Someone posted a trend last year for week 3 only for any team who was 0-2. Anyone has it, please post it. It was a huge winner. I just don’t remember. Good luck to all
Week 3 0-2 Trend?
- Thread starter Barber
- Start date
Nolan Dalla on this !
(1) Winless teams are 23-35-1 SU but 39-20 ATS (66.1 percent) in Week 3 when playing as underdogs of +3.5 points or more since 2010.
Explanation: 0-2 teams are desperate, and though they don't often win (just 40 percent), they do play better than expected and cover at a high rate.
MIAMI +12.5 at Buffalo
CAROLINA +6 vs. Atlanta
CLEVELAND +8 vs. Green Bay
NY JETS +7 at Tampa Bay
NEW ORLEANS +7.5 at Seattle
NY GIANTS +6 vs. Kansas City (Note: Both teams are 0-2, but the Giants are getting +6, which makes them the play)
TENNESSEE +4 vs. Indianapolis
(2) Teams that start the season 0-2 SU are 31-27 SU and 40-17-1 ATS (70.2 percent) against 1-1 teams in Week 3 since 2010.
Explanation: This is a powerful subset of the desperate teams, particularly when playing against non-elite teams. Not only do they win more than they lose, they also cover at an astonishingly impressive rate.
Quoting Mr. Makinen:
"A tidal wave of negativity gets associated with the winless teams after two weeks, and while they typically remain bad when matched against undefeated teams, they do perform quite well against middle-of-the-road opponents. In most cases, 1-1 teams have shown early signs of inconsistency, and I don’t know any bettors who are actively looking to bet teams like that. Trust that the desperate 0-2 teams will bring their best effort into this week’s game, motivated by the fear of going 0-3 and what that has historically meant to teams’ playoff chances."
CAROLINA +6 vs. Atlanta
HOUSTON +1.5 vs. Jacksonville
NEW ORLEANS +7.5 vs. Seattle
CHICAGO +1 vs. Dallas
(1) Winless teams are 23-35-1 SU but 39-20 ATS (66.1 percent) in Week 3 when playing as underdogs of +3.5 points or more since 2010.
Explanation: 0-2 teams are desperate, and though they don't often win (just 40 percent), they do play better than expected and cover at a high rate.
MIAMI +12.5 at Buffalo
CAROLINA +6 vs. Atlanta
CLEVELAND +8 vs. Green Bay
NY JETS +7 at Tampa Bay
NEW ORLEANS +7.5 at Seattle
NY GIANTS +6 vs. Kansas City (Note: Both teams are 0-2, but the Giants are getting +6, which makes them the play)
TENNESSEE +4 vs. Indianapolis
(2) Teams that start the season 0-2 SU are 31-27 SU and 40-17-1 ATS (70.2 percent) against 1-1 teams in Week 3 since 2010.
Explanation: This is a powerful subset of the desperate teams, particularly when playing against non-elite teams. Not only do they win more than they lose, they also cover at an astonishingly impressive rate.
Quoting Mr. Makinen:
"A tidal wave of negativity gets associated with the winless teams after two weeks, and while they typically remain bad when matched against undefeated teams, they do perform quite well against middle-of-the-road opponents. In most cases, 1-1 teams have shown early signs of inconsistency, and I don’t know any bettors who are actively looking to bet teams like that. Trust that the desperate 0-2 teams will bring their best effort into this week’s game, motivated by the fear of going 0-3 and what that has historically meant to teams’ playoff chances."
CAROLINA +6 vs. Atlanta
HOUSTON +1.5 vs. Jacksonville
NEW ORLEANS +7.5 vs. Seattle
CHICAGO +1 vs. Dallas
