Bengals/Raiders over 50.5

Enjoy the games
 

Scrapman

Rollingdembones
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Jan 6, 2013
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south east PA
Jets +3.5 -110 $110/$100
Extra rest for Miami off an upset win last Thursday.

it's not extra rest it's negative 2 games in 10 days and traveling thousands of miles

btw cards are 5-0 away hoping that qb is figured out

Seattle seson is over any team that got shut out in season never got to play in SB

except Patriots but is was they on short notice team capt defnse traded away still they blew cover -7.5 vs CAR
 
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