Week 13 Plays

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YTD 136-101-2 +92.30 Units

WV -1.5 for 3 Units - Thursday night play
KSU will struggle on the road in primetime.......cold game weather where the Mountaineers have the balance on offense that allows teams to succeed. Wildcats corners struggle against speedy WR's and WV has 2 in White and Alford. Plus throw in 2 RB's with over 500 yards apiece!
 
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UVA +5.5 for 3 Units
Cavs off their bye and it couldnt have come a better time, losers of 4 in a row. They were in 3 of those games, but now they need to win their last 2 become bowl eligible which is possible as Miami is going to be in major letdown mode, going on the road to boot. Cavs have inconsistent VT group on deck. Miami 1-3 on the road, I will gladly take the points!
 
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Purdue +3 for 3 Units
NW off a huge emotional and physical game against ND. Purdue off their bye while playing some of their best football of the year. Their record might not show it at 3-7 but this team is close to competing at a higher level. Give HC Hazell another 2 years and Purdue will be making noise in the Big Ten. NW has shown me nothing all year......inconsistent as hell and the fact that ND gave away that game on Saturday.....doesnt make me think any different of an underachieving NW team. Give me the home squad, who is fresher and is playing better ball!
 
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UL +5 for 4 Units
Cards off their bye and their D has been outstanding. They controlled BC QB last game out, who is mobile and I look for the Cards D to continue to give QB Golson fits in the same fashion. Notre Dame reminds me alot of NW last year after they started out 4-0 and lost to OSU, they went on to lose 7 in a row. That game just demoralized them. Brian Kelly said it took his team 3-4 days to get that FSU loss out of their system, but personally they looked flat against Navy, inconsistent as hell against ASU, then came a ridiculous game with NW. Their is zero senior leadership and that defense is depleted. They lost Joe Schmidt a few weeks ago, their D signal caller, they were already without Williams and Moore due to academic suspensions and now LB Grace is out, plus Sheldon Day is very questionable.......which means a very young front 7. It wouldnt surprise me the least if ND lost to UL and then to USC. Two teams going in different directions.
 
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BU -26 for 4 Units
Okie St. is a mess. Their D actually has played well but they cant get off the field due to their enept offense......so the Cowboys D is on the field 2/3 of the game. Bears off a bye too.....ouch, double whammy.....they will steamroll a very young Okie St. team. I would have played this at -32......BU covers the number by halftime!
 
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Vols -3 for 3 Units
Mizzou getting it done running the ball and playing great D. They need to win out though otherwise UGA wins the SEC East. Tigers finish at home with Arky, but it wont matter as they will lose in Knoxville. Tigers struggle against pass happy teams, plus huge match up problems for Tigers D as Vols TE's will tear up the middle of the field.
 
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Cage and Day awaiting MRIs on ND defence, they are already super thin but this would deplete them! Just read it on espn, plus Golson has a sprained shoulder joint in his throwing arm!
 
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Ohio +3 for 2 Units - Tuesday night play
Tons of money on NIU.......on the road and line at a curious number. Dog is the play here for me.
 
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pd1

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capping-guru said:
Vols -3 for 3 Units
Mizzou getting it done running the ball and playing great D. They need to win out though otherwise UGA wins the SEC East. Tigers finish at home with Arky, but it wont matter as they will lose in Knoxville. Tigers struggle against pass happy teams, plus huge match up problems for Tigers D as Vols TE's will tear up the middle of the field.
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They quite possibly might, but Mizzou has three first round draft picks on the defensive line with Ray, Golden, and Brantley, and they love to sack the quarterback and disrupt the backfield. Should be a good game. Mizzou is a much better team now than they were five weeks ago. Qb Maty Mach is getting his swagger back.
 
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pd1 said:
They quite possibly might, but Mizzou has three first round draft picks on the defensive line with Ray, Golden, and Brantley, and they love to sack the quarterback and disrupt the backfield. Should be a good game. Mizzou is a much better team now than they were five weeks ago. Qb Maty Mach is getting his swagger back.
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Absolutely......Mizzou has been super this year, going 8-2.....still cant believe they lost to IU but when I look at this game Vols are the team ready to breakout in my eyes plus homefield too boot. Throw in the fact that HC Jones needs a nice signature win this season......and it aligns nicely. GL
 
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Kramer

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CG, just can't get a warm and fuzzy feel for this weekend yet, maybe by Sat. I do agree with TENN ML
and Baylor -26. Will have a STRONG BET/BETS on HOGS SIDE/ TOTAL. Looks like 80 to 100% chance of rain in Fayetteville Sat. but who knows. Also looking at a couple others. Your opinion on Hawaii -10?
 
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Kramer said:
CG, just can't get a warm and fuzzy feel for this weekend yet, maybe by Sat. I do agree with TENN ML
and Baylor -26. Will have a STRONG BET/BETS on HOGS SIDE/ TOTAL. Looks like 80 to 100% chance of rain in Fayetteville Sat. but who knows. Also looking at a couple others. Your opinion on Hawaii -10?
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As the season winds down, it does get tougher at times to find games you like, no doubt....I hear ya.

With regards to Hawaii, they aren the same juggernaut on the island anymore. They struggle to score and in their 3 wins, they won by 3, 10 and 13. Common games at SDSU and SJSU. I have bet against Hawaii a few times this year and won nicely.......this game is tough to figure.....UNLV is 0-6 on the road......maybe Hawaii comes to play and get their first lopsided win of the year, just not sure. Sorry, nothing else to say on the game.
 
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