Atlanta +3.5
League: 12-3 (Av. WIN 2.9) home 7- dog, off a 7+ ats win as away 7- fav. [Atl]
5-0 SU! (Av. WIN 10.8!!) if opp is off any ats loss.
Atlanta sure have been inconsistant, but a couple of good wins in a row might get them back on track...but realistically this one is all about Dallas.
Where did this Cowboy-mania all spring from exactly?? They are an un-spectatular 8-5 (1 game better than the Falcons) and the quality of wins?...well just 2 of those 8 wins have been against winning teams.
1 was v. Indi (who are showing us where they are really at!), and one at NYG, which was a last second FG to win by 3.
Both teams still have plenty to play for, and I can't really see why Dallas are fav's on the road here...esp by more than 3!!
Washington @ NO under 47
League: 4-13-1 under (Av. score 37.5) home 7+ fav, off a 21+ ats win as away 3+ dog. [NO]
(0-3 under if total is >42)
There's no denying NO's firepower, but can Washington help them out?
Wash av. just 14 ppg on the road and haven't looked like hitting 20 sith Campbell @ QB.
NO showed a willingness not to run up a score last week, so I'd expect a slightly more conservative game style this week...if not a total offensive let-down after hitting 30+ 3 weeks in a row.
Washington are 1-7 under v. the NFC so far, and NO are actually 2-7 under as home fav.
I can't see Washington scoring much, or NO caring too much!
47 is a nice number for the under herre.
Chicago -13.5
Now, as much as I think the Bears are this year's Indi, laying less than 2 TD's v. a terrible Tampa looks generous here.
Bucs are 0-6 on the road, losing by an av. of 14.5 pgg...and scoring just 8!!
Grossman looked a lot better last week, and there's every chance the defense/special teams score once or twice.
TB will be lucky to score 10, pretty sure the Bears can get 24.
Now, the Bears do officially have nothing to play for, but I'm sure they will be trying to get Grossman better still before the play-offs, and I don't think the Bucs can take advantage of any lack of defensive intensity. (Or the loss of Tank Williams for that matter)
SL @ Oakland under 38.5
League: 9-15 under (Av. total 38.6...av. score 38.7!..um?) away 3- dog, off a 7+ ats loss as home 7- dog. [SL]
1-9 under (Av. total 39.2...av. score 33.1) if opp is off any ats loss.
Yep, just checked. This is an Oakland game!
Raider games this season av. 32.7 ppg, and just 2 of their games all season have gone over 37!
Soli defense, terrible offense...SL road scoring is low too, just 16.3 ppg, and as such they are 2-6 under last 8 away from home.
SL still struggle in the red-zone, and they are the only team with more FG's than TD's, so it's tough to see any kind of major scoring here.
Cinci @ Indi under 54.5
League: 1-9 under (Av. -10.0) home 3- fav, off a 21+ ats loss as any away fav. [Indi]
...the 1 'over' was a 20-17 game with the total @ 36!
History suggests that teams off a big "unexpected" loss last week either come out a lot more conservative, or focus a lot more on defense...or both!
The total is just too high. Even last week's game only snuck over this number because of a 99 yard kick-off return.
The Cinci defense has really picked up, allowing just 16, 0, 7 and 10 in their last 4...sure, 3 crappy teams, but holding NO to 16 @ their house is a good effort...and actually, I expect much the same kind of game here.
Cinci will be happy to run, run, run on Indi, chew up plenty of clock and keep Manning an co. off the field.
In the NO game, Cinci ran it 27 times, and Palmer completed just 14 passes...it worked, and I'm sure they'll stick with it.
Good Luck all
League: 12-3 (Av. WIN 2.9) home 7- dog, off a 7+ ats win as away 7- fav. [Atl]
5-0 SU! (Av. WIN 10.8!!) if opp is off any ats loss.
Atlanta sure have been inconsistant, but a couple of good wins in a row might get them back on track...but realistically this one is all about Dallas.
Where did this Cowboy-mania all spring from exactly?? They are an un-spectatular 8-5 (1 game better than the Falcons) and the quality of wins?...well just 2 of those 8 wins have been against winning teams.
1 was v. Indi (who are showing us where they are really at!), and one at NYG, which was a last second FG to win by 3.
Both teams still have plenty to play for, and I can't really see why Dallas are fav's on the road here...esp by more than 3!!
Washington @ NO under 47
League: 4-13-1 under (Av. score 37.5) home 7+ fav, off a 21+ ats win as away 3+ dog. [NO]
(0-3 under if total is >42)
There's no denying NO's firepower, but can Washington help them out?
Wash av. just 14 ppg on the road and haven't looked like hitting 20 sith Campbell @ QB.
NO showed a willingness not to run up a score last week, so I'd expect a slightly more conservative game style this week...if not a total offensive let-down after hitting 30+ 3 weeks in a row.
Washington are 1-7 under v. the NFC so far, and NO are actually 2-7 under as home fav.
I can't see Washington scoring much, or NO caring too much!
47 is a nice number for the under herre.
Chicago -13.5
Now, as much as I think the Bears are this year's Indi, laying less than 2 TD's v. a terrible Tampa looks generous here.
Bucs are 0-6 on the road, losing by an av. of 14.5 pgg...and scoring just 8!!
Grossman looked a lot better last week, and there's every chance the defense/special teams score once or twice.
TB will be lucky to score 10, pretty sure the Bears can get 24.
Now, the Bears do officially have nothing to play for, but I'm sure they will be trying to get Grossman better still before the play-offs, and I don't think the Bucs can take advantage of any lack of defensive intensity. (Or the loss of Tank Williams for that matter)
SL @ Oakland under 38.5
League: 9-15 under (Av. total 38.6...av. score 38.7!..um?) away 3- dog, off a 7+ ats loss as home 7- dog. [SL]
1-9 under (Av. total 39.2...av. score 33.1) if opp is off any ats loss.
Yep, just checked. This is an Oakland game!
Raider games this season av. 32.7 ppg, and just 2 of their games all season have gone over 37!
Soli defense, terrible offense...SL road scoring is low too, just 16.3 ppg, and as such they are 2-6 under last 8 away from home.
SL still struggle in the red-zone, and they are the only team with more FG's than TD's, so it's tough to see any kind of major scoring here.
Cinci @ Indi under 54.5
League: 1-9 under (Av. -10.0) home 3- fav, off a 21+ ats loss as any away fav. [Indi]
...the 1 'over' was a 20-17 game with the total @ 36!
History suggests that teams off a big "unexpected" loss last week either come out a lot more conservative, or focus a lot more on defense...or both!
The total is just too high. Even last week's game only snuck over this number because of a 99 yard kick-off return.
The Cinci defense has really picked up, allowing just 16, 0, 7 and 10 in their last 4...sure, 3 crappy teams, but holding NO to 16 @ their house is a good effort...and actually, I expect much the same kind of game here.
Cinci will be happy to run, run, run on Indi, chew up plenty of clock and keep Manning an co. off the field.
In the NO game, Cinci ran it 27 times, and Palmer completed just 14 passes...it worked, and I'm sure they'll stick with it.
Good Luck all
