Week 13 Thurs-Mon

Mr Rattler

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Thursday

You might be having turkey, but I'm having dog.


Bears +7 L

I expect a close game today.
-Lions 4-9 ATS as a fav over 3
-Lions 3-8 ATS when playing team with losing record.
-Lion offense struggling. Haven't gone over 24 since week 1
-Bears can score. if they win the turnover battle, they could win





 
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Mr Rattler

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Philly +3 WIN

Looks to me that the Dallas defense that we all expected at the beginning of the year is starting to rear it's ugly head. Cowboys only 8-14 ATS last 22 home games (2-4 ATS this year). As long as Philly doesn't get turnover crazy, I expect an Eagles win today, even with Sanchez.






 
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Mr Rattler

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Seattle +1.5 WIN

Bottom line, I do not believe in Santa Claus or Colin Kaepernick.
Seattle finally wins in San Fran. After Atlanta beats Arizona this week, they will be 1 game out of 1st.

 
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Four Corners

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Congrats Rattler on another winning day. WIsh I could say the same. Needed 45" over in Dallas to finish off sweet teaser...Romo gets me 10 at home.:0002
 

Mr Rattler

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SUNDAY 11/30


2 Team 7 point Teaser L

Jax +10
Car+10

-Jax has stayed within 7 points of the spread in the past 7 weeks in a row
-Giants 2-9 ATS in non conference games

-Car 11-4 ATS last 15 vs teams with losing records
-Car 4-1 ATS vs NFC North
-Minn 4-10 SU after a division game
-


 
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Mr Rattler

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RAVENS REPORT

San Diego +7 (-125)

San Diego will keep this close. Rivers will be able to exploit the Ravens secondary. Also, Ravens were fresh as a daisy last week after the bye. I do not see that advantage today. I like the Ravens to squeak one out today, but the arm of Rivers against the Ravens 29th ranked pass defense will keep them in this game. The Chargers biggest issue has been turnovers. In their 3 game losing streak earlier, they were -7 in the turnover category with zero takeaways. In their past 4 wins, they are +3 (4 lost, 7 takeaways)


If the Chargers can somehow win the turnover battle, they could win this game.

Prediction: Ravens 23 Chargers 21

 

gardenweasel

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RAVENS REPORT

San Diego +7 (-125)

San Diego will keep this close. Rivers will be able to exploit the Ravens secondary. Also, Ravens were fresh as a daisy last week after the bye. I do not see that advantage today. I like the Ravens to squeak one out today, but the arm of Rivers against the Ravens 29th ranked pass defense will keep them in this game. The Chargers biggest issue has been turnovers. In their 3 game losing streak earlier, they were -7 in the turnover category with zero takeaways. In their past 4 wins, they are +3 (4 lost, 7 takeaways)


If the Chargers can somehow win the turnover battle, they could win this game.

Prediction: Ravens 23 Chargers 21


I also think that line is inflated....went back and checked and this is the biggest dog role for san diego(with the exception of -9 in week 8 at san diego)....that includes away games at seattle and san fran......

given how our weakness correlates with their strength(passing game),I`m surprised at that line....

that said,we`re awfully tough to beat at home and a coast to coast trip isn`t good for any team at any time... that first game we lost to cincy at home you could see how the ravens weren`t in sync with all the new offensive pieces(forsett/steve smith/owen daniels/offensive line).....we were winning the second half until a long bomb to a.j. green won it for cincy....

but then theres san diego`s meltdown at Miami(I had s.d. that sunday and remember being surprised at the size egg san diego laid that day)...

this is an interesting game that will say an awful lot about the ravens` chances going forward...
 
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Mr Rattler

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2 Team 6.5 Point Teaser
Win

Houst +0.5
Colts -1



-Tenn is 1-8 SU this year as a dog
-Tenn is 0-8 SU when a dog of more than 3 points
-Houst 4-1 SU as a fav this year
-Houst should have their way with the Titans on the ground. Tenn is last in the league (145 yrd/gm) in rushing defense

-Colts 15-3 ATS vs teams with losing records
-Colts 9-1 ATS vs losing teams after week 8
-Skins 1-4 SU in domes
-Skins 3-13 SU when a dog of 3 to 7 points
 
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Mr Rattler

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I also think that line is inflated....went back and checked and this is the biggest dog role for san diego(with the exception of -9 in week 8 at san diego)....that includes away games at seattle and san fran......

given how our weakness correlates with their strength(passing game),I`m surprised at that line....

that said,we`re awfully tough to beat at home and a coast to coast trip isn`t good for any team at any time... that first game we lost to cincy at home you could see how the ravens weren`t in sync with all the new offensive pieces(forsett/steve smith/owen daniels/offensive line).....we were winning the second half until a long bomb to a.j. green won it for cincy....

but then theres san diego`s meltdown at Miami(I had s.d. that sunday and remember being surprised at the size egg san diego laid that day)...

this is an interesting game that will say an awful lot about the ravens` chances going forward...



In the Flacco/ Harbaugh era. The Ravens are 2-4 SU and 1-4 ATS the second week after a bye. Crazy huh?

 

Mr Rattler

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4pm Games


New England +3
-Patriots are 7-3 ATS last 10 as dog
-Patriots are 11-4 ATS and 15-1 SU when total for the game is 50 or over (3-0 ATS and SU this year)
-Green Bay 5-10 ATS and 6-11 SU when posted line is 3 or less

Pats just on top of their game right now.



Arizona -2

Zona defense alone can win this game. Falcons 5-15 vs winning teams.





 

pel7

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Damn I hate taking a Under on MNF but with this low of a total and 72% on the Over I will tail along.
 

CoachBrowning

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Damn I hate taking a Under on MNF but with this low of a total and 72% on the Over I will tail along.

Not going against anyone's picks here because I'm sure it will be under but careful on that. Every time the spread has been -7 or more, it tends to be over on the pt spread...especially on MNF. Good luck to you gentlemen!
 
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