Initial leans to Indy and Under here.
I think there is quite a bit of value on Indy Under's until the linemaker/public catches up to the fact this is not the Indy team of 2, 3 & 4 years ago. This team has a defence. In particular a very good secondary. Tough to pass on, average to run on at the moment. Nolan touched on this last week. And week by week Indy is playing a more conservative, ball-control type offence. Edgerrin's looking better all the time. Marvin Harrison isn't getting the looks he was earlier with double and triple coverage. Reggie Wayne's performance won't be duplicated this week. The game still went Under.
New Orleans' strength is passing, but I think the Colts can neutralize them. As for the running game...Deuce McAllister is having a hell of a time moving the ball. His O-line is getting pushed around and isn't giving him the lanes to run. This is where the Saints MUST take advantage if they hope to win this game. And with their running struggles of this past weekend I think the Saints will be even more focused on getting the running game working. The Colts won't be as effective as the Titans at stopping the run. So I see the Saints running more than in earlier games, chewing up clock as they go.
I don't think that will be enough to get them the win, but I do think it bodes well for the Under.