Week 15 - First Half Angles

PacMan

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Oct 28, 2000
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Halftime Bets
1x: 18-13-2 (+3.9 Units)
2x: 14-15 (-5.0 Units)
3x: 5-0 (+15.0 Units)
4x: 2-1 (+3.6 Units)
Sides: 20-9-1 (+21.4 Units)
Totals: 19-18-1 (-1.9 Units)
Parlays: 0-2-0 (-2.0 Units)
TOTAL HALFTIME BETS: 39-29-2 (+17.5 Units)


First Quarter Bets
1x: 3-4 (-1.15 Units)
2x: 0-1 (-2.0 Units)


Well, I've got the Saturday games finished. I'll be back tonight or tomorrow with Sunday's games.


MIAMI AT NEW ENGLAND
1st Half Line: New England -1.5, O/U 18.0

Patriots are 7-0 ATS and 6-0-1 SU on halftime lines at home. They were tied at half to the Week 1 Jets (who were favored), up at half vs. the Week 3 Colts, who were also favored (remember the Colts first two games?), and the Week 5 Chargers, who were also favored (were 3-1 coming in), then won the next four ATS when they were the favorites.

PICK: 1st Half New England -1.5 (2x)


PHILADELPHIA AT SAN FRANCISCO
1st Half Line: San Francisco -1, O/U 20.0

Philadelphia hasn't lost on the road yet. Everyone knows that. What everyone might not notice is that, in their six road games, the team with the best record right now is Seattle at 7-6, and their opponent's combined records are 32-46. 6-0 on the road is still impressive, but not that impressive when you take their opponent's record into consideration.

San Francisco is 6-1 at home. Their one home loss was to the now 10-2 Rams, and it was a close game. Two of their wins were against winning teams.

This is the 49ers final home game, and an important one for their playoff picture. A win here really helps their chances of a bye during the wild card week. Their last two home games both had the Niners up 14-0 at halftime.

PICK: 1st Half San Francisco -1 (2x)


TENNESSEE AT OAKLAND
1st Half Line: Oakland -3, O/U 23.0

If you had Tennessee +3 first half each game they've played on the road, you'd be 2-5, with the ATS wins coming against the Week 10 Bengals and the Week 12 Browns. They're being outscored 59-86 at halftime in seven games on the road.

The Raiders can't be happy with their offense's lack of scoring last week, and since this game matters for playoff position, I think they will take it out on the awful Tennessee secondary, which is allowing nearly 250 yards of passing per game. The Raiders are outscoring opponents 108-57 at halftime during their six home games.

PICK: 1st Half Oakland -3 (2x)
PICK: 1st Half Over 23 (1x)

Good luck.
 

PacMan

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Originally posted by PacMan:

San Francisco is 6-1 at home. Their one home loss was to the now 10-2 Rams

Doh! I can count, really! Let's see, the Rams have played 13 games, and lost 2. They're not 10-2, they're 7-2! Or is it 9-2?
I'm so confused....

That's what I get for reading their numbers from a magazine printed on Mondays...

Good luck.
 

PacMan

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Oct 28, 2000
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Ok, I have the Sunday plays now.

ST LOUIS AT CAROLINA
1st Half Line: St Louis -7, O/U 23

Since the last time these two teams played, Carolina is 3-1 ATS in the first half. The Rams are 3-2, but 3-0 in the last three. I think this game is a good situation for the Rams to try to get up big at halftime, in order to rest Faulk (and maybe others) in the second half. The Rams still have home field to play for (since the Bears and 49ers are only one game back), so I don't think they look past this game. Plus, they still must be smarting a bit from last year's games vs. the Panthers.

PICK: 1st Half St Louis -7 (2x)
PICK: 1st Half Over 23 (2x)


CHICAGO AT WASHINGTON
1st Half Line: pick 'em, O/U 16.5

You'd have to go back five weeks for each team to find a game that went over 16 at halftime. I think the Redskins comeback is over, so small bet on under and Bears.

PICK: 1st Half Chicago pick (2x)
PICK: 1st Half Under 16.5 (1x)


DETROIT AT PITTSBURGH
1st Half Line: Pittsburgh -6, O/U 18

Taking the first four Detroit games out of the picture (they're playing much better now), they've failed to cover six points at halftime only twice. They've played against two teams fairly similar to the Steelers recently (Bears and Bucs), and both of those games hit exactly 10 points at halftime. And, Detroit held the Vikings to only 7 at halftime last week.

The Steelers have covered six points five times, but two of those times were six exactly.

PICK: 1st Half Detroit +6 (1x)
PICK: 1st Half Under 18.0 (1x)

Good luck.
 

PacMan

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Oct 28, 2000
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Minneapolis
Adding a couple of first quarter bets for tomorrow.

1st Qtr Dallas +0.5 -110 (1.1 to win 1 unit)
It's about a toss up, and we win on the tie.

1st Qtr Bengals +0.5 (1.0 to win 1.25 units)
Decent chance of neither team scoring. Again, looking for a tie.

Good luck.
 
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