Week 4 Plays

[ajoytoy]

Week 1: 8-4 (+3.60)
Week 2: 9-14-2 (-10.14)
Week 3: 3-2 (+1.08
YTD: 20-20-2 (-5.46)

looking at the lines and these are my leans so far:
Favs:
UNLV (pick'em)
WF
GT (already played it!!)
Tulane
Purdue
NCSU (Homer play once again, but think it will rise up to over 7 and got it early at -6.5)
Oklahoma
Michigan
Cincy


Dogs:
Toledo
Boston College
Bowling Green
Georgia


please leave any input you wish to offer....lets make some $$ this weekend everybody!!!


toy

 

[hellah10]

any reason why your on toledo?

good luck this week

 

[ajoytoy]

any reason why your on toledo?

good luck this week

no .....just looked strange at -10.5 for pittsburgh....was hoping you would be giving us all some insight this week...doubt the play will make my final list, but all the plays i put up were games i thought the team could maybe cover...

 

[pt1gard]

anil

anil

i was kinda waiting to play nc st but after big 3 OTs and heart breaker, what do you think .. read team coming off OTs usualy suffers in college ... NOt impressd with TT Dee however, listened to their NM and Lobos had field day in later 1/3 of game goin for 601 yds i believe ...

other game caught my eye was GA TECH, but will they be drained after 2 huge games, auburn and Noles?

also lean to BC

respect crap outta GA but a saturday in red stick is murder and I think they are lying in wait :shrug:

finally be careful on Michigan they havent played a decent team yet IMO, NDs off. is archaic and Dux might spring huge upset--Autzen used to snake pit of all in pac-10 and it lost its snarl LY, but cobra den might be back saturday... I might play ML, but line might rise too and Im waiting ... also Mich 3 straight EASY covers, odds diminish greatly ... Plus oregons O has been impressive ... Mich all home games on grass, now moves to turf, but their 133-10 overall scoreboard is scintillating to say the least; if they get in dogfight and crowd begins to rumble, how will they play without benefit of 14-30 pt cushion? Plus I see everyone on Mich off the bat, line was -4 two weeks ago

gl
my friend


ps didnt U go to NC st/osu game, curious U musta suffered on QBs sneaks .. I was thinking about ya, but yanno, it was such a cool game to watch at end U will never forget it and thats all we can ask for in life

 

[ajoytoy]

Re: anil

Re: anil

ps didnt U go to NC st/osu game, curious U musta suffered on QBs sneaks .. I was thinking about ya, but yanno, it was such a cool game to watch at end U will never forget it and thats all we can ask for in life

yep gregg, i was there....great games regardless of the loss after the comeback....we sure were wondering why rivers was trying to sneak the ball twice in that final drive...i guess amato didnt want to risk hurting TA unless he had too...

state returns home to a great crowd this weekend after 2 road losses....they might be a bit tired from this weekend, but will have all week to get ready....they CANNOT overlook ANYBODY now if they want a chance at a major bowl...

ga tech is just freaking good IMO...they ahve had 2 tough games, but that experience will prevail against the leser team in the TIGERS IMO...i was all over this one when it came out....will probably be my best bet...

thx for the other input buddy...have to get back home to reduce the list down...

take care and gl this weekend!!

anil

 

[NY Reb]

SINCE you ask for comments, I'd be careful with Michigan. As pt1gard points out, the spread is awfully inflated after 3 straight easy covers. Also, teams that play Notre Dame traditionally tend to lose the spread in their following game (and an unexpected blowout makes it even moreso). In addition, Autzen Stadium is a hellacious place for a visiting team to play, especially one that's never played there before. In short, I'm looking at Oregon as a potential big play.

Good luck in all your decisions!

 

[boilermaker]

Hey Toy, I really like the Wake Forest pick. They look pretty strong and East Carolina is just plain awful. This is the one on the whole card that caught my eye at first glance.

 

[mw]

Don't like the Ga Tech play - they don't have the offense to be a reliable favorite. These teams play every year, and they are as evenly matched as any two teams you could hope to find. Check out the series history.

 

[greed]

UNLV

UNLV

This will be a letdown game after there big game against Wisconsin. The Badgers are very overrated this year. Sorgi is a below average quarterback. Wisconsin's offense had 5 turnovers Unlv's offense looked horrendous. A misleading final. Look what Kansas did to Unlv. The game last week for Hawaii gives us good value as Hawaii's offense looked very good against USC. Those Zebra's in that game should have been wearing maroon and gold.
Stay away from Vegas. Good luck on all your plays this weekend.

 

[ajoytoy]

thx very much for your views Reb, MW, Greed and Boily....definitely made me really think about what i wanted to play this week!!

will be back in a few with by best 5-7...plus ACC views!

glta

 

[THE WIZZARD]

GL SAT.


WIZZ.

 

[ajoytoy]

heres my top 7 picks:
Georgia Tech -4 (-105)......they have played better teams than the Tigers...it is in Atlanta....really think they will win by a TD or more!

Tulane -16 (-107)....more of an anti-Army pick, but the green wave should be able to put up the points...

NCSU -6.5 (-105) 3 Units....again, it is a Homer play...but i saw our real team play last weekend...we will have the Home field and it is HOMECOMING ....the players will not disappoint this weekend....my strongest play....

Oklahoma -18.5 (-105).....got this one early...UCLA will bring in all they can to battle the Sooners defense, but it will not be enough..

Cinncinnati -13.5 (-105)....feel strongly about this one too...home game....should be like the ECU game....unless they have a letdown from the WVU game....sure hope not....should win by 2-3 TD's IMO....

Bowling Green +14.5 (-103)....got this one early also....OSU wins these games, but they keep it closer than they need too...BG has shown they can play with the Big Ten.....think they can cover the points...

Wisconsin -15.5 (-105)....should be embarassed for their play last week....should run the ball all over the Heels like FSU did....should be a blow out....lets see if all the "shoulds" are correct....


toy

 

[ajoytoy]

edited....wrong team matchup...thx bgold for the correction!!


toy

 

[ajoytoy]

leans for other ACC games:

Colorado @ FSU -19

should be high scoring and an exciting game...i dont think FSU can cover these points unless they figure out the Buffaloes D...i would take the points....

WVU @ Maryland -9

still think this line is a bit high....more like a -7 or -6 line....with that, i would lean to the Mountaineers to cover and maybe even win this game...

NW @ Duke -3....no pick here....if i had to choose, i would go with the Blue Devils cause they are at home:shrug:

 

[Nole]

Watch those Noles this week. Wake-up call last week. Their D is ridiculously awesome so give Colorado 17 at best. Now, the Noles are gonna at least drop 40 points on 'em right? Apparently Colo has no D especially against the pass. Blow-out city baby!

52-13

GL ajoytoy.

nole

 

[ajoytoy]

Watch those Noles this week. Wake-up call last week. Their D is ridiculously awesome so give Colorado 17 at best. Now, the Noles are gonna at least drop 40 points on 'em right? Apparently Colo has no D especially against the pass. Blow-out city baby!

52-13

GL ajoytoy.

nole

thx nole...thats why i am not playing it...i know they are due, but cant pull the trigger...especially against a non-ACC team

 

[bgold13]

you said iowa -8, going against the wildcats again?

i can tell your on the east coast... arizona state is the #16 sun devils who play iowa.. meanwhile the Wildcats are the school about 100 miles to the southeast called University of Arizona... like saying the NC STATE Tar Heels.. hows that sound? dont sweat it everynone does it.. just ask tbs

 

[ajoytoy]

you said iowa -8, going against the wildcats again?

i can tell your on the east coast... arizona state is the #16 sun devils who play iowa.. meanwhile the Wildcats are the school about 100 miles to the southeast called University of Arizona... like saying the NC STATE Tar Heels.. hows that sound? dont sweat it everynone does it.. just ask tbs

so right you are....was looking at the USA Today and they have Arizona...not AZ state....is now a no play...was wondering why it was only a 8 pt line!:shrug: :nono:


btw....thank goodness we are not the ncsu tarhells (i mean heels )

thx bgold for the heads up!!

 

[bgold13]

AJOY- its unbelievable how often that happens between asu and ua... the sports illustrated top 25 preview calls asu the wildcats a couple time, tbs previewed the lsu-arizona game as " watch Andrew Walter and his high flying passing attack as the Sun Devils take on SEC for LSU" then they had helmets of ASU and LSU.. while it was the UA Wildcats nad LSU playing. USA today showing that is just the tip of the iceberg. When i was in Atlanta last year, I was talking about ASU, and everybody was so impressed that we can contend for a title in basketball and football every few years.. they thought arizona and arizona st were the same school.. oh well

 

[ajoytoy]

sorry for the east coasters confusion..i know that it happens sometimes for me as well....wash/wash state is the perfect example for me...normally dont have to worry bout az/az state in foots since az is pretty darn bad...

once again thx for the heads up...hope your team pulls the win out for ya!!